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Verizon 200 at The Brickyard Odds & Predictions 2023

Chris Wassel

by Chris Wassel in Racing

Updated Aug 8, 2023 · 7:50 PM PDT

NASCAR Cup Series driver Chase Elliott climbing out of his car
Jul 22, 2023; Long Pond, Pennsylvania, USA; NASCAR Cup Series driver Chase Elliott climbs into his car during practice and qualifying for the HighPoint.com 400 at Pocono Raceway. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports
  • NASCAR heads to Indianapolis, Indiana, for the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard set to run on Sunday, August 13th, 2023
  • The contending favorites include Shane Van Gisbergen, Tyler Reddick, Martin Truex Jr. and Chase Elliott
  • Below are the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard predictions, picks, and betting odds ahead of Sunday afternoon’s race

NASCAR rumbles on down to Indianapolis Motor Speedway (The Brickyard) for the 24th race of the 2023 season. This week sees the drivers turning left and right on the 14-turn, 2.439 mile course. The race distance totals 200 miles (82 laps). Could Chris Buescher do the unthinkable and win for a third time in a row?

This weekend’s race is one week after the FireKeepers Casino 400 where Chris Buescher pulled a Kevin Harvick and swept both Richmond and Michigan.

The table below lists the complete slate of NASCAR Cup Series odds for the Verizon 200 at the Brickyard from Indianapolis (win, podium finish, and top-five finish). Under the table, find the Loudon predictions and best bets for this weekend’s NASCAR action.

Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Odds

Driver Odds to Win Podium Finish Odds  Top Five Odds
Martin Truex Jr. +400 +110 -175
Tyler Reddick +550 +150 -135
Chase Elliott +750 +210 -105
Shane Van Gisbergen +1000 +275 +125
Kyle Busch +1000 +275 +125
Kyle Larson +1100 +300 +150
Christopher Bell +1100 +300 +150
A.J. Allmendinger +1600 +450 +200
Daniel Suarez +1800 +500 +250
Brodie Kostecki +1800 +500 +250
William Byron +2200 +600 +275
Ross Chastain +2200 +600 +275
Denny Hamlin +2200 +600 +275
Chris Buescher +2200 +600 +275
Michael McDowell +2800 +700 +350
Austin Cindric +2800 +700 +350
Joey Logano +3500 +900 +400
Ty Gibbs +4000 +1100 +500
Ryan Blaney +4500 +1200 +550
Chase Briscoe +6000 +1500 +750

Martin Truex Jr. sits at +400 and easily the favorite this week. Tyler Reddick comes in right behind him at +550. Chase Elliott (yet to win this year) gets slotted in at +750.  Indianapolis has seen some total chaos the past two seasons. From the bouncy curves to the caution carnage, it has been far from dull. Can Chevy win for a third time or will Ford and Toyota have a say?

NASCAR drivers rumble along this oval with a 15-20-47 stage lap setup when the flag drops. This Sunday afternoon race begins after 2:30 pm ET on NBC.

 

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The Chevy’s You Do Not Quite Expect

So, the reader expected to hear about Hendrick Motorsports Racing here. While the Hendrick cars have been fast here, they were more prevalent in the 2021 race until the curbing and the craziness ensued. That was when A.J. Allmendinger roared back from seventh to win. Last year, Tyler Reddick (now with Toyota – 23XI Racing) continued his growing mastery of road courses with a pretty easy victory.

So, Caesars Sportsbook has very few major changes this week. It is interesting that only William Byron and Kyle Larson are in the playoffs for Hendrick. Can Chase Elliott find his “road mojo”? Elliott needs to win one of the next two races to make the playoff. That added urgency could cause more caution flags than usual at Indianapolis. That’s saying something too considering the carnage the past two years.

Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Recent Winners

Year Race Winner Pole Position Most Laps Led
2022 Tyler Reddick– Richard Childress Racing Tyler Reddick– Richard Childress Racing Tyler Reddick– Richard Childress Racing
2021 A.J. Allmendinger – Kaulig Racing William Byron – Hendrick Motorsports Racing Kyle Larson – Hendrick Motorsports Racing

This race brought some iconic moments for all the wrong reasons in 2021 when cars were bouncing off the curbing and getting airborne. Last year saw Reddick deliver a masterclass performance. What happens this year?

Can Toyota Really Do It This Week?

NASCAR Cup Series odds come in with five drivers again at +750 or better. Martin Truex Jr. still tops the favorites at +400. After that, Denny Hamlin is right behind Truex Jr. on Caesars but Larson remains second on DraftKings. Joey Logano lurks at +1200 while Ryan Blaney and Christopher Bell are not too far behind.

Martin Truex Jr. got foiled by aerodynamics on Monday. Chris Buescher played it off well and used another Ford to keep Truex Jr. off of him. That little bit of looseness on the 19 car gave Buescher another win. Now, that won’t happen at the Brickyard. Expect a whole lot of bumping. Can the Toyota cars avoid pit mistakes? Last week, one cost Tyler Reddick a top finish when a loose lug nut caused mayhem.

Saturday qualifying begins at 12:35 pm ET. Expect good track conditions this weekend but watch the weather anyway. Temperatures are expected to be around 85 with a mix of sun and clouds.

Verizon 200 at the Brickyard Predictions & Picks

So, because last week’s race got postponed to Monday due to rain, keep an eye out again for the weather. Monday races have become a little too frequent this year along with rain delays.

Can Toyota turn the tables or does Chevy go 3-for-3 at Indy?

Practice and qualifying on Saturday will tell us a bit more and make some prop bets clearer as well. Early numbers are a pleasant surprise at the least. Does Shane Van Gisbergen factor into Indy like he did in Chicago where he won? That’s the big wildcard.

Here are our best bets:

  • Top Pick: Chase Elliott to Win (+750)
  • Other Contenders: Chris Buescher (+2200), Shane Van Gisbergen (+1100 – Caesars), Tyler Reddick (+550), Kyle Larson (+1100)
  • Longshots:  Joey Logano (+3500), Ryan Blaney (+4500)
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