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NASCAR All-Star Race Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

May 18, 2022 · 9:44 PM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. driving at the AdventHealth 400 practice sessions at Kansas Speedway.
May 14, 2022; Kansas City, Kansas, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. (19) races during the AdventHealth 400 Practice at Kansas Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Amy Kontras-USA TODAY Sports
  • Texas is next on the NASCAR schedule as the NASCAR All-Star Race is set to run on Sunday, May 22nd, 2022
  • There are the usual suspects like Denny Hamlin, Kurt and Kyle Busch, and maybe even Martin Truex Jr.
  • Below are the NASCAR All-Star Race odds and betting trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race.

NASCAR travels to Fort Worth, Texas, for their All-Star Race. The race comes from the Texas Motor Speedway. The favorites in the betting odds are some of the best and brightest at the 1.5-mile oval track. Kyle Larson is favored this week with +500 odds in the NASCAR All-Star Race odds. It does seem like another Chevy-versus-Toyota rumble is likely.

This is one week after the AdventHealth 400, where Kurt Busch ran the last stage like his life depended on it and edged out Kyle Larson for the win.

Let’s dig into these NASCAR All-Star Race odds and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

NASCAR All-Star Race Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Five
Kyle Larson +500 +145 -125
Kyle Busch +700 +200 +105
Chase Elliott +800 +235 +118
William Byron +900 +260 +129
Ross Chastain +1000 +290 +143
Denny Hamlin +1000 +290 +143
Martin Truex Jr. +1200 +350 +174
Ryan Blaney +1200 +350 +174
Christopher Bell +1400 +400 +195
Alex Bowman +1400 +400 +195
Joey Logano +1600 +450 +227
Kurt Busch +2000 +500 +290
Kevin Harvick +2000 +500 +290
Austin Cindric +3500 +700 +470
Chase Briscoe +4000 +800 +525
Brad Keselowski +4000 +800 +525
Bubba Wallace +4000 +800 +525
Aric Almirola +5000 +1000 +600
A.J. Allmendinger +6600 +1300 +750

Odds as of May 19th at the Barstool Sportsbook.

 

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The Kyle Larson Beat Goes On?

NASCAR drivers will run on the 1.5-mile Texas Motor Speedway when the flag drops for the Sunday night race beginning around 8:00 PM ET. This track is a low-wear oval. This is not like Kansas or some of the other intermediate tracks.

Three different drivers have led double-digits at Texas the last three years. Those drivers are Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, and Ryan Blaney. Kyle Larson has led 23.9% of all the laps on intermediate tracks since 2019.

Currently, Larson stands at +500 odds (+450 at Caesars). Teammate Chase Elliott lists at +800 (+700 at Caesars Sportsbook). Some shorter odds exist on Caesars Sportsbook, but every Hendricks Motorsports Racing driver is +1500 or shorter. The top three Joe Gibbs’ drivers are at +1000 or shorter again.

Now, what occurs at Texas on Sunday?

The idea is that Hendrick Motorsports is expected to do well again at Texas. Could a third straight championship come?

NASCAR All-Star Race Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2021 Kyle Larson — Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kyle Larson — Hendrick Motorsports Racing William Byron — Hendrick Motorsports Racing
2020 Chase Elliott — Hendrick Motorsports Racing Martin Truex Jr. — Joe Gibbs Racing Ryan Blaney— Team Penske
2019 Kyle Larson — Chip Ganassi Racing Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Clint Bowyer — Stewart-Haas Racing
2018 Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Matt Kenseth — Roush Fenway Racing Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing
2017 Kyle Busch. — Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Larson — Chip Ganassi Racing Kyle Larson — Chip Ganassi Racing

The race has gone on at several venues over the past decade. Last year at Texas, Kyle Larson and William Byron dominated the event.

Can Another Hendrick Car Win at Texas?

Sports bettors have seen William Byron and Chase Elliott remain mostly steady in the top-ten all season. The other two Hendrick drivers still are in good position in the NASCAR Cup Series odds. Furthermore, though Larson attracts more attention, Byron and Elliott carry a bit more intrigue with better numbers.

Now, some talked briefly about Alex Bowman at +1500, but next up are the picks and predictions.

NASCAR All-Star Race Predictions & Picks

This 1.5-mile track has seen Joe Gibbs (or Toyota) drivers show some pretty good speed. Could they surprise or more specifically Martin Truex Jr.?

The weather expects to be relatively tranquil on Sunday night with temperatures in the 60s. The last thing to keep an eye on is drivers like Kevin Harvick (4 for the last 5 in top-tens) and Denny Hamlin. Their ability to drive at Texas could pay dividends even in this much shorter format. Some may be on Tyler Reddick but he has to qualify for the main event.

The stage format is 25-25-25-50 for laps. Overtime cannot be ruled out because of the Next-Gen car.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Martin Truex Jr. to Win (+1200)
  • Other Contenders: Kevin Harvick. (+2000), Ross Chastain (+1000), Kyle Busch (+700), William Byron (+900)
  • Longshots: Chase Briscoe (+4000), Bubba Wallace (+4000)

 

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