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Bass Pro Shops Night Race Predictions & Odds

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Racing

Updated Sep 14, 2023 · 7:00 AM PDT

Chris Buescher is defending champ of the Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Chris Buescher celebrates winning the Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway, Saturday, Aug. 26, 2023.
  • Kyle Larson is the +550 favorite to win the NASCAR Cup Series Bass Pro Shops Night Race on Sunday, September 17 at Bristol Motor Speedway
  • Defending champion Chris Buescher is offered at odds of +1200
  • Below are the Bass Pro Shops Night Race predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of the Sunday evening race

There’s been a pattern to NASCAR Cup Series victories in recent weeks. The winner has either been Chris Buescher or somebody else.

Through the last seven races, Buescher has done a post-race burnout and then sped down Victory Lane three times. In the past 18 NASCAR Cup Series races, Kyle Larson and William Byron are the only other drivers with multiple victories.

Buescher is the defending champion at the Bass Pro Shops Night Race, but it’s Larson who’s set as the +550 favorite this year. You’ll get a betting line of +1200 if you opt to go with Buescher for a repeat victory.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Bass Pro Shops Night Race from Bristol Motor Speedway (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Bass Pro Shops Night Race predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Kyle Larson +550 +160 -135
William Byron +750 +210 +110
Denny Hamlin +750 +210 +110
Christopher Bell +800 +225 +120
Brad Keselowski +850 +250 +125
Chase Elliott +1000 +265 +130
Kyle Busch +1200 +350 +160
Kevin Harvick +1200 +350 +160
Chris Buescher +1200 +350 +160
Ryan Blaney +1400 +400 +190
Ross Chastain +1400 +400 +190
Martin Truex Jr +1400 +400 +190
Joey Logano +1400 +400 +190
Tyler Reddick +1600 +450 +200
Bubba Wallace +2800 +800 +350
Ty Gibbs +4000 +1200 +500
Alex Bowman +5500 +1400 +650
Erik Jones +6000 +1600 +750
Daniel Suarez +9000 +2000 +900
Aric Almirola +9000 +2000 +900

Last week’s Hollywood Casino 400 winner Tyler Reddick is set with odds of +1600 to repeat that performance. The unpredictability of short-track racing at Bristol is emphasized by the fact that nine drivers are set with betting lines of +1200 or shorter.

NASCAR drivers rumble around this .533-mile short track for 266.5 miles and 500 laps, with an 125-125-250 stage lap setup when the flag drops. This Sunday evening race begins at 7:30pm ET on USA.



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Odds as of September 13 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo to bet on NASCAR Bass Pro Shops Night Race or DraftKings Kentucky if you are a resident of KY. 

A Dozen Will Move On In NASCAR Playoffs

Following this race, the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs field will be cut down from 16 to 12 drivers Already, thanks to their playoff victories, Larson and Reddick are assured of spots in that dynamic dozen.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2022 Chris Buescher – RFK Racing Aric Almirola – Stewart-Haas Racing Chris Buescher – RFK Racing
2021 Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Martin Truex Jr – Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports

There’s been six different winners of this race over the past six August races. Back-to-back winners in the Bass Pro Shops Night Race used to come often. Joey Logano (2014-15), Kyle Busch (2009-10), Carl Edwards (2007-08) and Matt Kenseth (2005-06) all did so during a 10-year span.

Larson Loves This Race

In 2021, Larson dominated the Bass Pro Shops Night Race. He led the most laps en route to his win. It was among six victories the Hendrick Motorsports driver captured in the playoffs that year while winning the NASCAR Cup Series title.

Over his past five starts in the late August race at Bristol, Larson has run in the top-10 in all five of them. He’s landed a podium finish twice during that span.

Bass Pro Shops Night Race Predictions & Picks

Larson won here just two years ago. Currently, he is the +350 favorite to win the title in the NASCAR Cup Series odds. Brad Keselowski was the victor in the 2011 Bass Pro Shops Night Race. He’s also twice won at Bristol in the spring race.

Denny Hamlin (+750) is a two-time winner of the Bass Pro Shops Night Race in 2012 and 2019. At Bristol, he’s run in the top-five nine times and finished among the top-10 on 16 occasions. Kevin Harvick (+1200) won this race in 2016 and 2020. Buescher has run within the top six four times in the last five races at Bristol.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Denny Hamlin to Win (+750)
  • Other Contenders:
  • Kyle Larson (+550), William Byron (+750), Brad Keselowski (+850), Kevin Harvick (+1200), Chris Buescher (+1200)
  • Longshots: Joey Logano (+1400), Tyler Reddick (+1600)
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