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Lighting vs Bruins Odds and Picks (Mar 24)

Brady Trettenero

by Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 24, 2022 · 12:10 PM PDT

Charlie Coyle skating
Boston Bruins' Charlie Coyle during the third period of an NHL hockey game against the Tampa Bay Lightning Saturday, March 7, 2020, in Boston. (AP Photo/Winslow Townson)
  • The Boston Bruins host the Tampa Bay Lightning on Thursday, March 24th
  • Lightning vs Bruins is listed as a pick’em in the Thursday NHL odds
  • Read below for Lightning vs Bruins odds, picks and prediction

The Boston Bruins (39-19-5) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (39-17-6) in a huge NHL Atlantic Division matchup on Thursday, March 24th. The puck drops at 7pm ET at TD Garden. The Lightning vs Bruins game is being listed as a pick’em in the Lightning vs Bruins Thursday NHL odds. The total is set at 5.5 for a matchup between two Eastern Conference heavyweights.

Let’s take a look at the Lightning vs Bruins odds and find the NHL best bet for Thursday’s game.

Lightning vs Bruins Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Thursday, Mar. 24 Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-305) O 5.5 (-120) -110
7pm ET Boston Bruins -1.5 (+235) U 5.5 (-103) -110

Odds as of  March. 23 at Barstool Sportsbook

The Bruins are listed at +235 odds on the puckline, while the Lightning are -305 to keep the game within two goals. The -110 moneyline price for both teams means they each have an equal 50% implied probability to win.

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Bruins Betting Value at TD Garden

Boston brings a solid 18-10-2 home record into Thursday’s matchup with Tampa Bay. The Bruins have spent the past week on the road where they posted a 3-1-0 record. Bruce Cassidy’s team has only suffered three losses in their past 15 games overall.

Boston’s recent surge has made them +1300 to win the Atlantic Division in the NHL Divisional odds. The Bruins will have some new faces in the lineup Thursday following the NHL Trade Deadline. D-man Hampus Lindholm and forward Josh Brown are expected to make their B’s debuts.

Boston has an elite top line with Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron and David Pastrnak, but their defense has also been impressive. The Bruins have allowed two or fewer goals in four of their past games. Projected starting goalie Jeremy Swayman has won nine of his past 10 starts.

The Bruins are fairly healthy entering Thursday’s matchup, but there’s one key injury that impacts their betting value. Captain Bergeron is dealing with an elbow infection and is listed as “probable” for Thursday’s matchup.

Lightning Betting Analysis on the Road

The Lightning are -110 on the moneyline in the Thursday NHL odds, but they could become underdogs based on recency bias. Tampa Bay has lost two straight games and five of their past seven contests. They have a one-point lead over Boston in the NHL standings.

Despite Tampa’s current slump, they remain an enticing betting option on the road. The Bolts are 20-11-2 away from Amalie Arena this season, including a close 3-2 loss at Carolina on Tuesday. Tampa Bay has also won seven straight games at TD Garden.

The Bots are slipping in the 2022 Stanley Cup odds due to a lack of goal-scoring. Jon Cooper’s team has been held to two or fewer goals in five of their last six games. The Lightning made a move at the deadline to improve their depth, acquiring forward Nick Paul from the Senators.

You can never count Tampa Bay out during a slump, however, due to their elite starting goalie. Netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy (.919 SV%, 2.38 GAA) is a contender in the Vezina odds and Thursday’s projected starting NHL goalie.

Lightning vs Bruins Pick & Prediction

The Lightning vs Bruins odds tell us these are two very evenly matched teams going at it. Over the past month, however, Boston has been a top-10 team in puck possession, while the Bolts have barely cracked the top-20.

These two teams have played twice this season, with Tampa winning the first meeting and Boston taking the most recent battle. The Bruins won 5-2 in January at Amalie Arena to snap a five-game winning streak for the Bolts in this rivalry series.

Lightning vs Bruins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Money Line Puck Line Over/Under
01/08/2022 TBL 2 – BOS 5 BOS BOS Over
12/04/2021 BOS 2 – TBL 3 OT TBL TBL Under
08/31/2020 TB 3 – BOS 2 (OT) TBL BOS Under
08/29/2020 BOS 1 – TB 3 TBL TBL Under
08/26/2020 BOS 1 – TB 7 TBL TBL Over

Instead of picking a side, the total is the safe way to play the Lightning vs Bruins odds. Swayman is playing some of the best hockey of his career, while Vasilevskiy has allowed seven total goals in his past four starts. Furthermore, Lindholm is a strong defensive piece added to this rivalry.

Here are some betting trends to note for Lightning vs Bruins:

  • Under is 6-0 in Lightning last 6 overall.
  • Under is 3-0-2 in Bruins last 5 overall.
  • Road team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

Neither of these teams are lightning it up offensively, but they’re both getting fantastic goaltending. Look for Boston’s defense in particular to really shine against this frustrated Tampa offense. Take Under 5.5 goals at -103 in the Lightning vs Bruins Thursday NHL odds at Barstool Sportsbook.

Pick: Under 5.5 (-103)

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