Odds Trump Removed From Office Still +600 After Getting Impeached in the House

Donald Trump speaking
President Donald Trump was impeached Wednesday by the US House of Representatives but the odds of Trump being convicted and removed from office at +600. Photo by Gage Skidmore (Flickr)
  • The House of Representatives voted Wednesday to impeach US President Donald Trump
  • Trump is the third President to be impeached
  • +600 odds have been released that Trump will be removed from Office

Yes, Donald Trump was impeached on Wednesday, but that’s only half the battle.

The Democrat-dominated House of Representatives voted 230-195 in favor of Article 1 and 229-198 in favor of Article 2 of Trump’s impeachment.

Next, the case to impeach Trump will move to the Senate, where the President will be put on trial. A team of House members will serve as the prosecutors, with the Senate taking on the role of jury. In order for Trump’s removal from office, a two-thirds majority would need to be voting in favor of conviction.

The Trump Impeachment and removal odds sit at just +600.

Odds Donald Trump Is Removed From Office Due to Impeachment

Outcome Odds
Yes +600
No -1200

Odds taken on Dec. 18.

Trump is the third POTUS to be impeached but the first to suffer impeachment during his first term in the Oval Office.

The Next Step

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi must select a team to serve as the managers of impeachment. Their task will be to make the case in front of the Senate that Trump should be convicted.

It would be logical to be expecting that Democrats Adam Schiff, the intelligence committee chair, and Jerry Nadler, the judiciary chair, will play key roles within this team. But there’s also strong suggestions that the inclusion of Justin Amash would be a wise choice.

A former Republican, Amash now sits in the House as an Independent. He left the Republican Party after announcing publicly that he supported the impeachment of the President.

By adding Amash to the team, the belief is that it would display a more bipartisan front for the impeachment managers.

Now That Trump’s Impeached, Will There Be Fair Trial?

Pelosi met with the media on Wednesday following the impeachment of the President. The Speaker was dropping hints that she might not be in any hurry to send the Articles of Impeachment to the Senate in order for Trump’s trial to begin.

The expectation is that the trial would be getting underway sometime next month. But the Democrats will want guarantees that the Republican-controlled Senate intends to hold a fair trial.

Senate Majority Leader, Republican Mitch McConnell, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer must come to an agreement on the how the trial will go forward. McConnell and other prominent Republican Senators such as Lindsey Graham are already suggesting their mission during the trial will be to protect Trump at all costs.

It’s the job of US Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts to preside over the trial.

The Republicans hold a 53-seat majority over the Democrats in the 100-seat Senate. That would mean in order for Trump to face conviction, 20 Republican Senators would be required to vote against party lines.

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