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AdventHealth 400 Odds, Predictions, and Picks

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

May 11, 2022 · 8:56 PM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series drivers Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin talking on pit road
Apr 30, 2022; Dover, Delaware, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Busch (right) talks with driver Denny Hamlin (left) on pit road during qualifying for the DuraMAX Drydene 400 at Dover Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports
  • Kansas is next on the NASCAR schedule as the AdventHealth 400 is set to run on Sunday, May 15th, 2022
  • Several contenders are lurking out there including Ross Chastain, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and Kyle Busch.
  • Below are the AdventHealth 400 odds and betting trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race.

NASCAR travels out to Kansas City, Kansas, for race number 13 of the 2022 season. The race comes from the Kansas Speedway. The favorites in the betting odds are some of the best and brightest at the 1.5-mile tri-oval track. Kyle Larson is favored this week with +600 odds in the NASCAR AdventHealth 400 odds. It does seem like another Hendrick and Gibbs could rumble here with a surprise Chevy or Ford.

This is one week after the Goodyear 400, where Joey Logano nudged William Byron out of the way to win at the track “too tough to tame”.

Let’s dig into these AdventHealth 400 odds and figure out which drivers are the best bets.

AdventHealth 400 Odds

Driver Odds to Win Odds to Finish Top Three Odds to Finish Top Ten
Kyle Larson +600 +175 -275
Chase Elliott +800 +235 -215
Denny Hamlin +850 +250 -200
Kyle Busch +900 +260 -190
Ross Chastain +900 +260 -190
William Byron +1000 +285 -177
Martin Truex Jr. +1000 +285 -177
Ryan Blaney +1200 +400 -143
Joey Logano +1200 +350 -159
Alex Bowman +1600 +450 -130
Tyler Reddick +1600 +450 -130
Kevin Harvick +1800 +500 -122
Christopher Bell +2200 +600 -106
Chase Briscoe +3300 +850 +115
Erik Jones +3300 +850 +115
Kurt Busch +4000 +1100 +135
Austin Dillon +6000 +1500 +190
Daniel Suarez +6000 +1500 +190
Brad Keselowski +6000 +1500 +190
Aric Almirola +6600 +1600 +205
Austin Cindric +6600 +1600 +205

Odds as of May 12th at the Barstool Sportsbook.

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NASCAR drivers will run on the 1.52-mile Kansas Speedway when the flag drops for the Sunday afternoon race beginning around 3:00 PM ET. This track banks at a 17-20 degree angle around turns, 9-11 degrees on the frontstretch, and five degrees on the backstretch.

Kyle Larson Favorite Again in AdventHealth 400 Odds
Larson has led 29.8% of the laps he has raced in his previous four appearances at Kansas. Despite that, he doesn’t have a win. The No. 5 driver did not pick up his second win until Memorial Day weekend last year and then he never looked back.

Currently, Larson stands at +600 odds (+450 at Caesars). Teammate Chase Elliott lists at +800 (+700 at Caesars Sportsbook). Some shorter odds exist on Caesars Sportsbook, but every Hendricks Motorsports Racing driver is +1600 or shorter. The top three Joe Gibbs’ drivers are at +1000 or shorter as well.

Now, what occurs at the tri-oval on Sunday afternoon?

The idea is that Hendrick Motorsports is expected to do well again at Kansas. Can they deliver or will it be a surprise once again?

AdventHealth 400 Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2021 Kyle Busch — Joe Gibbs Racing Brad Keselowski — Team Penske Brad Keselowski — Team Penske
2020 Denny Hamlin — Joe Gibbs Racing Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Denny Hamlin — Joe Gibbs Racing
2019 Brad Keselowski — Team Penske Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing
2018 Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Kevin Harvick — Stewart-Haas Racing Kyle Larson — Chip Ganassi Racing
2017 Martin Truex Jr. — Furniture Row Racing Ryan Blaney— Wood Brothers Martin Truex Jr. — Furniture Row Racing

The race has gone under several names including The Buschy McBusch Race 400 in 2021. The race is 267 laps in all and Kyle Busch won on his birthday last year.

Can Kyle Busch or Denny Hamlin Win At Kansas Again?

Sports bettors have seen Kyle Busch remain mostly steady in the top-ten all season. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver still lingers in the NASCAR Cup Series odds and is fourth in the race odds (Hamlin is third). Furthermore, though Larson attracts more attention, Denny Hamlin has two wins in the past three seasons on the 1.5-mile track.

Now, some will argue a racer like Martin Truex Jr. (+1000) could sneak up and win this but Busch and Hamlin are the stronger candidates. This goes particularly for Hamlin as his speed intervals and lap loops have been incredibly fast.

AdventHealth 400 Predictions & Picks

This 1.52-mile track has seen Joe Gibbs (or Toyota) drivers win three of the past five Spring races. It is interesting the Fall version was dominated by Larson last year.

The weather expects to be relatively tranquil on Sunday afternoon with temperatures in the middle 70s. The last thing to keep an eye on is drivers like Kevin Harvick (5 for the last 6 in top-tens) and Denny Hamlin. Their Kansas mastery has to be noted.

The stage format is 80-80-107 for laps. Overtime cannot be ruled out because of the Next-Gen car.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Denny Hamlin to Win (+850)
  • Other Contenders: Kevin Harvick. (+1800), Ross Chastain (+1000), Kyle Busch (+900), Tyler Reddick (+1600)
  • Longshots: Erik Jones (+3300), Kyle Busch (+4000)
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