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Lightning vs Penguins Odds, Pick & Prediction (Feb 26)

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in NHL Hockey

Updated Feb 25, 2023 · 10:04 PM PST

Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos skates with the puck against Pittsburgh Penguins right wing Bryan Rust
Oct 12, 2021; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) skates with the puck against Pittsburgh Penguins right wing Bryan Rust (17) during the first period at Amalie Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Tampa Bay Lightning are -150 favorites in the Lightning vs Penguins odds on Sunday (Feb. 26) at 6pm ET
  • Tampa Bay is 30-18-7 this season, while Pittsburgh is 17-32-6
  • Read below for the complete Lightning vs Penguins odds, plus best bets – including a same-game parlay

Sunday features seven games in all, including an evening tilt featuring the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Tampa Bay Lightning.

Can Pittsburgh ride some home cooking to a second straight win?

It is time for those Lightning vs Penguins odds and offer you our best NHL pick for Sunday evening’s tilt.

Lightning vs Penguins Odds

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+195) O 6.5 (-110) -120
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-250) U 6.5 (-110) +100

Tampa Bay rolls in at -120 on the moneyline with Pittsburgh at Even . Game totals are staying firm at 6.5. One may want to toss some of the ATS numbers out the window. Now, the reason why would be both teams come in unrested. Furthermore, projected starting goaltenders are Brian Elliott (Tampa) and Casey DeSmith (Pittsburgh).

Stanley Cup odds are fading away from Pittsburgh (+3000), but Tampa Bay still lies at +1200.

Puck drop is scheduled for 6:00 pm ET at the PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. The game is broadcasted on NHL Network, BSSUN, and SportsNet.


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Odds as of February 26th at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM promo code for NHL betting.

Tampa Bay Lightning Looked Ahead To Pittsburgh?

Tampa Bay did not have the best of games on Saturday night in Detroit. Despite the Lightning’s best efforts to keep Detroit in the game, Tampa Bay won 3-0. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 45 saves to get the shutout.

Yes, Tampa Bay mustered less than 20 shots on goal, but rode a Nikita Kucherov tally err coasted. No matter how many opportunities were generated by Detroit, the Lightning never looked in danger. Vasilevskiy remained focus as the Red Wings kept pouring on the scoring chances. Odds to win the Vezina Trophy, for the Russian goalie, are at +1500 for now.

The good news for Tampa Bay is that Pittsburgh allows the fourth-most shots per game in the league at 34.2 per contest. Now, the Lightning scored 3.58 goals per game (4th in the NHL) and feature the league’s second-best power play (25.9%). One trouble stat from Tampa Bay remains penalty minutes taken at 11.4 (28th in the league). That puts the Lightning penalty kill under fire.

Pittsburgh Penguins Firmly On The Bubble

While most experts never expected the Pittsburgh Penguins to be in peril of making the playoffs, here we are. Pittsburgh needed a little luck on Saturday to defeat St. Louis 3-2 in overtime. Bryan Rust’s goal helped give Pittsburgh the much-needed second point.

The problem with Pittsburgh remains consistency. With a Penguins team losing six of their last ten games, every point is critical. A little bit of depth scoring would help too.

The Penguins needed 48 shots to snap a four-game losing streak. Few truly know what to expect Sunday evening with both teams coming off completely opposite efforts. The only similar thing was both teams won.

Again, with Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin going up versus Steven Stamkos and Nikita Kucherov, this game has an abundance of star power. This figures to be quite the interesting contest.

Casey DeSmith and Brian Elliott have been okay in goal, but far from spectacular.

Lightning vs Penguins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
10/15/2022 PIT 6 – TB 2 PIT PIT Over
3/3/2022 TB 1 – PIT 5 PIT PIT Push
10/26/2021 PIT 1 – TB 5 TB TB Over
10/12/2021 TB 2 – PIT 6 PIT PIT Over
2/11/2020 PIT 1 – TB 2 (OT) TB TB Under

The teams squared off once this season, with Pittsburgh routing Tampa Bay.

Lightning vs Penguins Prediction

Now, the teams come in on opposite ends of a streak. Los Angeles won consecutive games while Anaheim has dropped three straight contests. The only question is this. Can the Kings cover the puckline or just the moneyline tonight?

Lightning vs Penguins Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline EVEN
Over 6.5 Goals -110

The game looks poised to feature lots of up-and-down scoring chances. Consider that Tampa Bay was not happy with their offensive effort. Again, Pittsburgh loves to generate chances at the expense of allowing transition scoring chances. A back end of a back-to-back carries some risk.

However, Pittsburgh needs this game and the two points as the Penguins try to stay up in the wildcard race. Tampa Bay knows they are almost locked in against Toronto. This could be a fun offensive showcase.

Pick: Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline (EVEN)


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