- BetOnline is now offering strong odds that Donald Trump will lose the 2020 Presidential election
- Former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan has stated publicly that he thinks Trump could lose
- That last incumbent to lose the Presidential election was George HW Bush in 1992
Is Donald Trump about to lose the White House? His increasingly long odds to win the 2020 US Presidential Election certainly suggest so.
— Donald For 2020 (@_donaldfor2020) March 5, 2019
Odds Donald Trump Will Win 2020 Presidential Election
|Will Donald Trump win 2020 Presidential Election?||Odds at BetOnline|
*Odds taken 03/13/19
The last time an incumbent was defeated in a Presidential election, like Trump it was a Republican. George HW Bush failed to win a second term in the White House when he was beaten by Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992.
Why Might Trump Lose?
Where do we start? His obsession with building a border wall. Trump’s government shutdown over said wall. His national emergency declaration, again about his wall. And Mexico isn’t paying for it, as he promised they would during the 2016 Presidential campaign.
"A 2000 mile wall is a monument to stupidly, not just vanity… it doesn't solve the problem," says California's Democratic Governor @GavinNewsom on President Trump's continued quest to build a wall along the Southern border. https://t.co/5XUuwiq3am pic.twitter.com/1d11gvtoqq
— Anderson Cooper 360° (@AC360) March 12, 2019
His tax cut, which regular folks have come to realize as they file their 2018 returns, is nailing them in the pocketbook. Most recently, his plan to slash $845 from Medicare in his proposed 2020 budget went completely against another of his 2016 campaign promises.
❌Cuts $845 billion from Medicare
❌Slashes $26 billion from Social Security
❌Cuts $200 billion from student loan programs
All while directing billions to build his wall. Make no mistake, this budget will hurt the poor, elderly, and Americans with disabilities.
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) March 13, 2019
And we haven’t even yet mentioned the 17 ongoing investigations targeting his world, or the Mueller Report regarding the 2016 election, which could drop before people go to the polls in 2020.
He still seems to have the majority of the Republican Party heeding his every beck and call, but some who no longer are involved in government are speaking out against Trump.
— Daily Mail US (@DailyMail) March 12, 2019
Former Speaker of the House Paul Ryan recently suggested Trump could lose the 2020 election if the campaign becomes one about Trump and his personality, rather than the issues.
Pretty rich. Mitt Romney’s failed 2012 running mate, the speaker who lied to us and didn't deliver Wall funding (and then lost the house) gives advice on winning.
Paul Ryan: Trump Will Lose in 2020 if Campaign About His 'Personality' https://t.co/DbOkrV8rE4
— Donald Trump Jr. (@DonaldJTrumpJr) March 12, 2019
After being admonished by Trump’s son, Ryan backtracked.
To be clear, GOP wins elections when they’re about ideas not when they’re personality contests like Dems & media want. We’re clearly better off because of @RealDonaldTrump. His record of accomplishment is why he’ll win re-election especially when compared to Dems’ leftward lurch.
— Paul Ryan (@SpeakerRyan) March 13, 2019
Ryan now thinks Trump will win in 2020.
Might Trump Face a Primary Challenge?
There’s a very real chance Trump may have competition for the Republican nomination in 2020. Mitt Romney and John Kasich are among names mentioned as potential challengers to Trump.
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, a potential Trump challenger in 2020 GOP primary, tells @ABC, "we need some people that'll stand up in the Republican Party and say when the president is wrong … I've not been afraid to do that" https://t.co/GTdFrmgaBA
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) March 13, 2019
An American Barometer survey revealed that 72 percent of those polled want to see Trump face a primary challenge in 2020.
How Can Trump Win?
Well, for starters, Presidential incumbents are 10-2 in elections since Franklin D Roosevelt first ran for re-election in 1936.
At this point we have no idea who will be Trump’s Democratic challenger. None of the 14 declared candidates have established themselves as clear front-runners.
The 2020 Campaign: Rahm Suggests Downplaying That Socialism Stuff – Rahm Emanuel: How Not to Lose to Donald Trump (The Atlantic) https://t.co/181K3Be681
— Rick Rigazio (@CAPTRick74) March 12, 2019
Trump began planning his second term the day he set foot in the Oval Office. He’s raised $20 million to fund his campaign, and as we learned in 2016, he’ll say anything and do anything to get power. He’ll be just as ruthless in his bid to maintain it.
Buck the odds here. Bet on another term for Trump.