- Nikki Haley announced her candidacy for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination on Wednesday
- She’s drawn over 60% of the action in this betting market since making her declaration
- Haley’s odds to be win the 2024 Presidential election shortened from +2800 to +2000
It could be debated with merit that Nikki Haley is the Presidential nominee that the Republican Party needs. The question, though is whether she is the nominee that the Republican Party wants.
The former South Carolina Governor and UN Ambassador officially announced her candidacy for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination on Wednesday. She’s the second Republican to officially declare. The first was former President Donald Trump.
Haley was at odds of +2800 to be the Republican nominee prior to her declaration. Since she made it official, her line in this betting market has shortened. She’s now +2000 in the 2024 US Presidential odds. Online sportsbooks are reporting more than 60% of the action in this betting market over the past 24 hours has been on Haley.
2024 US Presidential Election Odds
|Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson
Odds as of February 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.
Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available to Ontario sports bettors. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.
Haley remains the co-fifth betting choice along with Democrat and California Governor Gavin Newsom. She’s the third pick in the Republican nomination odds at +1000.
Don’t Underestimate Haley As Candidate
In her political career, Haley is undefeated. She’s never lost in a run for office. At the age of 51, Haley is selling herself as the future of the Republican Party. Certainly, her platform is to move away from divisive rhetoric. While popular with much of the Republican Party’s base, it doesn’t resonate at all with those who aren’t hard-core MAGA types.
While not saying his name, it was abundantly clear in the announcement of his candidacy that Haley is selling herself as the anti-Trump. That could prove a strong selling point moving forward. Evidence is suggesting that Trump’s star is fading. He was the +200 chalk to win the 2024 Presidential election in November. Today. Trump is sitting third overall in this betting market at +350.
I have a particular message for my fellow Republicans: We’ve lost the popular vote in seven of the last eight presidential elections.
Our cause is right—but we have failed to win the confidence of a majority of Americans.
Well—that ends today.
If you’re tired of losing,… https://t.co/djRamOhtRp
— Nikki Haley (@NikkiHaley) February 15, 2023
Haley was ultimately a Trump supporter once he won the Republican nomination in 2016. However, Haley’s track record isn’t anything like Trump or Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The latter is anticipated to be the other strong 2024 Republican Presidential candidate.
While both of them wade deeply into the perceived culture war that’s such a popular talking point with many Republicans and right-wing pundits, Haley often goes the other way. In fact, as Governor of South Carolina in 2015, she successfully led the charge to remove the Confederate Flag from the state capitol. In the past, she’s even cited Hillary Clinton as someone who inspired her to enter politics.
Is She Too Far Removed From Republican Base To Be Successful?
Certainly, Haley offers the potential to resonate with fence sitters and moderate Democrats. But is she drifting too far from the Republican base to ultimate succeed in this run for the Presidency?
Although critical of Trump’s false accusations of the 2020 election being rigged, Haley also insisted later that she wouldn’t run for the Presidency against Trump. Clearly, she’s viewing his perch as vulnernable, or she wouldn’t be making this announcement. Politicians, after all, are nothing if not opportunists.
.@NikkiHaley's announcement speech is nothing but tired, recycled cliches, masquerading her MAGA light agenda.
Heavy on the faux "folksy" act.
Who does this actually appeal to?
Certainly not the GOP base.
Bless her heart.
— Tara Setmayer 🌻 (@TaraSetmayer) February 15, 2023
Haley’s biggest problem could be that she doesn’t poll well with hard-core Republicans. She doesn’t have a current political position to use as a pulpit and isn’t awash in cash like the Trump and DeSantis camps are.
Suppose Trump and DeSantis get into an ugly tong war while campaigning. The Republican leadership may decide that they can’t win the big race with either of them. That’s when Haley might have a chance to slip in under the radar.
She could be viewed as a breath of fresh air. After all, this is a party whose message is quickly growing tiresome and stale with the masses. But it’s a long shot at best. It will truly be an uphill battle for her to win the nomination.