Early Super Tuesday Odds Open with Bernie Sanders Favored in All States Listed
- Odds offered on Super Tuesday Democratic Presidential primaries in California, North Carolina, Massachusetts, and Texas
- How many of these key states is Bernie Sanders expected to carry?
- All of the odds on these props are listed in the story below
How’s Tuesday, March 3? It’s super, thanks for asking.
March 3, aka Super Tuesday, is viewed as the make it or break it date in the Democratic Presidential race. With 16 states slated to contest primaries that day, those who stumble are likely to fall out of the chase.
Sportsbooks are anticipating that this particular Tuesday will be super for Bernie Sanders. He’s picked to win Democratic primaries in four of the biggest states in the country. Bernie’s favored in California, Massachusetts, North Carolina and Texas.
He’s the odds-on chalk in three of these four states.
2020 Super Tuesday Democratic Primary Odds
|Candidate||California||Massachusetts||North Carolina||Texas odds|
Odds taken Feb. 15
Across the leading online sportsbooks, Vermont Senator Sanders leads the Democratic nominee odds at +124.
Why is Tuesday, March 3 Super?
Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia are all contesting primaries on March 3. Of the 3,979 pledged delegates to be awarded to Presidential candidates, 1,357 are up for grabs on this one day.
This is why Super Tuesday is so vital in the race to be the Democratic nominee.
I am going to keep saying this, but this race is still wide open. As of today, there is no clear front runner. Buttigieg leads in delegates, Bernie won the popular vote barely, and Amy has a strong base with women, and Bloomberg is spending millions for Super Tuesday.
— Matthew Dowd (@matthewjdowd) February 12, 2020
Super Tuesday won’t clinch the nomination for anyone. It will, however, separate the wheat from the chaff.
For those who don’t perform superlatively when the votes are counted March 3, it’s simple. They need to step aside and let the real contenders battle it out the rest of the way.
Big States Backing Bernie
Polls in California and Texas show Sanders leading in these states. These are the two most populous states in America. California has 415 delegates available. Texas offers 228 delegates.
Wins in both of these states would go a long way toward cementing Sanders as the absolute frontrunner to be the Democratic nominee.
Sanders leads Texas Tribune poll of Texas: 24% to Biden's 22%. Warren gets to 15% threshold. (Others far behind: Bloomberg 10% despite having Super Tuesday to himself, Buttigieg 7%, Klobuchar only 3%.)
Sanders is also strongest against Trump, down 2%. Others close: down 3-5%.
— Taniel (@Taniel) February 14, 2020
A University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows Sanders with 24%, slightly ahead of Joe Biden at 22%. That’s a 12-point increase for Bernie since the fall.
In California, a Capitol Weekly poll taken just prior to his win in the Feb. 11 New Hampshire primary showed Sanders leading at 29%. Elizabeth Warren was a distant second at 16%.
California Pick: Bernie Sanders (-415).
Bloomberg’s Big Day
A late entrant to the race, Michael Bloomberg targeted Super Tuesday as his coming-out party. It’s the first time he’ll be officially on the ballot.
The former Mayor of New York invested immense resources on both a ground game and advertising in the Super Tuesday states. However, the odds look to be against him.
It’s great to be kicking things off in Winston-Salem, NC. We’re making three stops in North Carolina today, where early voting is starting.
This is a battleground state. Not only will we win here on Super Tuesday, we’ll win here in November. pic.twitter.com/wnEq4TZHWP
— Mike Bloomberg (@MikeBloomberg) February 13, 2020
Bloomberg is the second betting choice in all four states mentioned here. But it’s only in Texas (Sanders +100, Bloomberg +133) and North Carolina (Sanders -144, Bloomberg +155) where he looks to be within striking distance of Bernie.
Texas Pick: Michael Bloomberg (+133).
Democrats Still Fractured
The stubbornness of some Sanders supporters refusing to back Hillary Clinton in 2016 played a role in putting Republican Donald Trump in the White House. Will Democrats do this again in 2020?
There are Andrew Yang supporters insisting they’ll vote for him on Super Tuesday, even though he’s out of the race.
After some heated debate,
The entire Southerners For Yang team will be voting for Yang on Super Tuesday.
One thing is clear,
There is still no viable candidate in this race, the only one able to defeat Donald Trump and fix our country is @AndrewYang #StillVotingYang
— Southerners for Humanity ? (@SouthernersYang) February 15, 2020
Suppose the odds are correct and Sanders takes firm control of this race. As candidates start dropping out, will their supporters rally behind Bernie?
They must back the frontrunner. Otherwise, Super Tuesday’s winner doesn’t matter. Democrats will again lose the long game to Trump.
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