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Capitals vs Flames Odds, Pick & Prediction (Dec 3)

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NHL Hockey

Updated Dec 3, 2022 · 3:19 PM PST

Calgary Flames forward Elias Lindholm celebrates his goal
Dec 1, 2022; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Calgary Flames forward Elias Lindholm (28) celebrates his goal with teammates against the Montreal Canadiens during the second period at Scotiabank Saddledome. Mandatory Credit: Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Calgary Flames are a -165 favorite in the Capitals vs Flames odds on Saturday (Dec. 3) at 10:00 pm ET
  • Calgary is 10-10-3 this season, while Washington is currently 10-11-4
  • Keep reading for the complete Capitals vs Flames odds, plus best bets – including a same-game parlay

Washington heads up to Alberta after dropping a 3-2 overtime decision Wednesday night to Seattle. Thanks to a Matthew Beniers goal seven seconds into overtime, the Capitals settled for one point.

The Flames continued their woes against Montreal after losing 2-1 on Thursday night. Calgary keeps hovering around .500.

Let’s plunge into the Capitals vs Flames odds and offer you our best NHL pick for Saturday’s late-night affair.

Capitals vs Flames Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Washington Capitals +1.5 (-185) O 6.0 (-105) +140
Calgary Flames -1.5 (+150) U 6.0 (-115) -165

Odds as of December 3rd at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM promo code for NHL betting.

Calgary is a -165 home favorite on the moneyline, giving them a 61.5% implied win probability. Right now, this contest features a total of 6.0.

 

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The Flames and their Stanley Cup odds moved down to +1400 to win the Stanley Cup, while Washington resides at +6600.

Faceoff is set for 10:00 pm ET at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, Alberta with CBC, NBCS-DC, and SN West providing coverage.

Washington Capitals Betting Analysis

Washington figured to face a lot of questions heading into the season. Nicklas Backstrom (hip) and Tom Wilson (offseason surgery) were expected to be out for a good while. So far, the Capitals treading water is still a surprise to some pundits.

The Washington Capitals getting cratered in their defensive zone keeps happening more often this season. That presents itself as a normal trend. Seattle, on Thursday night, out-attempted Washington in shots 63-30 at even strength.

Seattle mentioned how good Darcy Kuemper was in goal. That has been one of the few bright spots this season along with Alexander Ovechkin chasing the 800-goal plateau. Honestly, Washington has been mediocre.

Calgary Flames Betting Analysis

The Calgary Flames and Washington Capitals score goals at a bottom-third pace. However, the problems are somewhat different for the teams. Calgary allows less shots and scoring chances than Washington yet the results are relatively the same. After starting out 5-1, the Flames are now at .500 again.  Their schedule ranks as toughest in the league, but injuries have not been an issue.

The problems with Calgary keep mounting. Scoring evaporated after about game number six. Worse, despite 34.3 shots per game (5th in the NHL), Calgary converts just 8.6% of the time (26th in the league). This Flames squad yields a mere 28.7 shots per contest (4th in the NHL).

Alas, even with the Flames’ ability to suppress scoring chances and shots, their goaltenders cannot make the extra saves they need to. Starting goaltender Jacob Markstrom has a save percentage below .890. His odds to win the Vezina Trophy plummeted to +2200. Worse, the Flames’ backup, Dan Vladar, has performed better (.913 save percentage), but has just two wins in six starts. Markstrom projects to start tonight.

Capitals vs Flames Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
11/25/2022 WAS 3 – CAL 0 WAS WAS Under
3/8/2022 CAL 4 – WAS 5 WAS WAS Over
11/23/2021 WAS 3 – CAL 4 (OT) CGY CGY Over
11/3/2019 WAS 4 – CAL 2 WAS WAS Under
10/22/2019 CAL 3 – WAS 5 WAS WAS Over

The teams faced off twice last season with the teams winning on the road. Washington won the opening meeting just eight nights ago at home 3-0 over Calgary.

Capitals vs Flames Prediction

Now, Calgary continues with the middle game of a five-game homestand versus Washington. Meanwhile, the Capitals are on the Alberta phase of a six-game road trip.

Capitals vs Flames Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Calgary Total Over 3.5 Goals +105
Calgary Moneyline -165
PARLAY ODDS  +125

The goaltending matchups still expect to be Darcy Kuemper versus Jacob Markstrom. So, Calgary has triumphed in three of their last four home games after dropping four straight. At what point, do they snap out of this yo-yo effect? It keeps boiling down to goaltenders making saves. Markstrom’s .889 save percentage keeps hampering any run the Flames could mount.

Despite both teams hitting more on the under lately, is the over an option on Saturday night (Capitals 4-6, Flames 3-6-1 lately on the over)? Calgary scores three goals at home more than not (10 times out of 13) and Washington’s defense is more porous on the road. With Ovechkin chasing history, a couple more goals than usual could happen.

Pick: Capitals vs Flames Over 6 Goals (-105)

 

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