2024 Democratic Party Presidential Nominee Odds Tracker
- See where the odds to win the 2024 Democratic currently stand
- President-elect Joe Biden is not favored to earn the nomination four years from now
- Vice President-elect Kamala Harris opened as the chalk
In a rare occurrence, the incumbent President has opened as an underdog to win the party nomination in four years’ time. President-elect Joe Biden found himself second to Vice President-elect Kamala Harris in the early line to be the 2024 Democratic nominee.
The graph below shows how the average odds have changed over time.
2024 Democratic Party Presidential Nominee Odds
UNDER CONSTRUCTION
- Nov. 6, 2020: Kamala (+250) Harris is favored – by a wide margin – to be the 2024 Democratic nominee while President-elect Joe Biden is a distant second at +700.
2024 Democratic Presidential Nominee Odds
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | +275 |
| Joe Biden | +600 |
| Andrew Yang | +800 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | +1000 |
| Beto O’Rourke | +1000 |
| Michelle Obama | +1100 |
| Bernie Sanders | +1200 |
| Pete Buttigieg | +1200 |
| Stacey Abrams | +1200 |
| Andrew Cuomo | +1400 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +1500 |
| Mark Cuban | +2000 |
| Michael Bloomberg | +2000 |
| Amy Klobuchar | +2500 |
| Cory Booker | +2500 |
| Gretchen Whitmer | +2500 |
Odds as of Nov. 12, 2020.
Past Democratic Party Nominees
| Year | Name | Popular Vote Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Joe Biden* | 50.8% |
| 2016 | Hillary Clinton | 48.2% |
| 2012 | Barack Obama* | 51.1% |
| 2008 | Barack Obama* | 52.9% |
| 2004 | John Kerry | 48.3% |
| 2000 | Al Gore | 48.4% |
| 1996 | Bill Clinton* | 49.2% |
| 1992 | Bill Clinton* | 43.0% |
| 1988 | Michael Dukakis | 45.7% |
| 1984 | Walter Mondale | 40.6% |
| 1980 | Jimmy Carter | 41.0% |
*Elected President of the United States
Bill Clinton received only 43% of the popular vote in 1992 but still managed to win the presidency as independent candidate Ross Perot garnered close to 20 million votes. It was the first time since 1968 that a candidate won the election while falling short of the 50% threshold.
Archived Democratic nomination odds: 2020
Sascha has been the Lead Oddsmaker for SBD for over four years, specializing in football, baseball, hockey, and basketball. He has been featured on USA Today's Draft Wire, Fansided, Chicago Tribune, Newsweek, and numerous additional local and national publications.
