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Early Super Tuesday Odds Open with Bernie Sanders Favored in All States Listed

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Feb 15, 2020 · 6:42 AM PST

Bernie Sanders making a point
Bernie Sanders is favored to win Democratic Presidential primaries in California, North Carolina, Massachusetts, and Texas on Super Tuesday. Photo by Gage Skidmore (flickr).
  • Odds offered on Super Tuesday Democratic Presidential primaries in California, North Carolina, Massachusetts, and Texas
  • How many of these key states is Bernie Sanders expected to carry?
  • All of the odds on these props are listed in the story below

How’s Tuesday, March 3? It’s super, thanks for asking.

March 3, aka Super Tuesday, is viewed as the make it or break it date in the Democratic Presidential race. With 16 states slated to contest primaries that day, those who stumble are likely to fall out of the chase.

Sportsbooks are anticipating that this particular Tuesday will be super for Bernie Sanders. He’s picked to win Democratic primaries in four of the biggest states in the country. Bernie’s favored in California, Massachusetts, North Carolina and Texas.

He’s the odds-on chalk in three of these four states.

2020 Super Tuesday Democratic Primary Odds

Candidate California Massachusetts North Carolina Texas odds
Bernie Sanders -415 -159 -144 +100
Michael Bloomberg +435 +293 +155 +133
Pete Buttigieg +960 +1274 +1685 +3000
Joe Biden +840 +2059 +504 +325
Amy Klobuchar +4000 +4000 +5000 +6500
Elizabeth Warren +4500 +340 +5000 +4000
Tom Steyer +6500 +8500 +9000 +10000
Tulsi Gabbard +20000 +30000 +25000 +25000

Odds taken Feb. 15

Across the leading online sportsbooks, Vermont Senator Sanders leads the Democratic nominee odds at +124.

Why is Tuesday, March 3 Super?

Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia are all contesting primaries on March 3. Of the 3,979 pledged delegates to be awarded to Presidential candidates, 1,357 are up for grabs on this one day.

This is why Super Tuesday is so vital in the race to be the Democratic nominee.

Super Tuesday won’t clinch the nomination for anyone. It will, however, separate the wheat from the chaff.

For those who don’t perform superlatively when the votes are counted March 3, it’s simple. They need to step aside and let the real contenders battle it out the rest of the way.

Big States Backing Bernie

Polls in California and Texas show Sanders leading in these states. These are the two most populous states in America. California has 415 delegates available. Texas offers 228 delegates.

Wins in both of these states would go a long way toward cementing Sanders as the absolute frontrunner to be the Democratic nominee.

A University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows Sanders with 24%, slightly ahead of Joe Biden at 22%. That’s a 12-point increase for Bernie since the fall.

In California, a Capitol Weekly poll taken just prior to his win in the Feb. 11 New Hampshire primary showed Sanders leading at 29%. Elizabeth Warren was a distant second at 16%.

California Pick: Bernie Sanders (-415).

Bloomberg’s Big Day

A late entrant to the race, Michael Bloomberg targeted Super Tuesday as his coming-out party. It’s the first time he’ll be officially on the ballot.

The former Mayor of New York invested immense resources on both a ground game and advertising in the Super Tuesday states. However, the odds look to be against him.

Bloomberg is the second betting choice in all four states mentioned here. But it’s only in Texas (Sanders +100, Bloomberg +133) and North Carolina (Sanders -144, Bloomberg +155) where he looks to be within striking distance of Bernie.

Texas Pick: Michael Bloomberg (+133).

Democrats Still Fractured

The stubbornness of some Sanders supporters refusing to back Hillary Clinton in 2016 played a role in putting Republican Donald Trump in the White House. Will Democrats do this again in 2020?

There are Andrew Yang supporters insisting they’ll vote for him on Super Tuesday, even though he’s out of the race.

Suppose the odds are correct and Sanders takes firm control of this race. As candidates start dropping out, will their supporters rally behind Bernie?

They must back the frontrunner. Otherwise, Super Tuesday’s winner doesn’t matter. Democrats will again lose the long game to Trump.

This article may contain links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.

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