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Atletico Madrid vs FC Porto Odds & Prediction – Champions League Group Stage Matchday 1

Paul Attfield

by Paul Attfield in Soccer

Sep 14, 2021 · 8:29 AM PDT

Atletico Madrid vs FC Porto
Atletico Madrid's Antoine Griezmann gestures during the Spanish La Liga soccer match between RCD Espanyol and Atletico Madrid at the Cornella-El Prat stadium in Barcelona, Spain, Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021. (AP Photo/Joan Monfort)
  • Spanish champions Atletico meet two-time Champions League winner Porto for the first time in eight years
  • The two teams have met six times previously, with two wins apiece and a pair of draws
  • Read on for betting odds, a full preview and a best bet for their Champions League opener

Having been drawn in Group B alongside seven-time champion AC Milan and six-time winner Liverpool, both Atletico Madrid and FC Porto will understand the importance of a winning start here. This may or may not be the ‘Group of Death’ in this year’s Champions League, but Atletico and not Porto are favored to make it through to the second round.

However, both Madrid and Porto should be confident going into this opening match on Wednesday, September 15th, having both made unbeaten starts to their respective league campaigns, with both in the top four in Spain and Portugal, respectively.

Atletico Madrid vs Porto Odds

Matchup Spread Moneyline Total
Atletico Madrid vs FC Porto ATL -1.5 (+200) | POR +1.5 (-230) ATL -160 | POR +550 | DRAW +270 Ov 2.5 (+115) | Un 2.5 (-140)

Odds as of September 13th at DraftKings

Atletico Ready to Roll

Coming off a first La Liga title in seven years, Diego Simeone’s team will be hoping to break through from three-time runners-up to first time champions in Atletico’s 12th Champions League campaign.

The team has been bolstered by the return of former Atletico star Antoine Griezmann on loan from Barcelona. The Frenchman will now be able to partner with another former Barcelona forward, Luis Suarez, in attack in hopes of improving on getting beyond the quarterfinal for the first time in  four years.

And Atletico can also be confident based on its recent history, with all but two of the team’s previous 11 campaigns reaching the knockout rounds.

Porto In Rare Territory

Entering its 25th Champions League group stage campaign, the 1987 and 2004 winners have competed in more seasons of this stage of the competition than anyone not named Real Madrid or Barcelona.

On top of that, the recent portents for success are good, with the club reaching the knockout phase in each of its last four seasons. And it sent shockwaves around Europe last year with its last-16 win over Juventus, which preceded a narrow 2-1 aggregate loss to eventual champion Chelsea.

Atletico Madrid vs FC Porto 2020-21 Stats

Atletico Madrid
VS
FC Porto

2-3-3 (R16) 2020-21 Champions League Record 6-3-1 (quarterfinals)
7 Goals For 15
11 Goals Against 9
8.3 Expected Goals 11.0
9.2 Expected Goals Against 13.4
WWDW Form This Season DWDWW

Familiar Opponents

While these two teams have played each other on six occasions in previous campaigns, the tale of the tape has been as even as can be. Atletico has two wins, Porto has two wins, and there have been two draws. For those who are being super pedantic, Porto holds an 8-6 edge in goals scored.

And while Madrid has lost six of its past 14 European matches, when it plays at home it has a decisive edge. A 2-1 loss to Chelsea in 2017 is the team’s only loss in its past 29 games at home, with Atletico recording 22 wins and six draws in the other games at the Wanda Metropolitano.

Conversely, Porto has not fared overly well in Spain. This is the team’s first game against Spanish opposition since the 2014-15 season, when it beat Athletic Bilbao home and away, with the game in Spain representing the team’s sixth win in 22 attempts, with 14 losses.

Atletico’s Clean Bill Of Health

While Madrid has no injury concerns ahead of Wednesday’s match, it will be without the talents of center back Stefan Savic, who is suspended after his red card in last season’s competition. He will be replaced by Jose Gimenez.

Porto is less fortunate, with goalkeeper Marchesian out following knee surgery, so his spot will go to youngster Diogo Costa, who will make just his second European start for the team.

Best bet: Draw (+270)

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