Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras & Barcelona SC vs Flamengo Odds & Picks – Copa Libertadores Semifinals Leg 2
- Mineiro is favored to advance after 0-0 first-leg draw with the return kick-off at 8:30 pm ET on Tuesday
- Flamengo holds the aces after 2-0 opening win as its heads to Ecuador at 8:30 pm ET on Wednesday
- See odds and picks for Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras and Barcelona SC vs Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores Semifinals Leg 2 below
South America’s Copa Libertadores stages its semifinal second legs this week with an all-Brazilian final a likelihood.
Atletico Mineiro and trophy holders Palmeiras – both from Brazil – are all-square after the first leg while fellow Brazilian side Flamengo has a two-goal lead against Barcelona SC of Ecuador.
Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras | ATL -1 (+270) | PAL +1 (-110) | ATL -125 | PAL +380 | DRAW +200 | Ov 1.5 (-196) | Un 1.5 (+138) |
Odds as of September 28 at FanDuel
Atletico Mineiro vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil’s leading two teams Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras have it all to play for in the semifinal second leg of the Copa Libertadores after a goalless draw the first time around.
The shoot-out at Mineiro’s Belo Horizonte HQ is now essentially a straight knock-out tie with kick-off at 8:30 pm ET.
https://youtu.be/nD_gnoCtDlU
In the opening game, Atletico’s striker Hulk squandered the opportunity to claim a precious lead for his team when he missed a 42nd-minute penalty.
However, Atletico was the livelier team. And certainly, it will be confident of progressing thanks to a current record of 13 home games unbeaten across all competitions.
😍 The hour is upon us!
🏟🇺🇾 Who will meet at the Estadio Centenario on November 27th?
🇧🇷 @Atletico or @Palmeiras?
🇪🇨🇧🇷 @BarcelonaSC or @Flamengo_en?
🏆 #GloriaEterna pic.twitter.com/5WDFdNPRNe
— CONMEBOL Libertadores (@TheLibertadores) September 28, 2021
Mineiro, moreover, is presently leading the Brazilian Serie A Campeonato by six points from second-placed Palmeiras.
Accordingly, the oddsmakers at FanDuel rate Mineiro as the wide favorite for a win at -125.
Atletico managed 11 hopeful goal attempts in comparison with Palmeiras’ four.
Meanwhile, Palmeiras is priced at +380 with the draw at +200. These odds apply to the score after 90 minutes plus added time.
In last week’s first leg, furthermore, Atletico managed 11 hopeful goal attempts in comparison with Palmeiras’ four.
Another Close Encounter Ahead?
However, there was only one official shot on goal throughout the whole game – with the chance falling to Palmeiras even though it is the more defensive-minded side.
This suggests a tight affair is again in store with the price of +200 for the draw in normal time an attractive one.
Additionally, Atletico enjoyed 59 percent possession against Palmeiras’ figure of 41 percent.
Both these teams subsequently seemed to suffer a hangover from the first leg stalemate when they returned to league action last weekend.
Palmeiras was beaten 2-1 by Corinthians. Meanwhile, Atletico was involved in a 0-0 draw with Sao Paulo.
A lovely trip down memory lane 🖤 https://t.co/XJAgtCDrCM
— Atlético 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 (@atletico_en) July 17, 2020
Unlike the situation in the first leg which was played behind closed doors, Atletico will be allowed a 30 percent stadium capacity crowd – which could boost their chances further.
In conclusion, this has been the first time this season that Atletico has failed to score in two successive games.
But that could be the situation again after 90 minutes of the return match – with the draw likely after 90 minutes.
Pick: Draw +200
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo Odds
| Matchup | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona SC vs Flamengo | BAR +1 (+100) | FLA -1 (+195) | BAR +300 | FLA -135 | DRAW +270 | Ov 2.5 (-132) | Un 2.5 (-106) |
Barcelona SC vs Flamengo Prediction
Flamengo of Brazil takes a 2-0 first-leg lead to Barcelona SC of Ecuador for Wednesday’s semifinal return game.
Two goals from the midfielder Bruno Henrique gave Flamengo the lead in the first half of the opening game.
Additionally, Barcelona had midfielder Nixon Molina sent off in first-half added time following a second yellow card.
https://youtu.be/k9aw6r4PmUk
Therefore, it will require a major upset if Barcelona is to advance to the final – particularly as its domestic form has been unimpressive.
The team currently sits seventh in Ecuador’s league after four wins and three defeats so far.
🙌🇺🇾 We're now just 2⃣ months away from the CONMEBOL #Libertadores Final!
🏟️ Montevideo's historic Estadio Centenario will play host to a clash of South American titans!
⭐️ #GloriaEterna pic.twitter.com/UCZ5V2c7qv
— CONMEBOL Libertadores (@TheLibertadores) September 27, 2021
Flamengo, meanwhile, is in fourth place in the Brazilian Serie A.
The oddsmakers at FanDuel do not envisage any surprises and make Flamengo the -135 favorite for another victory.
Good morning, Nation! Check out some pictures of yesterday’s training session, straight from the hotel in Guayaquil. 💪🔴⚫️#CRF #FLAEnglish
📸@mcortesdasilva8 /CRF pic.twitter.com/1aHaqKLino
— Flamengo (@Flamengo_en) September 28, 2021
Barcelona is priced at +370 with the tie after 90 minutes at +270.
Again, among these odds, the draw looks like a good outside option.
Barcelona may at least put up stubborn resistance.
However, the spread offer for Flamengo to win by two goals or more at +195 looks more promising (Spread -1).
Barcelona may, at least, put up stubborn resistance.
It has already overcome Brazilian opposition when it defeated Fluminense on away goals in the quarterfinal after two draws; 1-1 and 2-2.
However, Flamengo enjoyed a free-scoring advance through the last eight.
It hammered the admittedly limited Olimpia of Paraguay by 4-1 and 5-1.
Furthermore, Flamengo was dominant in the first leg and enjoyed 65 percent possession against Baraclona’s 35 percent.
📽️ Bruno Henrique is the #BestOfTheWeek!
😍 The @Flamengo_en attacker has been voted by the fans as the #BOTW in the CONMEBOL #Libertadores after scoring two goals in the first leg against #Barcelona! pic.twitter.com/kkWCnehKoG
— CONMEBOL Libertadores (@TheLibertadores) September 27, 2021
Despite this, Barcelona at least held its own in making opportunities.
It had five shots on goal while Flamengo managed six.
Flamengo Had More Goal Attempts
In total, there were 13 goal attempts for Barcelona in comparison with Flamengo’s 17. So that draw this time out is not unfeasible.
Flamengo drew 1-1 with 15th-placed America SG in Brazil’s Serie A last weekend.
🟡👏 @BarcelonaSC's Argentine-born midfielders hoping to keep their side alive!
🇪🇨⚽️🇦🇷 Damián Díaz and Emmanuel Martínez, two key men in any potential comeback.
🏆 Will they be able to turn the tie around against @Flamengo_en? pic.twitter.com/EoQrL5a174
— CONMEBOL Libertadores (@TheLibertadores) September 26, 2021
Barcelona, meanwhile, was a 3-2 winner in its last league fixture against 11th-placed Deportivo Cuenca on September 18.
To sum up, Flamengo is too strong to suffer an upset and could well hammer home its superiority by a two-goal margin.
Pick: Flamengo -1 (+195)
John Dillon is a leading member of the UK's sporting media, having spent three decades as a national newspaper soccer and sports writer, broadcaster and author. He has covered five World Cups, six European Championships and was Chief Sports Writer at the Daily Express for 14 years.
