Trump’s Re-Election Odds Plummeting Amid Growing Protests; Biden Now Favored
- Re-election to the US Presidency is suddenly looking very uncertain for incumbent Donald Trump
- Joe Biden is now -114 to win, while Trump has fallen to +101.
- Should bettors be backing Biden, or will Trump’s odds rebound?
In retrospect, perhaps the gassing of peaceful protesters so he could cross the road for a photo op wasn’t the best re-election strategy for Donald Trump.
The President continues to blunder in response to nationwide protests. As a result, Trump is also bungling his chances of winning a second term in the Oval Office.
For instance, Trump took shelter in a basement bunker on Saturday as protesters demonstrated outside the White House. His odds of winning re-election are also heading downward.
Americans are slated to go to the polls on Nov. 3rd. For the first time, Democratic challenger Joe Biden is the favorite to win in the 2020 Presidential election odds.
Biden is now the odds-on -114 chalk to win the Presidency. Trump has fallen to +101.
2020 US Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate | May 28th Odds | June 1st Odds | June 3rd Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden | +112 | +110 | -114 |
| Donald Trump | -132 | -130 | +101 |
| Hillary Clinton | +2975 | +3400 | +3850 |
| Mike Pence | +9250 | +9250 | +7625 |
| Andrew Cuomo | +7300 | +8000 | +9375 |
| Michelle Obama | +10000 | +8350 | +9000 |
| Mark Cuban | +12500 | +12500 | +12500 |
| Nikki Haley | +19250 | +15750 | +12500 |
| Elizabeth Warren | +22500 | +15000 | +13750 |
| Bernie Sanders | +13500 | +12000 | +16500 |
Odds taken June 3rd.
As a result, this is the first time Trump’s been plus-money since Nov. 2019.
Trump Missteps Hurting Re-Election Chances
Trump was already digging himself into a hole via his mismanagement of the COVID-19 outbreak. The coronavirus has now killed more than 107,000 in the USA.
Now he’s digging his heels in against a rapidly-growing protest about police brutality toward African-Americans. However, it’s an issue that the majority of Americans are supporting. He could be burying his re-election chances even further.
Protests in support of Black Lives Matter took place in all 50 states today.
All. 50. States.
— UberFacts (@UberFacts) June 3, 2020
Reuters/Ipsos polled Americans June 1-2. The results showed that 64% of Americans were sympathetic to the protestors. Meanwhile, over 55% of respondents indicated that they disapproved of Trump’s response to the protests.
No Defense For Trump
Slowly, it appears that even Trump’s inner circle is beginning to see the writing on the wall. Tuesday, Defense Secretary Mark Esper spoke out against Trump’s decision on Monday to invoke the Insurrection Act and activate US military to combat the protesters.
Defense Sec. Mark Esper is against activating the U.S. military during the protests, contradicting Trump: ‘The option to use active duty forces in a law enforcement role should only be used as a matter of last resort … We are not in one of those situations now.’ pic.twitter.com/axNiSQFk5u
— NowThis (@nowthisnews) June 3, 2020
James Miller, a member of Esper’s staff, turned in his resignation for the same reason.
Republican Senators Ben Sasse and Tim Scott and US Representative Will Hurd all criticized Trump. All three were repulsed by his move to gas peaceful protesters outside the White House so he could cross the street and have a photo taken while holding a bible outside a church.
Sen. @BenSasse issues statement criticizing the clearing of protesters for Pres. Trump’s photo at St John’s Church: pic.twitter.com/G1SZZ3gq1b
— John McCormack (@McCormackJohn) June 2, 2020
“There is a fundamental—a Constitutional—right to protest,” Sasse said in a statement. “I’m against clearing out a peaceful protest for a photo op that treats the Word of God as a political prop.”
As an interesting aside, while Trump’s odds are lengthening, the betting line of Vice-President Mike Pence shortened. Pence’s odds improved from +9250 to +7625.
[corsspost]Biden His Time
With Trump ranting and throwing gasoline on the fire, Biden took a more measured approach. Firstly, he met with protesters to discuss their concerns.
Secondly, he’s also capitalizing on Trump’s flailing lack of leadership to aid his campaign. Trump’s actions keep writing Biden’s campaign ads from him.
It’s in some of our darkest moments of despair that we’ve made some of our greatest progress — and we have that chance once again. We’re not just going to rebuild this nation — we’re going to transform it.
There is nothing we can’t do if we do it together. pic.twitter.com/iozMdaLtAw
— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) June 3, 2020
This scenario is beginning to resemble 1968. That’s when protests over the Vietnam War escalated rapidly. After that, Democratic President Lyndon Johnson opted not to seek a second term.
Trump’s current approval rating is 46%. That’s the lowest ever recorded by a sitting President. Americans appear to be sending him a clear message.
Pick: Joe Biden (-114)
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
