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Club Brugge vs PSG – UEFA Champions League Matchday 3 Odds, Pick & Betting Preview

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Apr 11, 2020 · 5:49 PM PDT

Club Brugge stadium
The Jan Breydel Stadion plays host to Club Brugge vs PSG in one of the week's big UEFA Champions League games. PSG are odds-on favorites. Photo By V&A Dudush (Wiki Commons) [CC License]
  • Paris Saint-Germain lead Group A with six points
  • Belgium’s Club Brugge are second in the group with two points
  • See the odds for Club Brugge vs PSG on Tuesday below

Club Brugge host Paris Saint-Germain in Matchday 3 of the UEFA Champions League Group A next Tuesday at the Jan Breydel Stadion on October 22, at 3:00 pm EST.

PSG top the group and are odds-on favorites to win it and and to win this game but with the hosts having drawn 2-2 away at Real Madrid last time out, this may not be the formality the odds suggest. We’ll take a look and see if we can identify the value.

UEFA Champions League – Club Brugge vs PSG Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Odds to win Group A
Club Brugge +1.0 (+100) +500 O 3.0 (+108) +5000
PSG -1.0 (-116) -195 U 3.0 (-124) -3300
Draw N/A +310 N/A N/A

*All odds taken on October 15, 2019

While Brugge were earning that excellent draw in the Bernabeau, PSG were winning 1-0 in Istanbul against Galatasary and in doing so cementing their place at the top of the group. Even after just two games, it will take something huge to displace the Parisiens at the top of the group.

PSG in Control

Already PSG lead the once-mighty Real Madrid by five points after the Spanish giants were first of all beaten in Paris and then held by Brugge, and it will take a turnaround of epic proportion for that gap to be closed. Even a draw in Brugge would keep PSG on course.

Brugge on Fire in the Bernabeau

For Brugge, this is turning into quite an adventure. After a lukewarm start, when they drew 0-0 at home to Galatasary, their first-half performance in Madrid was of the highest quality and laid down a marker for the rest of Group A. Two first-half goals from Emmanuel Bonaventure put the Belgians in control and led to a disgruntled Bernabeau crowd making their feelings known at half-time.

Real simply had to improve in the second half and having expressed their displeasure at half-time, the home crowd rallied and were rewarded when skipper Sergio Ramos pulled a goal back on 55-minutes. With five minutes remaining, Casemiro leveled things up.

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It was a nervy final five minutes plus injury time but a draw was no more than Brugge deserved, especially as they finished the game with ten men after having Dutch defender Ruud Vormer sent off for his second bookable offense. These type of heroics will be needed next week if they are to take anything from the PSG game.

Parisien Stroll

For PSG, the group has so far been a breeze, which includes a 3-0 stroll on opening day against Real. Two first-half goals from Ángel Di María against his former club set them up for a famous win and despite the Spanish improving a little after the break, and having a Gareth Bale goal ruled out via VAR, Real manager Zinedine Zidane admitted his side were second best throughout. The three points were sealed in injury time with a goal from Belgian international Thomas Meunier.

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They followed this up with the less-spectacular but equally vital win in Istanbul – the goal coming from Mauro Icardi – which left them in total control of the group.

This will be tough for PSG though and Brugge proved against Real they are not here just to make up the numbers. Given how the group has panned out, they have a genuine chance of making top two, especially if they can tap into the form that ripped Canos and co apart in that first-half.

A Tight, Nervy One Awaits

A solid defense is a must for Brugge to get anything from the game and they do have them in their locker, with six clean sheets in their last 20 home games. On the flip side, PSG last failed to score in an away cup tie 14 games ago and have drawn blanks in only three of their last 20 away league games.

The Parisiens are full of goals and will test this Brugge defense to the limit, especially as the home team will be encouraged by their raucous support to play on the front foot. However, they will have to make do without Neymar, who suffered a hamstring injury with Brazil during the international break.

Brugge coach Philippe Clement will be wary though of PSG’s ability to launch lightning counter-attacks and so may set his team up not to over-commit. This could lead to a cagey, cautious game – unlike the one in the Bernabeau – and so a low-scoring game looks likely.  A draw for both teams would not be the worst outcome.

There is little value in the -195 on offer for the PSG win and the home win looks a big ask, so for me, the real value lies with the +310 for a draw.

My pick: Club Brugge and PSG to draw (+310)

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