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Nikki Haley’s Odds to Win 2024 Election Improve to +2000 After Announcement She’s Running for President

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Updated Feb 15, 2023 · 8:08 PM PST

Nikki Haley announcing her run for President
Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley greets supporters, including Liz Arviv Dobkin of Israel reacting after getting a photo on her phone after finishing her announcement for a 2024 run for U.S. President with supporters at the Visitors Center in Charleston, S.C. Wednesday, February 15, 2023. Nikki Haley U S Presidential Candidate Rally Charleston Sc
  • Nikki Haley announced her candidacy for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination on Wednesday
  • She’s drawn over 60% of the action in this betting market since making her declaration
  • Haley’s odds to be win the 2024 Presidential election shortened from +2800 to +2000

It could be debated with merit that Nikki Haley is the Presidential nominee that the Republican Party needs. The question, though is whether she is the nominee that the Republican Party wants.

The former South Carolina Governor and UN Ambassador officially announced her candidacy for the 2024 Republican Presidential nomination on Wednesday. She’s the second Republican to officially declare. The first was former President Donald Trump.

Haley was at odds of +2800 to be the Republican nominee prior to her declaration. Since she made it official, her line in this betting market has shortened. She’s now +2000 in the 2024 US Presidential odds. Online sportsbooks are reporting more than 60% of the action in this betting market over the past 24 hours has been on Haley.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

Candidate Odds
Joe Biden +250
Ron DeSantis +300
Donald Trump +350
Kamala Harris +1600
Nikki Haley +2000
Gavin Newsom +2000
Gretchen Whitmer +3500
Mike Pence +3500
Michelle Obama +3500
Pete Buttigieg +4000
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +5000
Mike Pompeo +5000
Hillary Clinton +6500
Elizabeth Warren +6500
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +6500
Kristi Noem +6500
Tom Cotton +6500
Ted Cruz +8000
Tucker Carlson +8000
Tulsi Gabbard +8000
Liz Cheney +8000
Amy Klobuchar +8000
Josh Hawley +10000
Marco Rubio +10000
Andrew Yang +10000
Dan Crenshaw +10000
John Kasich +10000
Larry Hogan +10000
Mitt Romney +10000
Michael Bloomberg +10000
Chris Christie +10000
Greg Abbott +10000
Jeff Bezos +10000
Bernie Sanders +10000
Ivanka Trump +10000

Odds as of February 15 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.


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Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available to Ontario sports bettors. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.

Haley remains the co-fifth betting choice along with Democrat and California Governor Gavin Newsom. She’s the third pick in the Republican nomination odds at +1000.

Don’t Underestimate Haley As Candidate

In her political career, Haley is undefeated. She’s never lost in a run for office. At the age of 51, Haley is selling herself as the future of the Republican Party. Certainly, her platform is to move away from divisive rhetoric. While popular with much of the Republican Party’s base, it doesn’t resonate at all with those who aren’t hard-core MAGA types.

While not saying his name, it was abundantly clear in the announcement of his candidacy that Haley is selling herself as the anti-Trump. That could prove a strong selling point moving forward. Evidence is suggesting that Trump’s star is fading. He was the +200 chalk to win the 2024 Presidential election in November. Today. Trump is sitting third overall in this betting market at +350.

Haley was ultimately a Trump supporter once he won the Republican nomination in 2016. However, Haley’s track record isn’t anything like Trump or Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The latter is anticipated to be the other strong 2024 Republican Presidential candidate.

While both of them wade deeply into the perceived culture war that’s such a popular talking point with many Republicans and right-wing pundits, Haley often goes the other way. In fact, as Governor of South Carolina in 2015, she successfully led the charge to remove the Confederate Flag from the state capitol. In the past, she’s even cited Hillary Clinton as someone who inspired her to enter politics.

Is She Too Far Removed From Republican Base To Be Successful?

Certainly, Haley offers the potential to resonate with fence sitters and moderate Democrats. But is she drifting too far from the Republican base to ultimate succeed in this run for the Presidency?

Although critical of Trump’s false accusations of the 2020 election being rigged, Haley also insisted later that she wouldn’t run for the Presidency against Trump. Clearly, she’s viewing his perch as vulnernable, or she wouldn’t be making this announcement. Politicians, after all, are nothing if not opportunists.

Haley’s biggest problem could be that she doesn’t poll well with hard-core Republicans. She doesn’t have a current political position to use as a pulpit and isn’t awash in cash like the Trump and DeSantis camps are.

Suppose Trump and DeSantis get into an ugly tong war while campaigning. The Republican leadership may decide that they can’t win the big race with either of them. That’s when Haley might have a chance to slip in under the radar.

She could be viewed as a breath of fresh air. After all, this is a party whose message is quickly growing tiresome and stale with the masses. But it’s a long shot at best. It will truly be an uphill battle for her to win the nomination.


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