Golden Knights vs Stars Game 3 Odds, Prediction & Props to Target (May 23)

• The Stars are -150 home favorites in Game 3 of their Western Conference Finals series against the Golden Knights Tuesday (May 23rd) at 8:00pm ET
• Vegas held serve with two home overtime victories to jump ahead 2-0 in the series
• Keep reading for the complete Golden Knights vs Stars odds, plus best bets

The Dallas Stars were less than three minutes away from notching a victory in Game 2 of the Western Conference Finals on Sunday. However, a Jonathan Marchessault tying goal, followed by a Chandler Stephenson overtime winner put the Knights up 2-0 in the series. Both games have been won past regulation, so the Stars are desperate to get back into it on Tuesday.

Vegas began this series as -135 favorites to make their second Stanley Cup Final in six seasons of existence. They’re now -400 to advance to the Finals, with the Stars +310 underdogs. Read on for Golden Knights vs Stars analysis.

Golden Knights vs Stars Game 3 Odds

Vegas is the top choice in the Stanley Cup odds at +125, while Dallas is the last selection at +800. The Stars are the -150 favorites in this contest that features a total of 5.5 goals.

Puck drop is set for 8:00pm ET at American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX with ESPN broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC covering it in Canada.

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Vegas Golden Knights Betting Analysis

The Vegas Golden Knights find themselves two wins from their second-ever Stanley Cup Finals berth. They’ve won the first two games of this series in overtime, and are 6-and-0 in the postseason in games decided by two goals or less.

Goaltender Adin Hill has stepped up in replacing the injured Laurent Brossoit. He’s 5-1 with a 2.28 GAA and sparkling .930 save percentage.

Most Goals Saved Above Average in the 2023 #StanleyCup Playoffs:

11.5 – Sergei Bobrovsky
6.5 – Frederik Andersen
5.4 – Igor Shesterkin
5.2 – Adin Hill
4.1 – Ilya Sorokin

See the full list: https://t.co/di3c5ZM5Np pic.twitter.com/ckis3Y3Nff

— Hockey Reference (@hockey_ref) May 22, 2023

After operating at a ghastly 60.0% clip on the penalty kill through two rounds, Vegas has clamped down on the PK, killing four of five chances in this series.

The Golden Knights have won five of six on the road and 14 of 17 when their opponent scores two or fewer goals in their previous game.

Dallas Stars Betting Analysis

If Dallas had held onto their 2-1 lead late in Game 2, there wouldn’t have been a ton to dissect about what has gone wrong in Big D. Through two frames in that contest, they limited Vegas to just ten shots on goal and 25 total shot attempts. In nine of 15 playoff games, goaltender Jake Oettinger has surrendered three or more goals, including both in this series.

Expect a big performance from Jake Oettinger today. @DallasStars | #TexasHockey | #StanleyCup pic.twitter.com/JMO7jDPN2w

— NHL Network (@NHLNetwork) May 21, 2023

That above stat went to 23 wins and five losses following a loss on the campaign. Dallas hasn’t dropped three straight since mid-February, and they’ve won five of their last six home affairs. However, Dallas is 1-6 in their last seven versus a team with a winning % above .600.

Vegas vs Dallas Recent Results

Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season but has dropped both matchups in the Western Conference Finals.

Golden Knights vs Stars Pick & Prediction

Bettors believe that Dallas will climb back into the series, with a whopping 83% of moneyline bets placed on them thus far. That’s an implied win probability of 56.2%. Our model has this Golden Knights vs Stars game going Dallas’ way, 3.41-3.17.

When it comes to Golden Knights vs Stars props, selecting Roope Hintz at +155 to score is a solid wager. He has the most goals left of anyone competing in the postseason (10) and has found the back of the net in four of his last six outings.

Seven of the last nine duels between these two teams have resulted in a game going past regulation. Ten of eleven have been one-goal battles, so selecting either club on the puck line is dicey. The under is 7-1-2 in the Stars’ last 10 Conference Finals games. For Vegas, the under is 7-1-1 in their nine Conference Finals tangos. With it being such a close battle, expect the Stars to make this a tight series with a Game 3 victory.

Pick: Dallas Stars Moneyline (-150)