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Champions League Group Stage Odds & Predictions to Win Each Group

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer

Sep 13, 2021 · 7:00 AM PDT

Champions League
Chelsea players lift the trophy after winning the Champions League final soccer match against Manchester City at the Dragao Stadium in Porto, Portugal, Saturday, May 29, 2021. (Michael Steele/Pool via AP)
  • The 2021/22 Champions League campaign officially begins this week
  • Manchester City and PSG are the current favorites to lift the trophy
  • Find the full odds for each group, a short preview, and predictions below

Europe’s most prized competition is finally back for another season with the UEFA Champions League kicking off this week with Matchday 1. The group stages are always a thrill and there are some massive clubs that will be looking to book their tickets to the knockouts in early December.

Read on to find the full odds to qualify and win for each group, along with predictions.

 Group A Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
PSG -900 -105
Man City -800 +110
RB Leipzig +188 +900
Club Brugge +1600 +6600

Odds as of September 12th at William Hill

Last year’s semifinalists in Man City and PSG headline the pack in Group A, with the Ligue 1 standouts looking to get revenge after Pep Guardiola’s side knocked them out of the competition in May. Both of these clubs are heavy favorites to qualify for the round of 16, but Paris has a slight advantage as group winners after adding the likes of Lionel Messi, Sergio Ramos, and Gini Wijnaldum in the summer.

Leipzig is a solid team but they’ve unfortunately landed in an extremely tough group. Man City and PSG will 100% qualify, but I’m giving the Citizens the edge to finish in first place. Despite Paris having a top-notch squad, City is arguably just as good and faces tougher oppositions on a more consistent basis domestically. Plus, the side also has Jack Grealish wreaking havoc up top, which makes them even better than last season.

To Qualify: PSG (-900), Man City (-800)

To Win: Man City (+110)

Group B Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Liverpool -350 +105
Atletico Madrid -188 +175
AC Milan +138 +550
Porto +275 +900

Group B is packed with quality as Liverpool, Atletico, AC Milan, and Portuguese powerhouses Porto all line up next to one another. The Reds suffered a disappointing quarterfinals exit in the 2020/21 Champions League, while Atletico crashed out in the last 16 to eventual winners, Chelsea. The Merseysiders are back to full strength though with key players back, especially center-back Virgil van Dijk. Atleti meanwhile is fresh off a La Liga title and always poses a threat in this competition.

You also can’t sleep on Milan who is finally back in the UCL. Zlatan Ibrahimovic is always capable of something special and Olivier Giroud is also a fantastic addition to their squad.  All in all, Group B is very solid. But, with Liverpool’s experience, I do believe they’re going to come out on top. Finishing as runners-up will be Atletico, who knows what it takes to succeed in the Champions League.

To Qualify: Liverpool (-350), Atletico (-188)

To Win: Liverpool (+105)

Group C Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Dortmund -600 -163
Ajax -150 +333
Sporting Lisbon +120 +550
Besiktas +275 +900

To be frank, Borussia Dortmund has been handed a very manageable group. All three of their opponents play outside of Europe’s top five leagues, but it will certainly still be a challenge. Sporting is coming off a Portuguese title and will be hungry to make their presence felt in the Champions League. Ajax also won the Eredivisie by 16 points and has basically their exact same squad intact. Lastly, Turkish giants Besiktas signed Michy Batshuayi from Chelsea and grabbed Miralem Pjanic on loan from Barcelona.

With the 2020/21 UCL Golden Boot winner Erling Haaland still firing on all cylinders for BVB, they should be able to finish in top spot here. Second place, however, is a tough call. But, I’m going to go with Ajax’s experience in the competition to help them progress to the knockout stage.

To Qualify: Dortmund (-600), Ajax (-150)

To Win: Dortmund (-163)

Group D Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Real Madrid -2500 -300
Inter Milan -350 +275
Shakhtar Donetsk +200 +1200
Sheriff Tiraspol +2500 +8000

Inter, Madrid, and Shakhtar all ended up in the same group last season as well, with the Ukrainian standouts even beating Real in both meetings. Carlo Ancelotti’s side isn’t the same club of the past but they’re still capable of making a statement in the Champions League. Inter lost Romelu Lukaku and Achraf Hakimi in the summer after winning Serie A while Simone Inzaghi took over the reins.

