Barcelona vs Inter Milan Odds & Prediction – Champions League Group Stage
- Barcelona welcomes Inter Milan to Camp Nou on Wednesday, October 12th
- The hosts are a heavy -230 favorite despite losing to the Italian side last week
- Keep reading for the odds, preview, projected lineups, and Barcelona vs Inter prediction
We’re now into Matchday 4 of the Champions League group stage campaign, with Wednesday, October 12th bringing fans a tantalizing fixture between Barcelona and Inter Milan at Camp Nou. The kick-off is scheduled for 3 PM ET. Read on for the Barcelona vs Inter prediction.
The La Liga giants are in desperate need of a victory here, currently sitting in third place in Group C with just three points. Another defeat would almost certainly put them out of contention to advance to the knockout stages. Inter meanwhile, sits on six points after beating Barca 1-0 on Matchday 3 at the San Siro. The Spaniards still have the better Champions League odds at +1400, though.
Barcelona vs Inter Milan Odds
| Matchup | Moneyline |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | -230 |
| Inter Milan | +600 |
| Draw | +370 |
Odds as of October 10th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this UCL clash.
Surprisingly, Barcelona is a heavy -230 favorite for Wednesday’s encounter, even though Inter shut them out last Tuesday. That gives the hosts a 69.70% chance of coming out victorious. At a steep +600 on the moneyline, the visitors have an implied win probability of just 14.29%.
Over/Under & Spread
The over 2.5 goals boast -170 odds here and have been hit in two of the last three meetings. The under sits at +140.
Barcelona vs Inter Preview
Xavi’s men are looking great in La Liga, sitting at the top of the table with 22 points through eight games. In fact, they’ve yet to taste defeat in league play, bagging 20 goals and conceding just once. Sunday was another 1-0 win for the Catalans over Celta Vigo, with Pedri bagging a first-half winner.
Attention turns to#BarçaInter 👀
🔊 𝑺𝑶𝑼𝑵𝑫 𝑶𝑵 🔊 pic.twitter.com/OfupY1MRkL— FC Barcelona (@FCBarcelona) October 11, 2022
However, the Champions League is currently Barca’s kryptonite. Their only two losses this term have come in the competition, falling 2-0 to Bayern on Matchday 1 and then of course losing to Inter a week ago. No matter the club’s success in Spain, they ultimately want to compete at the highest level in Europe and if Wednesday ends up with another negative result, it could mean a demotion to Europa for the second season in a row.
Barcelona vs Inter UCL Stats
| 1-0-2 (3rd in Group C) | UCL Record | 2-0-1 (2nd in Group C) |
| 5 | Goals Scored | 3 |
| 4 | Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 10.7 | Shots Per Game | 6.7 |
Domestically, it’s been a brutal start for Inter. The 2021-22 runners-up are currently sitting in seventh place with a 5-0-4 record, already matching their loss total from last season. On a more positive note, Simone Inzaghi’s side has notched two straight victories heading into Wednesday, most recently running out as 2-1 winners at Sassuolo on Saturday.
Preparing for the #UCL 💪#BarçaInter #ForzaInter pic.twitter.com/1thXMQWacl
— Inter ⭐⭐ (@Inter_en) October 10, 2022
Edin Dzeko was the star of the show for the Nerazzurri, netting a brace to lead the way. Goals aren’t coming at a premium in the Champions League though, scoring only three times as a team. Nevertheless, another win here puts Inter in a favorable position with just two matchdays left.
Barcelona vs Inter Team Lineups and Injuries
Barcelona Projected Lineup: Ter Stegen; Roberto, Pique, E Garcia, Alonso; Gavi, Busquets, Pedri; Dembele, Lewandowski, Fati
Injuries & Absences: Kessie, Christensen, Memphis, Kounde, Bellerin, Araujo
Inter Projected Lineup: Onana; Skriniar, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Dimarco; L Martinez, Dzeko
Injuries & Absences: Dalbert, Brozovic, Correa, Cordaz, Brazao
There’s a host of injury concerns for both sides, but the starting XIs will look relatively similar to their selections over the weekend, with the exception of some additions for Barca.
Barcelona vs Inter Prediction
You have to look at history here. Inter is yet to win on the road against Barcelona, losing all five visits to Camp Nou. Considering Barcelona’s form, I like them to secure a victory here. However, the moneyline holds little value. Instead, believe in Barca’s rock-solid backline that has only conceded once in La Liga and Marc Ter-Stegen to keep a clean sheet as well.
Pick: Barcelona to win nil (+140)
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Quinn Allen is a sports journalist, with a background and education in broadcast journalism (BCIT '17). He is a full-time associate editor at ClutchPoints by day, where he writes about soccer, baseball, basketball, football, and more. At night, Quinn is a frequent contributor at SBD.
