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Week 8 NFL Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, October 31

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Oct 30, 2021 · 1:07 PM PDT

Tua Tagovailoa holding ball looking downfield in pocket
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) looks to throw a pass against the Las Vegas Raiders during an NFL football game, Saturday, Dec. 26, 2020, in Las Vegas.The Dolphins won the game 26-25. (Jeff Haynes/AP Images for Panini)
  • NFL player props for Week 8 are available at online sportsbooks
  • We have nine NFL player props we are betting in Week 8
  • See the props we’re betting on Sunday below

Week 8 of the 2021 NFL season continues Sunday, October 31 with 13 games on tap. Player props for Sunday’s games are now widely available at online sportsbooks. However, there are a couple players whose statuses are holding up rushing and/or receiving props for their respective teams.

I went 4-4 on player props last week, winning 1.1 units. I’m now 16-14 over the last four weeks and +3.92 units.

You’ll find the NFL player props for Week 8 broken into sections below, with my best prop bets for each included.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 290.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150)
Davis Mills (HOU) 21.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 222.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -220)
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 254.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130)
Baker Mayfield (CLE) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 220.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 256.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -175 | Un +130)
Jared Goff (DET) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 265.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110)
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 207.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -200)
Justin Fields (CHI) 17.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 188.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 0.5 (Ov -235 | Un +170)
Sam Darnold (CAR) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 241.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -155)
Matt Ryan (ATL) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 283.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +175 | Un -240)
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 230.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 1.5 (Ov +130 | Un -170)
Josh Allen (BUF) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 283.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
Joe Burrow (CIN) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 261.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -195 | Un +145)
Mike White (NYJ) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 221.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +175 | Un -240)
Ryan Tannehill (TEN) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 240.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Carson Wentz (IND) 21.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 245.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mac Jones (NE) 22.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 246.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
Justin Herbert (LAC) 26.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 290.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +155 | Un -205)
Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 21.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 240.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145)
Geno Smith (SEA) 219.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150)
Taylor Heinicke (WAS) 233.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160)
Teddy Bridgewater (DEN) 22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 243.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tom Brady (TB) 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -105) 309.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Jameis Winston (NO) 253.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135)

All props as of October 30.

The biggest passing total set for Sunday of Week 8 is Tom Brady’s over/under of 309.5. Brady’s Buccaneers are taking on the Saints this week. Justin Fields has the lowest passing total at 188.5 against the 49ers.

 

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Best Passing Props to Bet for Week 8

1) Tua Tagovailoa OVER 230.5 Passing Yards (-114); risk 0.5 units

At 1-6, the Dolphins season is no longer about winning games. The rest of their 2021 season is about figuring out if Tua Tagovailoa is their quarterback of the future.

Over the last two weeks, they’ve had him attempting 47 and 40 passes, which he has turned into 329 and 291 yards. I expect this type of volume to continue in Week 8, as the Dolphins head into Buffalo as 14-point underdogs.

Tua will be facing a negative game script often, and I’m not giving the Bills much credit for being the league’s best pass defense. They’ve benefitted from games against Miami (Jacoby Brissett), Pittsburgh, and Houston.

All of Washington, Kansas City, and Tennessee have thrown for at least 300 yards against them.

2) Mike White OVER 20.5 Completions (-110); risk 0.5 units

From what we saw last week, Mike White has a better feel for this Jets offense than Zach Wilson. He was anticipating throws and reading the field pretty well in relief work against the Pats last week.

White completed 20 of 32 passes in just under three quarters of the game. I suspect White to face another negative game script as the Jets find themselves listed as 11.5-point home underdogs against the Bengals in Week 8.

Cincinnati is also very strong against the run, only allowing four yards per carry (sixth-best in the NFL). So I suspect the Jets to come out looking to attack through the air anyways.

NFL Rushing Props

Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Darrell Henderson (LAR) 16.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 108.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
David Johnson (HOU) 27.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Najee Harris (PIT) 10.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 102.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nick Chubb (CLE) 10.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 85.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 95.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kenneth Gainwell (PHI) 9.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
D’Andre Swift (DET) 12.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Elijah Mitchell (SF) 12.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Khalil Herbert (CHI) 12.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 79.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Chuba Hubbard (CAR) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 86.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Davis (ATL) 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110) 33.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) 46.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 87.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)
Myles Gaskin (MIA) 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110) 37.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 64.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Zack Moss (BUF) 12.5 (Ov -115 | Un -110) 48.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 66.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Joe Mixon (CIN) 15.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 83.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Michael Carter (NYJ) 11.5 (Ov -110 | Un -115) 43.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 70.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 108.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 123.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jonathan Taylor (IND) 25.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 78.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 98.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Damien Harris (NE) 14.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
James Robinson (JAX) 14.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 72.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 99.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alex Collins (SEA) 57.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Antonio Gibson (WAS) 51.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 61.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Javonte Williams (DEN) 10.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Melvin Gordon (DEN) 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 54.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) — (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 113.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Yet again, Derrick Henry has the highest rushing over/under this week. His totals set at 108.5 for the Titans game against the Colts.

