Upcoming Match-ups

Oilers vs Leafs Odds, Prediction & Same-Game Parlay (Mar 11)

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in NHL Hockey

Updated Mar 10, 2023 · 6:20 PM PST

Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Ilya Samsonov makes a save on Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid
Mar 1, 2023; Edmonton, Alberta, CAN; Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender Ilya Samsonov (35) makes a save on Edmonton Oilers forward Connor McDavid (97) during the third period at Rogers Place. Mandatory Credit: Perry Nelson-USA TODAY Sports
  • Toronto is a -130 home favorite in Oilers vs Maple Leafs odds Saturday (March 11th) at 7:00pm ET
  • The Maple Leafs are six points up on Edmonton in the NHL standings
  • Keep reading for the complete Oilers vs Maple Leafs odds, plus best bets – including a same-game parlay

Saturday evening, the Edmonton Oilers, who have won four of five, infiltrate Toronto to face the Maple Leafs. The Buds have been victorious in five of seven, and they’re comfortably inside the playoff picture. Edmonton currently holds the first wild card spot in the West, though they’re just four points back in the Pacific.

On the campaign, Edmonton is 36-22-8 for 80 points, while Toronto is 39-17-8 for 86 points.

The Maple Leafs have won eight of their last eleven meetings. However, Oil Country beat them 5-2 on March 1st. Read on for Oilers vs Maple Leafs analysis.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Odds

Game Time (ET) Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Saturday, March 11th Edmonton Oilers +1.5 (-210) O 7 (+110) +110
7:00 pm Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+180) U 7 (-130) -130

The Leafs are the fourth choice in the Stanley Cup odds at +950, while the Oilers are eighth at +1400. Toronto is the -130 favorite in this contest that features a total of seven goals.

Puck drop is set for 7:00 pm ET at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON with NHL Network broadcasting the game in the States and Rogers Sportsnet and CBC showing it in Canada.



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Odds as of March 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook

Edmonton Oilers Betting Analysis

The Edmonton Oilers have been confusing all season, with wild blips of poor play followed by scintillating stretches. Connor McDavid has reached a mind-boggling level this year, racking up a career-high 54 goals and NHL-leading 124 points (27 more than anyone else, who happens to be his teammate Leon Draisaitl). Edmonton is coming off an impressive 3-2 victory in Boston, erasing a two-goal deficit to earn a huge victory.

They’ve won four of five to keep their grip on the first Wild Card spot, and are just four points back of tops in the Pacific which features four teams within four points of each other.

For the season, they’re best in goals per contest, but 21st in goals against. It would stand to reason they’re the best PP team, but 24th on the PK.

Edmonton has won their last five duels when they’re an underdog between +110 and +150. They’ve also taken six of seven as a road underdog and have secured four of five against winning teams.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs have had a fantastic season, with the fourth most points in the NHL. Unfortunately for them, the Atlantic Division isn’t within reach since the Bruins have been incredible (17 points ahead). With an almost certain playoff date with Tampa Bay, they’ve been experimenting with six new arrivals acquired before the trade deadline, and it sounds like they’ll go with eleven forwards and seven blueliners Saturday.

For the season, the Buds are sixth in goals against and ninth in scoring, and are third on the PP and 13th on the PK. Ilya Samsonov is the expected starter in net, and he’s been dynamite at home, going 17-2-1 (compared to 6-6-1 on the road).

Like Edmonton, Toronto has won four of five against teams with winning records. The under is 4-0-1 in their last five against the Western Conference.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Total
3/1/2023 EDM 5 – TOR 2 EDM EDM Push
1/5/2022 TOR 4 – EDM 2 TOR TOR Push
12/14/2021 EDM 1 – TOR 5 TOR TOR Under
3/29/2021 TOR 2 – EDM 3 (OT) EDM EDM Under
3/27/2021 TOR 4 – EDM 3 (OT) TOR EDM Over

Since 2021, these two have dueled twelve times. In every single one of them, they failed to combine for more than seven goals (in five instances exactly seven goals were scored).

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Pick & Prediction

With the best player in the game in Connor McDavid competing and two-time reigning Rocket Richard Trophy winner Auston Matthews battling, it should be a very entertaining affair. Our model has this Oilers vs Maple Leafs game going the home team’s way 3.79-3.53.

Oilers vs Maple Leafs Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline -130
Under 7 Goals -130

The Leafs have won three straight on home ice, while Edmonton has dropped four of seven on the road. Historically, selecting the under is the sensible play between these two combatants.

Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs Moneyline (-130), Under 7 goals (-130)


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