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Tucker Carlson’s 2024 Presidential Election Odds & GOP Nominee Odds Improve After Leaving Fox

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Politics News

Updated Apr 24, 2023 · 12:04 PM PDT

Tucker Carlson at a speaking engagement
Tucker Carlson, Fox News host, speaks during the FAMiLY Leadership Summit at the Community Choice Credit Union Convention Center Friday, July 15, 2022 in Des Moines. 071522 Familysummit 025 Jpg
  • The odds of TV host Tucker Carlson earning the GOP Presidential nomination and winning the White House in 2024 shortened significantly on Monday
  • The popular Fox News host parted ways with the network earlier in the day
  • Carlson is now +6000 to earn the Republican Presidential nod and +8000 in the 2023 presidential election odds

Let go by Fox News on Monday, could Tucker Carlson be exchanging his seat behind a news desk for one in the Oval Office?

As of today, oddsmakers are of the opinion that there’s a much better chance of his happening.

Prior to Monday’s departure from Fox, the right-wing TV icon was seen as having a +10500 chance of winning the GOP Presidential nomination for 2024 and a +14000 chance of winning in the 2024 Presidential election odds.

Today, those betting lines have shortened. Carlson is now +6000 to earn the nod in the Republican Presidential nomination odds and +8000 to win the general election in November of 2024.

2024 US Presidential Election Odds

Candidate Odds
Joe Biden +150
Donald Trump +250
Ron DeSantis +400
Kamala Harris +2500
Gavin Newsom +2500
Nikki Haley +2800
Michelle Obama +3500
Pete Buttigieg +3500
Gretchen Whitmer +4000
Mike Pence +4000
Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson +5000
Mike Pompeo +5000
Elizabeth Warren +6500
Kristi Noem +6500
Hillary Clinton +6500
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +6500
Tom Cotton +6500
Ted Cruz +8000
Tucker Carlson +8000
Tulsi Gabbard +8000
Liz Cheney +8000
Amy Klobuchar +8000
Josh Hawley +10000
Marco Rubio +10000
Andrew Yang +10000
Dan Crenshaw +10000
John Kasich +10000
Larry Hogan +10000
Mitt Romney +10000
Michael Bloomberg +10000
Chris Christie +10000
Greg Abbott +10000
Jeff Bezos +10000
Bernie Sanders +10000
Ivanka Trump +10000

Odds as of April 24 at DraftKings Sportsbook Ontario.


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Americans cannot bet on US politics markets. European books have been offering odds on the 2024 US Presidential election since the 2020 race reached a conclusion. Odds are also available in Ontario sports betting markets. It’s the first place where North American sportsbooks are offering betting lines on the 2024 US Presidential election.

Fox Is Tuckered Out

Even though Fox was forced to reach an out-of-court settlement of $787.5 million last week with voting machine company Dominion, no one was forecasting Monday’s news that Carlson and the network would be parting company. He was, after all the #1 ratings bonanza for the network.

Even though on-air falsehoods presented by Carlson and Fox co-hosts Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham about Dominion’s voting machines were at the basis of the lawsuit, during depositions it was revealed that Fox knowingly purported these lies to drive ratings. Since Carlson was still driving ratings for the network, it didn’t seem likely he’d be made a scapegoat.

Carlson an Unlikely GOP Nominee

Could Carlson be a serious Presidential candidate? On the one hand, there’s certainly disruption afoot in the Republican ranks. Donald Trump is already indicted in New York, and is expected to be facing charges going forward in further states, perhaps even federally.

The campaigns of Ron DeSantis, Mike Pence and Nikki Haley are all flagging. Each of them has seen their odds to be the GOP nominee lengthen. Is there an opening for a dark-horse candidate to make a serious run at the Republican nod?

Perhaps, but it’s unlikely that Carlson is going to be that guy. Even with his improving numbers, Carlson remains the co-18th betting choice for President. He’s the 11th pick in the Republican nomination odds.

Among those with shorter odds than him are a pro wrestler-turned actor (Dwayne Johnson, +5000) and even Hillary Clinton (+6500). Carlson is sharing his +8000 betting line with such past Presidential candidate also rans as Amy Klobuchar, Tulsi Gabbard and Ted Cruz.

Will Tucker Board the Trump Train?

There’s hot speculation making the rounds at the moment that Carlson is in line to be Trump’s running mate for 2024. Considering the revelations during the Dominion discovery of how much Carlson can’t stand Trump, that might not seem plausible. Then again, he wouldn’t be the first Republican to swallow his pride and kiss Trump’s ring.

The bottom line is that Carlson really doesn’t need to get into politics. He’ll certainly be offered another pundit gig by some organization, be it online or in podcast form. And he can make himself a fortune by going on a nationwide speaking tour and telling the right-wing echo chamber how he was canceled by the woke mob.

Heck, he can even lead that attack on Canada he’s been preaching to his followers in recent months. But run for the White House? No, Carlson won’t want any part of that. It’s way too much work.


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