Although Shakhtar can pull off an upset, I don’t see them qualifying. Sheriff is the first Moldovan club to feature in the UCL and there isn’t much expected of them. The two giants will advance, with Los Blancos running out as group winners.

To Qualify: Real Madrid (-2500), Inter (-350)

To Win: Real Madrid (-300)

Group E Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Bayern Munich -900 -175
Barcelona -350 +188
Benfica +200 +900
Dynamo Kiev +2500 +3300

Group E is quite lopsided, with Bayern Munich and Barcelona headlining. The German giants added two impressive reinforcements this summer in RB Leipzig duo Dayot Upamecano and Marcel Sabitzer, which should help them on their quest to conquer Europe again. Robert Lewandowski is also still scoring goals at a ridiculously high rate for a 33-year-old. Julian Nagelsmann’s side will also have fond memories of their last meeting with Barca, throttling the Spaniards 8-2 in the 2020 quarterfinals.

Barcelona has lost Messi and loaned out Greizmann. To make matters worse, Martin Brathwaite is now out 3-4 months with an injury. Nonetheless, the squad is still strong and Memphis Depay has been impressive for the side. It’s a no-brainer who will qualify and win here.

To Qualify: Bayern Munich (-900), Barcelona (-350)

To Win: Bayern Munich (-175)

Group F Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Manchester United -400 -175
Atalanta -163 +333
Villarreal +110 +450
Young Boys +400 +1400

Group F is very intriguing, with Manchester United and Villarreal alongside each other after the Yellow Submarine beat the Red Devils in the Europa League Final in May. United is undoubtedly the favorite after signing Jadon Sancho, Raphael Varane, and most notably, Cristiano Ronaldo, who scored a brace in his debut. Atalanta is also no pushover either, possessing countless attacking threats. They’ve also made the knockout rounds in two straight seasons.

There’s not a doubt in my mind that Man United will win this group, but I do believe Atalanta is going to edge out Villarreal as runners-up. The La Liga club will resort to Europa once again.

To Qualify: Manchester United (-400), Atalanta (-163)

To Win: Manchester United (-175)

Group G Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Sevilla -225 +138
Wolfsburg -138 +225
Lille +125 +350
RB Salzburg +138 +500

As you can see by the odds, Group G is extremely wide open. Sevilla finished in fourth spot last season in La Liga and has enjoyed a respectable start to the current campaign. Wolfsburg meanwhile secured their spot in the Champions League with a fourth-place finish and are off to a smashing start, going a perfect 4-0-0 in Germany. Lille beat PSG to the Ligue 1 title last term but they lost their coach Christophe Galtier. The side has also won just once in France thus far. Salzburg is definitely an intriguing club to keep an eye on. They’ve been a regular in the group stages and consistently conquer the Austrian top flight.

The odds for all four teams hold value. That being said, I’m taking the Wolves to win the group, with Salzburg edging out Sevilla and Lille for second.

To Qualify: Wolfsburg (-138), RB Salzburg (+138)

To Win: Wolfsburg (+225)

Group H Odds

Team Odds to Qualify Odds to Win
Chelsea -1000 -163
Juventus -500 +138
Zenit +275 +1600
Malmo +1000 +6600

The writing is basically on the wall for who will advance from Group H. Reigning Champions League winners Chelsea will be looking to repeat as the kings of Europe and have done a great job of strengthening their squad, signing Romelu Lukaku to fix their goal-scoring troubles. Juventus is adjusting to the post-Cristiano Ronaldo era, but without him in the spotlight, the likes of Paulo Dybala and Dejan Kulusevski could be in for a productive campaign under Max Allegri, who is back in Turin after taking over for Andrea Pirlo.

Malmo and Zenit don’t pose much of a threat to the Blues or Juve, with both sides easily qualifying. Chelsea will finish in top spot.

To Qualify: Chelsea (-1000), Juventus (-500)

To Win: Chelsea (-163)

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