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Bundesliga Matchday 32 Odds & Picks: Bayern Munich One Win Away from Title

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer News

Updated Mar 12, 2021 · 12:18 PM UTC

Lazio vs Bayern Munich
Munich's Robert Lewandowski, left, and Frankfurt's Martin Hinteregger challenge for the ball during the German Bundesliga soccer match between Eintracht Frankfurt and Bayern Munich in Frankfurt, Germany, Saturday, Feb. 20, 2021. (Arne Dedert/POOL via AP)
  • Bundesliga Matchday 32 kicks off Tuesday afternoon with midweek play on Tuesday and Wednesday
  • Bayern Munich one win away from clinching title
  • Odds for each game on Matchday 32 plus our best bets for the card follow below

With just three rounds of Bundesliga play remaining and two matchdays to be played this week, much can be decided in the next few days. With Bayern Munich’s late win this weekend they are one win away from officially capturing the title. Dortmund also scored late for a win over Dusseldorf which clinched their Champions League spot and Augsburg’s win over Mainz has guaranteed their safety in the top flight for another season.

Elsewhere, Schalke, Cologne and Paderborn remained winless since the restart and the top four, top six and relegation races still look to be going down to the wire. For yet another week, road teams reigned supreme with six wins, now making home “advantage” a very underwhelming 11-16-28 (WDL) since the Bundesliga returned. That’s pretty crazy and must give you pause before backing any home team the rest of the way.

For now, let’s look at the next round of fixtures for Bundesliga Matchday 32 which offers four matches on Tuesday and another five on Wednesday.

Bundesliga Matchday 32 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Borussia Monchengladbach 0, -0.5 (-125) +110 O 3 (EVEN)
Wolfsburg 0, +0.5 (+105) +225 U 3 (-120)
Draw N/A +260 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Freiburg 0 (-105) +160 O 2.5, 3 (-115)
Hertha Berlin 0 (-115) +150 U 2.5, 3 (-105)
Draw N/A +255 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Union Berlin -0.5, -1 (-120) -155 O 2.5, 3 (-115)
Paderborn +0.5, +1 (EVEN) +380 U 2.5, 3 (-105)
Draw N/A +315 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Werder Bremen +2 (EVEN) +1200 O 3.5 (-120)
Bayern Munich -2 (-120) -650 U 3.5 (EVEN)
Draw N/A +650 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5, -1 (-105) -140 O 2.5, 3 (-120)
Schalke +0.5, +1 (-115) +350 U 2.5, 3 (EVEN)
Draw N/A +300 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Augsburg 0 (EVEN) +165 O 3 (EVEN)
Hoffenheim 0 (-120) +145 U 3 (-120)
Draw N/A +270 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Bayer Leverkusen -1, -1.5 (EVEN) -225 O 3, 3.5 (-115)
Cologne +1, +1.5 (-120) +550 U 3, 3.5 (-105)
Draw N/A +360 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
Borussia Dortmund -1.5, 2 (-115) -400 O 3.5 (EVEN)
Mainz +1.5, +2 (-105) +1000 U 3.5 (-120)
Draw N/A +500 N/A
Team Spread Moneyline Total
RB Leipzig -2 (-105) -500 O 3.5 (-110)
Fortuna Dusseldorf +2 (-115) +1200 U 3.5 (-110)
Draw N/A +525 N/A

All odds taken Jun. 15

Pick 1: Borussia Monchengladbach vs Wolfsburg

There’s plenty on the line for these teams, though each for different reasons, when they kick off Bundesliga’s Matchday 32 on Tuesday at 12:30 pm EST. Gladbach sits fifth in the table with 56 points and just one point back of fourth-place Bayer Leverkusen who currently occupy the final Champions League place. Wolfsburg, though just below Gladbach in the standings in sixth, are well out of the UCL conversation, yet still hold a three-point advantage over seventh-place Hoffenheim for the final Europa League spot.

Gladbach started the year strong, but look to be limping to the finish line and haven’t looked especially good value to grab that final UCL spot since the restart. They’ve won two of their six matches since the league resumed and just one of their past five. That run has seen them held off the scoresheet to the likes of both Werder Bremen and Freiburg.

On Saturday, they were always going to be hard-pressed to take points off league-leaders Bayern Munich but were given a great opportunity to do so with Bayern missing key players to suspension (Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Muller) and squad rotation. Monchengladbach almost got on the board early but their goal was called offside, and soon after fell behind due to a horrible blunder by keeper Yann Sommer. They did eventually get their goal before the conclusion of the first half by applying pressure and forcing Bayern defender Benjamin Pavard into causing an own goal.

