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EPL Odds: Role-reversal at the North London Derby

Don Aguero

by Don Aguero in Soccer News

Updated Jan 17, 2018 · 9:39 AM PST

Arsenal and Tottenham prepare for a high-stakes derby
Photo credit: Wonker [CC BY 2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0)]

Tottenham (-114) vs. Arsenal (+333), Draw (+305)

The tables have turned for the upcoming North London derby this Sunday (April 30th). Tottenham (22-8-3, 74 points) are now the title chasers while Arsenal (18-6-8, 60 points) are the ones hoping to break the top four.

The stakes are as high as they’ve ever been for a North London derby. Arsenal have the chance to derail Tottenham’s title run, while Tottenham has the potential to end Arsenal’s hopes of a top four finish.

Arsenal will head to White Hart Lane as the underdog, which shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone. The Gunners have only won two of their last nine away games in the Premier League, and have recently suffered heavy losses to mid-table teams like Crystal Palace (3-0) and West Brom (3-1).

Meanwhile, Tottenham is on an eight-game winning streak in the league and have not lost a single league match at White Hart this season. They currently sit second with a very real chance of catching leaders Chelsea.

When it comes to home games, Tottenham is the best in the league. They’ve won their last 12 league matches at White Hart, including notable victories against Chelsea (2-0) and Manchester City (2-0).

Apart from Erik Lamela, Tottenham shouldn’t be missing any of their key players. Danny Rose and Mousa Dembele haven’t been ruled fit yet, but they’re expected to recover in time. Even if they don’t, it’s not too much to worry about.

Arsenal is in a trickier position. Santi Cazorla has been ruled out, while Shkodran Mustafi and Laurent Koscielny remain doubtful. The absence of Koscielny is a real blow to the Arsenal defense and they would be significantly weaker on Sunday without him.

The Spurs suffered an embarrassing defeat in their final game last season to an already relegated Newcastle, bottling their best chance to finish above Arsenal in two decades. Now, they have an even better shot at breaking the 22-year curse.

A win on Sunday would make it mathematically impossible for Arsenal to catch Tottenham. Arsenal haven’t won at White Hart since 2014 and considering the form of both teams right now, I have to go with Tottenham.

Pick: Tottenham (-114)

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