Upcoming Match-ups

Brazil Heavy -700 Favorites Over Peru in Sunday’s Copa América Final

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Soccer News

Updated Apr 2, 2020 · 11:10 AM PDT

Philippe Coutinho
Brazil and Barcelona midfielder Philippe Coutinho is one of 13 players with two goals at Copa América. Photo by Granada (Wiki Commons).
  • Brazil has emerged as a massive -700 favorite to lift the trophy at this year’s Copa América for the first time since 2007
  • The Brazilians have not allowed a goal in five tournament matches, including a 5-0 rout of Peru in the group stage
  • Peru returns to the Copa América final for the first time since 1975 lagging as a distant +475 underdog

Brazil will be looking to claim their first Copa América title in 12 years when they hit the pitch against Peru on Sunday in this year’s tournament final as heavy -335 favorites to win the competition within 90 minutes. They are -700 odds to win at any time. Ahead of the semifinals against Argentina, Brazil’s Copa America odds were just -135.

Brazil vs Peru Copa America Final Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Odds to Lift Trophy
Brazil -1.5 (+100) -335 O 2.5 (+105) -700
Peru +1.5 (-120) +1100 U 2.5 (-125) +475
Draw N/A +425 N/A N/A

Odds taken 07/05/19.

Brazil Blank Opponents on March to Copa América Final

The Canarinho have continued their recent dominance at this year’s Copa América, avoiding defeat while outgunning opponents by a 10-0 margin over five tournament matches, capped by 2-0 defeat of Argentina in Tuesday’s semifinal, which clinched the squad’s berth in Sunday’s tournament finale.

In addition to marking the first time the squad has advanced to the final of a major international tournament since their victory at the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup, Brazil’s strong tournament play extends an impressive run since being ousted in the quarterfinals of last year’s World Cup.

The Brazilians have gone undefeated since, racking up an impressive 13-2-0 win-draw-loss record across all competitions, while keeping clean sheets on 13 occasions, including each of their past seven outings.

Short Odds Fueled by Lengthy Domination of Peru

Not surprisingly, Brazil has also emerged as a massive favorite to lift the trophy, pegged as a short -700 wager in the Copa América futures. Those odds have been fueled by the Canarinho’s decade-long domination of Peru, with the squad keeping clean sheets on five occasions while posting wins in six straight meetings with Los Incas since 2007.

The two sides faced off in the group stage of this year’s tournament, with Brazil coming away with a lopsided 5-0 victory to remain unbeaten in six all-time Copa América clashes with Peru. That provided Brazil with sweet revenge after the Peruvians bounced them from 2016 Copa América with a crucial group stage victory.

Brazil vs Peru Copa América Stats

Brazil
VS
Peru
4/5 Wins / Number of games 3/5
10/2 Goals scored / Per game 6/1.2
0/0 Goals conceded / Per game 6/1.2
8 Copa America titles won 2
9 Trophies won 0
11 Copa America Finals 12

Peru Return to Copa América Final for First Time Since 1975

Peru now makes their first appearance in the final since their last Copa América title win in 1975. Listed as a distant +1100 underdog to earn the win in 90 minutes, it has been far from a smooth tournament for Los Incas, who emerged as the top third-place side in group stage action on the strength of a 3-1 come-from-behind victory over also-ran Bolivia.

It has been far from a smooth tournament for Los Incas, who emerged as the top third-place side in group stage action.

In addition to their crushing group stage loss to Brazil, the Peruvians needed penalties to eke out a quarterfinal win over Uruguay, but demonstrated fine form while ousting two-time defending champions Chile with a 3-0 semifinal win.

It has been over a year since Peru managed to string together three straight victories. The squad has compiled a middling 7-2-9 record in 20 outings since the start of the 2018 World Cup, which they bowed out from in the group stage. Despite that shaky record, and their recent blowout loss to Brazil, the Peruvians have played steady defense over the past year, keeping clean sheets in five of nine outings.

Firmino, Coutinho Lead Way on Top Goalscorer Odds

However, Peru is likely to struggle to contain the Brazilian attack, led by the trio of Everton, Philippe Coutinho, and Roberto Firmino, who have each tallied two goals each so far in the tournament. Now poised to earn his first international tournament victory with the national squad, Firmino potted the insurance marker in Brazil’s 2-0 win over Argentina in the semifinal, and likely offers the most value as a +350 bet on the odds to be the tournament’s top goalscorer.

Coutinho joins Firmino as a +350 co-favorite despite being held off the scoresheet since scoring twice in the squad’s tournament-opening victory over Bolivia, while Everton lags at +1000.

And with Brazil showing no signs of slowing down while tearing up the Argentine defense in Tuesday’s victory, a wager on the total going over 2.5 is very attractive at +105 odds, as are the -135 odds of Brazil claiming victory over Peru while keeping a clean sheet in Sunday’s contest.

Pick: Brazil in 90 minutes (-335)

Author Image