- Canada plays Great Britain in the third and final group stage match at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics on Tuesday, July 27th at 7:00 am ET
- After two rounds of group stage play, Great Britain and Canada find themselves separated by only two points atop the Group E table
- Get the odds, our analysis and betting prediction below
The Women’s Olympic soccer competition is heading into its third and final round of group stage play as Canada and Great Britain square off on Tuesday. The two countries are atop Group E as Great Britain sits on six points with two wins and Canada on four points with a win and draw versus Japan.
At this point in the competition, Great Britain has already qualified for the knockout round. While Canada has not technically qualified, they would be hard-pressed to miss out at this stage. The women’s contest only features three groups which means the top two sides in each group and the top two third-place teams advance to the knockout rounds.
Canada vs Great Britain Odds
|Canada vs Great Britain||CAN +0.5 (-135) | GB -0.5 (-120)||CAN +310 | GB +100 | DRAW +235||Ov 2.5 (+105) | Un 3.5 (-135)|
Odds as of July 25 at DraftKings
It would take a Canada loss and an array of other teams winning and having a better goal differential to see them out of the tournament. Regardless, on Tuesday we see two of the best teams in women’s soccer compete at the highest level which should be the focus. While Team GB is not on the FIFA World Rankings, Great Britain and Canada are ranked as the sixth and eighth best women’s teams in the world, respectively.
Will Great Britain Play Safe and Rest?
So far, Great Britain have been fantastic at the Olympic Games in women’s soccer. Hege Riise’s side has won both matches so far against Japan and Chile and are still yet to give up a goal. As Karen Bardsley misses out on the Olympic Games in goal for Great Britain, her substitute Ellie Roebuck has performed well so far.
In attack, Ellen White has been tremendous in the first two games, scoring all three goals so far. The Manchester City attacker is a seasoned veteran, having scored 42 goals across 101 caps in international competition. She will be imperative to Great Britain’s success not just in this match, but for the rest of the tournament in Japan.
13 – Ellen White has now scored 13 goals in her last 14 international games, netting all three of Great Britain's goals at this year's Olympics despite only attempting five shots. Instincts. #Tokyo2020 https://t.co/LU27Oj6JOo
— OptaJoe (@OptaJoe) July 24, 2021
Nonetheless, the predicament Great Britain find themselves in is a peculiar one. While they have already clinched a place in the knockout rounds, they can face a significantly easier matchup if they win this fixture on Tuesday. By claiming first place in Group E, they would see themselves playing one of the two third-place teams, probably either Australia or China.
If Great Britain decides to rotate the squad and slip up against Canada, they would have to face the runner-up of Group F. Right now, that looks like either the Netherlands or Brazil which are both extremely difficult matchups. It is important to stress the decision Riise will have to make before this match because ultimately it could sway the result.
💬 "I feel really proud to open the Olympics with #TeamGB."
— Team GB (@TeamGB) July 21, 2021
Stephanie Labbe Still Questionable for Canada
Furthermore, a player to keep your eye on in the team sheet is Stephanie Labbe. The Canadian goalkeeper was spectacular in the first game versus Japan, even managing to save a penalty after suffering a knock. Labbe was then substituted for back-up Kailen Sheridan who conceded a goal to Mana Iwabuchi in the 84th minute.
Japan miss a penalty!
The penalty awarded after a very long VAR check for a foul by Stephanie Labbé.
The Canada keeper looked injured, stayed on and then saved Mina Tanaka's spot kick.
Japan 0-1 Canada
— BBC Sport (@BBCSport) July 21, 2021
The Canadian number one missed their second group stage match against Chile and remains questionable. She is an imperative part of Kenneth Heiner-Møller’s side and would be a devastating miss for Canada’s first-ever game against Great Britain.
Canada vs Great Britain Olympic Statistics
|1.5||Goals per game||1.5|
|1||Goals conceded per game||0|
|9.5||Average shots per game||18|
Although, even if Labbe is a scratch for Tuesday, Canada has so much firepower scattered around the pitch to win this game. Christine Sinclair is an undisputed superstar in the sport and is a goal-scoring machine. If Sinclair and her teammates put in a shift, they can undoubtedly challenge Great Britain for first place in Group E.
Canada vs Great Britain Best Bet
Overall, I think the best bet for this match is the Great Britain moneyline at +100. This bet has great value and is the smart choice given the form Ellen White and her teammates have been on. I expect Canada to challenge for this game, only for their defense to fall flat in the end.
Pick: Great Britain moneyline (+100)