NFL Week 16 Player Props – Best Props to Bet for December 24-25
- Online sportsbooks have released NFL Week 16 player props
- David Njoku has been on the end of plenty of passes from Joe Flacco in recent games. Will that continue versus the Texans in Week 16?
- See all of this week’s top passing, rushing, receiving and touchdown props to target for NFL Week 16
This week’s NFL player props come from games all across the weekend slate of action with prop bets on each of Saturday, Sunday and Monday. Among our seven prop bets are picks from two Christmas Day games between the Raiders and Chiefs and Giants vs Eagles. Get all of our top Week 16 player props below.
Week 16 NFL Player Props
| Prop | Odds | Risk |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns | -135 | 1 unit |
| Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns | -180 | 1 unit |
| Rachaad White over 104.5 rushing & receiving yards | -115 | 1 unit |
| D’Andre Swift over 65.5 rushing yards | -118 | 1 unit |
| David Njoku over 4.5 receptions | -130 | 1 unit |
| Rashee Rice over 64.5 receiving yards | -118 | 1 unit |
| Raheem Mostert anytime touchdown | -114 | 1 unit |
Our Week 16 player props include plays on two quarterbacks betting Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes to throw for two scores, rushing props on Rachaad White and D’Andre Swift, receiving props on David Njoku and Rashee Rice and an anytime touchdown prop for Raheem Mostert.
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When it comes to how to bet on NFL player props, there are endless options and you can bet on almost any position group of players. Read on for our top NFL Week 16 player props for Sunday and Monday here.
Week 16 Passing Props – Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
The Raiders just hung 63 points on this Chargers’ defense last week and Aidan O’Connell threw for 248 yards and four touchdowns.
The Bills just hung 31 points on the Cowboys last week and won 31-10. Now they did it with Josh Allen only throwing for 94 yards and one passing score. But against a Chargers’ defense that gives up the third-most passing yards per game, the third-most touchdowns to wide receivers and the fourth-most yards to tight ends, Allen and his receiving corps could all be in for a big day.
Allen is third in passing touchdowns with 26 this year and has multiple passing touchdowns in seven of his past 11 games.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-135); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
The only NFL player in history to have 3 consecutive 40 touchdown seasons is Josh Allen.
He is about to have a 4th.
he is a HOF lock and the 2023 MVP. pic.twitter.com/gIfau7qEbn
— 7️⃣1️⃣6️⃣ TJ (@TJDMCR) December 19, 2023
Week 16 Passing Props – Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
After two games where Patrick Mahomes struggled and only put up one passing score, he’s coming off a 306-yard and two passing touchdown game versus the Patriots last week.
This may not be Mahomes’ best season statistically, but he’s still fifth in passing touchdowns with 25 and has thrown for multiple TDs in 4/6 recent games and in 9/14 games overall, including the last time these teams played on November 26.
The scores game in garbage time when the score was wildly out of hand, but Easton Stick still managed three passing TDs versus the Raiders last week. Mahomes can put up two.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Patrick Mahomes over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-180); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 16 Rushing Props – Rachaad White Over 104.5 Rushing & Receiving Yards
Buccaneers’ running back Rachaad White gets a great matchup this week versus the Jaguars.
Jacksonville may be 12th in run defense, but they’re awful at defending running backs out of the backfield as receivers. The 94 receptions to running backs is a league-high and the 654 yards receiving to running backs is second-most after the Chargers’ 679.
White gets used as a receiver nearly as much as any of the Bucs WRs as his 50 receptions is third on the team behind Mike Evans (66) and Chris Godwin (68).
He’s been rewarding NFL props players in recent weeks with combined rushing and receiving totals of 139 yards (89 rushing / 50 receiving), 135 yards (102/33), 106 yards (84/22) and 110 yards (100/10).
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Rachaad White over 104.5 rushing and receiving yards (-115); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 16 Rushing Props – D’Andre Swift Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
After facing a group of top-half ranked run defenses in Dallas, KC, Buffalo, San Fran and Dallas again, D’Andre Swift got the Seahawks’ 25th-ranked unit last week and he rushed for 74 yards plus one receiving.
This week he gets the Giants’ 29th-ranked run stop unit that has allowed opposing running backs to combine for 90, 83, 144, 139, 132 and 104 yards in the past six six games. The 1,573 total rushing yards allowed by the Giants is also 30th in the league.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: D’Andre Swift over 65.5 rushing yards (-118); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 16 Receiving Props – David Njoku Over 4.5 Receptions
No player across the league saw more targets last week than Browns’ TE David Njoku with 14, of which he made ten catches for 104 yards and one touchdown with.
The game prior he caught 6/8 passes for 91 yards and two TDs and he has clearly developed a chemistry with new QB Joe Flacco.
But on the year as a whole Njoku has averaged 7.6 targets per game while averaging 4.92 catches per game. In eight of his past nine games he’s made at least four catches.
This week he’ll go up against a Texans’ defense that has given up 84 receptions (30th) and 826 yards (29th) to opposing tight ends.
In 14 games, opposing tight ends have made at least four catches against Houston ten times, and in the last ten games they’ve made at least six catches seven times.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Daivd Njoku over 4.5 receptions (-130); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
THREE touchdowns in the last two weeks for David Njoku 😤 pic.twitter.com/OifMct0iCk
— NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) December 17, 2023
Week 16 Receiving Props – Rashee Rice Over 64.5 Receiving Yards
There aren’t many receiving options in Kansas City this season but someone has to be on the end of those Mahomes’ passes. This season rookie WR Rashee Rice has stepped up and is being heavily relied upon in recent weeks.
In the last four games Mahomes has targeted Rice 10, 9, 10 and 9 times. In those games he’s caught 8, 8, 7, and 9 passes for 107, 64, 72 and 91 yards. He’s also found the endzone in three of those four games.
Those 38 targets over the past month make him tied for the fifth-most targeted receiver in the league behind only CeeDee Lamb, Michael Pittman Jr, AJ Brown and DeAndre Hopkins.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Rashee Rice over 64.5 receiving yards (-118); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Week 16 Touchdown Props – Raheem Mostert Anytime TD
The moment Mike McDaniel sits down and reviews some game tape, or let’s be honest, simply the box score, he’ll know that despite the dynamic passing attack the Dolphins possess with or without Tyreek Hill this week, they should be able to find success versus Dallas on the ground.
Last week Buffalo’s James Cook ran all over Dallas for 179 yards and a touchdown.
So Raheem Mostert should get plenty of opporunities to run the ball and find the endzone this week. Last week he found the endzone twice versus the Jets, as was the case the week prior versus the Titans. His 18 rushing and two receiving scores gives him the highest combined TD total among rushers and receivers (tied with Christian McCaffrey) this season. He’s also scored at least one touchdown in 11 of 14 games overall.
Mostert is our bet once again this week in the touchdown prop bets.
- NFL Player Prop Picks: Raheem Mostert anytime touchdown (-114); risk 1 unit at ESPN BET
Before you make your NFL Week 16 player props this weekend, be sure to head on over to one of the top football betting apps this weekend to grab an exciting sportsbook bonus for your NFL prop bets.
Season NFL Props Record: 53-46, -0.43 units
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Ryan is SBD's resident soccer pro, though his repertoire is by no means limited to a single sport. His articles have been published by the Canadian Hockey League (CHL), Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and the Kitchener Rangers, and outlets like SportsXpress and Shredthespread.com