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Best Rushing Props to Bet for Week 8

1) Khalil Herbert OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards (-115); risk 1 unit

The Bears’ rookie running back Khalil Herbert has been a very bright light in an otherwise gloomy Chicago offense. He’s averaging 90.7 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks, going over this rushing total in each, and has posted 97 and 100-yard performances in the last two (his only two starts).

He’s been given 19 and 18 carries in those two starts, and is averaging 5.32 yards per carry. The most impressive might be Herbert becoming the first back this season to go for 100 yards against the Bucs last week.

The 49ers rank 20th against the run and are allowing an average of 135.3 yards per game over the last three weeks.

There also don’t seem to be any concerns of Damien Williams eating into Herbert’s workload. Herbert out-snapped Williams 45-9 last week.

2) Jonathan Taylor OVER 78.5 Rushing Yards (-114); risk 0.5 units

The Colts have moved to 3-point favorites against the Titans in a crucial Week 8 matchup in the AFC South. Indianapolis’ recipe for victory has become pretty clear: get Jonathan Taylor going.

In their three wins this season, Taylor has rushed for 103, 145, and 107 yards. In their losses, he has 56, 51, 64 (against the Titans), and 53 yards.

The Titans are allowing 4.5 yards per carry this season, the eighth-worst in the league. They did manage to hold Taylor to just 64 yards, as mentioned above, in Week 3. However, Taylor was only given 10 touches in that game.

Indianapolis will ensure their star running back gets involved early and often in this one.

3) Cordarrelle Patterson OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

Patterson appears to have taken over the Falcons backfield, out-carrying backfield mate Mike Davis 14-13 and then 14-4 in the last two weeks.

He has turned those touches into 54 and 60 rushing yards, and now sees a Panthers defense that’s allowing 4.4 yards per carry.

This is a very low number for a pretty effective, potentially now lead, running back.

NFL Receiving Props

Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Cooper Kupp (LAR) 7.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 28.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Robert Woods (LAR) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Brandin Cooks (HOU) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chase Claypool (PIT) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 54.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Diontae Johnson (PIT) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jarvis Landry (CLE) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Austin Hooper (CLE) 2.5 (Ov +155 | Un -205) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
DeVonta Smith (PHI) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 63.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Quez Watkins (PHI) 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) 41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
D’Andre Swift (DET) 46.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
T.J. Hockenson (DET) 4.5 (Ov -160 | Un +120) 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Deebo Samuel (SF) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Allen Robinson II (CHI) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150) 41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Darnell Mooney (CHI) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
DJ Moore (CAR) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Robby Anderson (CAR) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Calvin Ridley (ATL) 6.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 75.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Kyle Pitts (ATL) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 61.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Gesicki (MIA) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cole Beasley (BUF) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 51.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Emmanuel Sanders (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 54.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 87.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +110) 80.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 26.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tee Higgins (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyler Boyd (CIN) 4.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 44.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jamison Crowder (NYJ) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 53.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
AJ Brown (TEN) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Derrick Henry (TEN) 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -130) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Michael Pittman (IND) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 60.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mo Alie-Cox (IND) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 24.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Jakobi Meyers (NE) 5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -160) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Nelson Agholor (NE) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 34.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Keenan Allen (LAC) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 66.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Williams (LAC) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 73.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Laviska Shenault (JAX) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 50.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Marvin Jones (JAX) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
DK Metcalf (SEA) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tyler Lockett (SEA) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ricky Seals-Jones (WAS) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 39.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Terry McLaurin (WAS) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 65.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Courtland Sutton (DEN) 2.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Noah Fant (DEN) 35.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chris Godwin (TB) 5.5 (Ov -155 | Un +120) 74.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 23.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Mike Evans (TB) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 67.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Alvin Kamara (NO) 45.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125)

Cooper Kupp has the highest receiving over/under of Week 8, with his total set at 96.5. The next highest is 87.5, which belongs to DJ Moore and Stefan Diggs.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Week 8

1) Kyle Pitts OVER 61.5 Receiving Yards (-114); risk 0.5 units

Kyle Pitts has only gone over this total in three of six games, but he has done it in each of his last two. It appears the Falcons have finally unlocked Pitts in the offense and are using him all over their formations.

