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Formula 1 2021 Belgian Grand Prix Odds and Picks

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Racing

Updated Aug 26, 2021 · 8:19 AM PDT

Formula 1 2021 Belgian Grand Prix odds
Mercedes driver Lewis Hamilton of Britain, right, after setting a pole position fist bumps with third placed Red Bull driver Max Verstappen of the Netherlands after the qualifying session for the Hungarian Formula One Grand Prix, at the Hungaroring racetrack in Mogyorod, Hungary, Saturday, July 31, 2021. The Hungarian Formula One Grand Prix will be held on Sunday. (David W Cerny/Pool via AP)
  • The Formula 1 season resumes on Sunday following a four-week break with the running of the 2021 Belgian Grand Prix
  • Lewis Hamilton and Max Verstappen sit deadlocked as co-favorites as their close battle for this year’s F1 Drivers World Championship heats up
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Sunday morning’s race at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps

Following a four-week break, Formula 1 racing returns this weekend with the running of the 2021 Belgian Grand Prix. Lewis Hamilton aims to build on his slim lead in the F1 Drivers Championship as the second half of the season gets underway. The reigning champion joins archrival Max Verstappen at the top of the Belgian Grand Prix odds to take home the checkered flag on Sunday as a -105 co-favorite. Hamilton reclaimed his familiar perch atop the standings after claiming second place last time out at the Hungarian Grand Prix.

Ferrari drivers have claimed victory in two of the past four editions of this race, capped by Charles Leclerc’s win two years ago. The Italian automaker is also locked in a tight battle with McLaren for third place in the F1 Constructors Standings. Despite their recent steady performances, Leclerc and his Ferrari teammate Carlos Sainz Jr. sit well off the pace in the odds to win this year’s Belgian Grand Prix, sporting lengthy +4200 and +11000 odds, respectively.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead lights out at the 2021 Belgian Grand Prix at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps on Sunday morning at 9:00 AM EST.

Odds to Win 2021 Belgian Grand Prix

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Six Odds to Finish Top Ten
Max Verstappen -105 -380 -550 -700
Lewis Hamilton -105 -380 -550 -700
Sergio Perez +1600 -150 -380 -400
Valtteri Bottas +2200 +195 -330 -400
Lando Norris +3200 +300 -250 -400
Charles Leclerc +4200 +350 -200 -380
Carlos Sainz Jr. +11000 +850 -150 -330
George Russell +11000 +2800 +850 +145
Daniel Ricciardo +14000 +1100 +115 -300
Sebastian Vettel +14000 +1800 +350 -105
Esteban Ocon +14000 +2200 +410 -175
Fernando Alonso +20000 +2200 +410 -195
Nikita Mazepin +20000 +10000 +10000 +5000
Lance Stroll +20000 +7000 +1800 -105
Yuki Tsunoda +20000 +10000 +850 +105
Kimi Raikkonen +20000 +10000 +7000 +410
Antonio Giovinazzi +20000 +10000 +7000 +410
Nicholas Latifi +20000 +10000 +10000 +2200
Mick Schumacher +200000 +10000 +2800 +650
Pierre Gasly +20000 +1600 +220 -270

Odds as of August 26th at FanDuel

Hamilton Poised to Build on Past Success in Belgium

Amid the chaos at this year’s Hungarian Grand Prix, Lewis Hamilton once again fell short of victory, with his second-place performance marking the sixth time in his seven outings that he has failed to seize the checkered flag. However, the 36-year-old Englishman has enjoyed success at Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps, reaching the podium on nine previous occasions and winning four times.

Indeed, Mercedes enjoy a long track record of success at this event, earning the win in four of the past six years. The German automaker is also pegged as a solid -105 bet to be the winning constructor this time around but must hold off serious challenges from both Red Bull and Ferrari.

Verstappen Looking for Revenge

After seeing a career-best three-race win streak halted by collisions in each of his past two outings, Max Verstappen looks to reclaim the top of the standings with his first-ever win in the land of his birth. After being knocked out of the British Grand Prix by an opening-lap collision with Hamilton, Verstappen was once again hamstrung by sloppy driving by a Mercedes driver in Hungary. Valtteri Bottas was unable to stop on a slick surface in the opening seconds of the Hungarian Grand Prix and ending up colliding with both Verstappen and Sergio Perez.

The incidents have fueled the growing rivalry between the rising star Verstappen and the faltering Mercedes duo of Hamilton and Bottas. And if Verstappen can avoid any further incidents this weekend, he will be tough to beat. The 23-year-old has reached the podium in 22 of the past 23 races in which he was not forced to retire or involved in a collision. That includes a third-place finish in Belgium last year.

Belgian Grand Prix Recent Winners

Year Driver Margin of Victory Pole Position Fastest Lap
2020 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 8.448 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Daniel Ricciardo – Renault
2019 Charles Leclerc – Ferrari 0.981 sec Charles Leclerc – Ferrari Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari
2018 Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari 11.061 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Valtteri Bottas – Mercedes
2017 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.358 sec Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2016 Nico Rosberg – Mercedes 14.113 sec Nico Rosberg – Mercedes Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes
2015 Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes 2.058 sec Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes
2014 Daniel Ricciardo – Red Bull-Renault 3.383 sec Nico Rosberg – Mercedes Nico Rosberg – Mercedes

Ferrari, McLaren Duel Heats Up

This weekend also marks the rekindling of the season-long duel between Ferrari and McLaren. Among the six drivers who were forced out of last month’s race in Hungary. Leclerc will be aiming to recapture the form that powered him to victory in Belgium two years ago. The 23-year-old Monte Carlo native turned in his strongest performance of the season with his second-place finish at the British Grand Prix and will be counting on the support of Ferrari teammate Carlos Sainz Jr.

The 26-year-old Spaniard emerged from the wreckage in Hungary to finish third, and sports strong -150 odds to finish among the top six this weekend. However, victory has eluded him in Belgium, where he has failed to earn a point in six previous appearances.

Lando Norris will also be eager to rebound from the debacle in Hungary, where he failed to finish after the opening-lap pile-up. Up until that point, Norris was the only F1 driver to earn at least a point in every race so far this season, with eight of his nine finishes coming among the top five. That consistency makes Norris worthy of a value wager as a +300 bet to reach the podium for the fourth time this season.

The Picks: Lando Norris top three (+300); Charles Leclerc top six (-200)

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