- Elizabeth Warren has managed to stand out from a crowded field
- Warren was as high as +3900 but her odds are now down to +2000
- If the economy remains this strong, Trump will likely be re-elected
Elizabeth Warren has seen her 2020 US Presidential Election odds improve significantly. She’s managed to stand out from a crowded field, which is now up to 23 contenders on the Democratic side after New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio joined the fold on Thursday. Is Warren worth a bet at this point?
2020 US Presidential Election Odds
|Candidate||2020 US Presidential Election Odds at BetOnline|
*Odds taken 05/16/19. For a full list of candidates, click the link in the table above.
Warren Has Stood out From the Crowd
There are now more than 20 people running to become the Democratic Party’s nominee and the biggest challenge for the vast majority of them is standing out. What’s Andrew Yang going to do as president? What are Corey Booker’s plans? What can Julian Castro bring to the table? Nobody knows.
Warren has big plans for healthcare, student debt, and abortion, and it’s resonating with the progressive left.
One person who has not only had a voice but has managed to distinguish themselves has been Elizabeth Warren. She has big plans for healthcare, student debt and abortion, and it’s resonating with the progressive left. She’s had a few semi-viral moments and several good tweets, which have bumped up her profile.
Republican men are on a march toward overturning #RoeVWade. And thanks to Trump stacking the courts with anti-choice judges, they’re closer than ever. Women are scared, women are angry—and we have a right to be. If you’re an ally of women, now’s the time to make that clear. pic.twitter.com/FtYWqrkYng
— Elizabeth Warren (@ewarren) May 15, 2019
The challenge with Warren is just long-term, she’s not a great option. She has bold ideas but few believe she can execute them. That’s a big problem. She’s also escaped scrutiny to this point, for the most part, but if she continues to climb, she’ll get under the microscope. That won’t help her cause.
Skepticism Surrounding Biden, Sanders
There’s a really big push and pull in the party right now – specifically, with the two favorites. Progressives would love to go for a guy like Sanders but many moderate Democrats would be concerned. Meanwhile, Biden would work for many moderates but progressives don’t feel he offers much change.
We know what the goal of the far right is: overturn Roe v. Wade and outlaw all abortion in America. It is not a stretch to say that this would, quite literally, kill women. Here’s how we fight back: pic.twitter.com/JEQ7myc0ny
— Bernie Sanders (@SenSanders) May 16, 2019
That’s created a lane for somebody to fill, but the question is who? Is it Mayor Pete? Is it someone else? It’s clear that Biden and Sanders are raising the most money right now and are the biggest brand names. At the same time, they don’t satisfy everyone and that’s leaving the door open for someone else to emerge.
Trump Train Continues
It’s going to be very difficult for any Democrat – at least right now – to unseat Trump. Incumbents often roll to re-election when the economy is doing well and it is roaring under Trump. If that changes in the next year, the door becomes wide open for a change.
President Trump: “Our policies have turbo-charged our economy and now we must implement an immigration system that will allow our citizens to proper for generations to come.” https://t.co/EZ89FeqsmW pic.twitter.com/NbT8077jzE
— The Hill (@thehill) May 17, 2019
He’d be my bet to win, but overall but if you’re looking at just the Democratic nominee, I like Pete Buttigieg right now. He’s a moderate, he’s young and he’s progressive. He checks a lot of the boxes and if he picks an experienced running mate, he could be the Democrats best bet to unseat Trump.