CONCACAF Nations League Odds & Pick: USA vs Canada

• The US Men’s National Team is the -125 chalk to beat Canada in Tuesday’s CONCACAF Nations League match at Toronto’s BMO Field
• The USA hasn’t lost to Canada in men’s soccer since 1985
• The Canadians are 2-0 in CONCACAF Nations League play

Canada faces its first true test in CONCACAF Nations League competition on Tuesday. The Canadians will play host to the US Men’s National Team at Toronto’s BMO Field.

Canada is 2-0 so far in League A Group A play and hasn’t surrendered a goal. The USA is 1-0. The same two countries will meet November 15th in Orlando, Fla.

Sportsbooks aren’t swayed by the Canadians’ recent run of good form. The Americans are listed as -125 road favorites to defeat Canada in their CONCACAF Nations League match.

USA vs Canada CONCACAF Nations League Odds

*Odds taken 10/15/19

The Canadians haven’t beaten the USA since 1985.

Lighting up the Cubans

Both Canada and the USA have made hay against Cuba in the Nations League, the third country in their group. Canada blasted Cuba 6-0 at home.

Then the Canadians traveled to Cuba and posted a 1-0 triumph.

The Americans drilled the Cubans 7-0 in their only group match thus far.

Are Americans Ripe for Upset?

The rout of Cuba, highlighted by a Weston McKennie hat-trick in the first 13 minutes of the match, ended a three-match winless skid for the US Men’s National Team. The Americans lost 1-0 to Mexico in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final and then 3-0 to the Mexicans in a September 6th friendly.

They followed that up September 10th by holding 2018 World Cup participants Uruguay to a 1-1 draw.

The #USMNT is on the field in Toronto!

Last training session ahead of #CANvUSA on Tuesday. pic.twitter.com/moxQtrCrj4

— U.S. Soccer MNT (@USMNT) October 14, 2019

After failing to qualify for the last World Cup, there’s been plenty of navel-gazing done by USA Soccer. While it’s true the team is one that is most certainly in transition, they are still 24th in the FIFA World Rankings.

Canada sits a distant 78th, just ahead of Uganda and directly behind Iraq.

The BMO Advantage

The last time Canada beat the USA in a men’s full international soccer match was on May 6, 1985, en route to an appearance at the Mexico 1986 World Cup. A pair of Igor Vrablic goals gave the Canadians a 2-0 victory.

Since that victory, Canada has gone 0-9-8 in 17 meetings with the USA. But Canada is 10-1-7 at BMO Field. The Canadians haven’t lost there in 15 matches over the past eight years.

“It’s been a long time since we’ve played a competitive game like this, that means so much for us the players, for the association, and to the fans. The hate that we have toward the Americans is just natural – even if you don’t like soccer.”

– Samuel Piette ahead of USA/Canada pic.twitter.com/FJDVtwTvyh

— USMNT Only (@usmntonly) October 13, 2019

They’ve only conceded one goal in their past 13 matches played at the home of the MLS’s Toronto FC.

The USA is just 3-6-2 all-time in away matches against Canada.

Canada’s Strategy

The USA often bring their fullbacks up to join the attack, so the Canadians will look to catch the Americans up the pitch. Canada will push the ball wide and try to take advantage of overlaps on the counter-attack.

Last session in the books. The #USMNT is feeling ready for tomorrow's match vs. ??.#CANvUSA pic.twitter.com/g527Wuq3Q8

— U.S. Soccer MNT (@USMNT) October 14, 2019

This rope-a-dope strategy doesn’t figure to succeed. This US Men’s National Team might be a touch weaker than American squads that qualified for seven straight World Cups between 1990-2014. But they’ll still have more than enough to handle Canada.

Nations League Pick: USA (-125)