Gladbach were without their own key players, with leading scorers Alassane Pléa (suspension) and Marcus Thuram (injured in opening ten minutes) not factoring into the match. Borussia had their chances though throughout, yet were unable to breakthrough. Leon Goretzka finally gave Bayern the winner in the 86′ minute in a 2-1 win.

Wolfsburg have seen slightly better form of late with two wins and a draw in their past three matches. Though their win against Werder came in the dying moments of the match and this past weekend they would have been disappointed to give away an early 2-0 lead to Freiburg and draw 2-2. Leading goalscorer Wout Weghorst has 14 goals on the season and has scored each of the Wolves’ past three goals.

Wolfsburg are 5-2-1 (WDL) against the Foals in recent meetings. That includes a 2-1 win earlier this season and 3-0 and 2-2 results last year.

Both teams will definitely want something out of this match and I believe each likely will find themselves on the scoresheet. Though at -188 odds that offers little value. I don’t want any part of Gladbach at this price given their current form, injury to Thuram and the overall lack of success of home teams. For me, the value lies in the draw or Wolfsburg win. Wolfsburg ‘draw no bet’ also offers +140 odds. The safer of those options though would be the ‘double chance’ market at -140 odds.

Pick: Wolfsburg double chance (-140)

Pick 2: Werder Bremen vs Bayern Munich

It’s relegation-threatened vs near-title winners at 2:30 pm EST Tuesday afternoon.

Bayern are huge favorites for the win after inching closer to the title with Saturday’s 2-1 win over Gladbach. Hans-Dieter Flick’s side has been in blistering form having now won 13-straight in all competitions and having gone undefeated in 22-straight matches. In the Bundesliga, they are 16-1-0 of late and have won by multiple goals in four of their six victories since the league restarted.

Though Saturday’s win was narrow and came late, they were dealing with multiple suspensions, squad rotation and a short week after playing in the DFB-Pokal semifinals. Leading goalscorer Robert Lewandowski and leading assist man Thomas Muller were two players who were out of Saturday’s match but should be back for Tuesday’s tilt with Werder Bremen.

Werder finds themselves in a crucial relegation fight, currently in 17th, but tied with 16th-place Fortuna Dusseldorf for the relegation playoff spot at 28 points. They’re also three points back of Mainz in 15th for safety. Werder kept their hopes of another season in the Bundesliga alive on Saturday with an impressive 5-1 win over bottom-of-the-table Paderborn.

There’s a huge gulf in class between these sides and it should be no surprise that Bayern holds a distinctive advantage in head-to-head history. In fact, Bayern Munich have won each of the past 21 meetings between these teams in all competitions. That includes a 6-1 win in the league this year in December.

Not only does Bayern Munich have the title in their sights, but they are also looking to eclipse the century mark for total goals in a season. With 92 goals on the season, they have more goals than any other Bundesliga team in history after 31 rounds of play. Lewandowski and Muller will be back in the lineup and I expect Bayern to cruise to a victory on Tuesday.

Pick: Bayern Munich -2 (-120)

Pick 3: Bayer Leverkusen vs Cologne

Wednesday afternoon sees fourth-place Bayer Leverkusen take on 12th-place Cologne at 2:30 pm EST.

The match holds much more importance for Peter Bosz’ Leverkusen who are fighting tooth and nail to stay within the top four and earn a spot in next season’s Champions League. A draw on the weekend to Schalke, who hasn’t won since the restart was a huge setback, though did push them one point above Borussia Monchengladbach, giving them 57 points, to Gladbach’s 56. Leverkusen have now won just once in their past four and that was a narrow 1-0 win over Freiburg. With just five goals in their past four matches, the goals have somewhat dried up for a team with 57 tallies on the year. They should have Kai Havertz back in the lineup though who returned to the pitch on the weekend after suffering a minor injury.

Cologne comes into this match in awful form with no wins since the restart and now winless in seven overall. Saturday saw them fall 2-1 at home to Union Berlin which was their third loss in four. Perhaps their motivation has wained considering in 12th-place, they are stuck in mid-table limbo with very little to play for.

While I don’t expect Cologne to finally find themselves in the win column on Wednesday, there is a goalscoring trend to consider for a bet in this match. Despite their form, Cologne matches have been filled with goals and goals for both sides. Since the league resumed, the Billy Goats have at least scored in every match and both teams have scored in all six. OVER 2.5 goal totals have also cashed in 5/6. In fact, Cologne has now scored in 17-straight matches and should figure into the scoring against a Leverkusen side who have conceded in 9/12 Bundesliga matches.

Cologne were 2-0 winners in each of the past two meetings with these teams, but previously both teams had scored in seven straight.

Pick: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 (-125)

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