The result has been 10 and eight targets in the last two games, turning the looks into 119 and 163 receiving yards. Carolina does rank second in the league against the pass, but they’ve also played a lot of bad passing offenses.

They’ve had the luxury of playing the Jets, Saints, Texans, Eagles, and Giants (without any of their receivers). The Jets are the only team of the group to go over 200 yards through the air against them. Carolina was lit up by Minnesota a couple weeks ago for 373 passing yards, and despite a lower total, Dallas had no issues slinging the ball around the field against them either.

Pitts’ hot streak will continue for a third straight week.

Touchdown Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +500 -150
Darrell Henderson (LAR) +550 -140
Robert Woods (LAR) +750 +100
Brandin Cooks (HOU) +1400 +225
David Johnson (HOU) +1600 +250
Philip Lindsay (HOU) +2000 +310
Najee Harris (PIT) +550 -110
Diontae Johnson (PIT) +850 +150
Chase Claypool (PIT) +1000 +180
Nick Chubb (CLE) +500 -130
Odell Beckham (CLE) +1300 +250
Jarvis Landry (CLE) +1600 +300
Kenneth Gainwell (PHI) +900 +140
DeVonta Smith (PHI) +900 +130
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +1000 +140
D’Andre Swift (DET) +900 +140
TJ Hockenson (DET) +1000 +150
Kalif Raymond (DET) +1200 +180
Elijah Mitchell (SF) +600 +110
Deebo Samuel (SF) +850 +175
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) +1600 +350
Khalil Herbert (CHI) +750 +150
Justin Fields (CHI) +1200 +260
Allen Robinson II (CHI) +1300 +275
DJ Moore (CAR) +850 +125
Chuba Hubbard (CAR) +900 +125
Robby Anderson (CAR) +1200 +210
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) +750 +115
Calvin Ridley (ATL) +750 +115
Kyle Pitts (ATL) +900 +140
Myles Gaskin (MIA) +1400 +200
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) +1400 +200
DeVante Parker (MIA) +1600 +225
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +650 -110
Josh Allen (BUF) +750 +100
Zack Moss (BUF) +900 +130
Joe Mixon (CIN) +550 -115
 Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) +650 +110
Tee Higgins (CIN) +750 +130
Michael Carter (NYJ) +1100 +190
Jamison Crowder (NYJ) +1600 +290
Derrick Henry (TEN) +500 -165
AJ Brown (TEN) +1000 +150
Jonathan Taylor (IND) +650 -125
Michael Pittman (IND) +1100 +150
Chester Rogers (IND) +1400 +190
Damien Harris (NE) +850 +125
Jakobi Meyers (NE) +1500 +240
Hunter Henry (NE) +1500 +240
Austin Ekeler (LAC) +650 -105
Mike Williams (LAC) +800 +115
Keenan Allen (LAC) +850 +125
James Robinson (JAX) +600 -105
Marvin Jones (JAX) +1200 +210
Laviska Shenault (JAX) +1400 +260
DK Metcalf (SEA) +750 +130
Alex Collins (SEA) +850 +150
Tyler Lockett (SEA) +850 +140
Antonio Gibson (WAS) +850 +140
Terry McLaurin (WAS) +900 +150
Curtis Samuel (WAS) +1400 +240
Melvin Gordon (DEN) +750 +120
Cortland Sutton (DEN) +800 +125
Jerry Jeudy (DEN) +1200 +200
Leonard Fournette (TB) +750 -105
Mike Evans (TB) +850 +110
Chris Godwin (TB) +850 +115
Alvin Kamara (NO) +550 -150
Marquez Callaway (NO) +1200 +180
Tre’Quan Smith (NO) +1600 +240

Derrick Henry has the best odds to score a touchdown in Week 8 at -165. Henry is tied with Cooper Kupp and Nick Chubb for the best odds to score their respective game’s first touchdown.

Anytime Touchdown Picks for Week 8

Here’s who I like to find the end zone and why:

  1. Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown (+140): Hurts has four rushing touchdowns in his last three games. These odds are as short as +110 elsewhere. (0.33 units)
  2. D’Andre Swift anytime touchdown (+140): Swift has a touchdown in five of seven games this season. These odds are as short as -130 at other sportsbooks. (0.33 units)
  3. Khalil Herbert anytime touchdown (+150): I’m double-dipping on Herbert in a good spot against the Niners. He has a touchdown in one of his two starts, and these odds are as short as +125 elsewhere. (0.33 units)
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