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With Six-Goal Lead, Jamie Vardy Shortens to Even-Money Favorite to Win Premier League Golden Boot

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer

Dec 24, 2019 · 7:19 AM PST

Jamie Vardy, right, of Leicester City
Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy, right, has five goals in five games against Aston Villa. Photo by Lynne Cameron/Colorsport/Icon Sportswire
  • Jamie Vardy now has even-money odds to win the 2019-20 Premier League Golden Boot
  • Leicester’s Vardy has a six-goal lead over Chelsea youngster Tammy Abraham
  • Despite this, Harry Kane and Mo Salah are both favored over Abraham with odds of +700

The Premier League’s Golden Boot award is always one of the best races in all of sports to track. It is so unpredictable, and with one hat-trick, can be easily turned on its head. That is one of the key reasons the EPL Golden Boot odds are not necessarily the best way to translate who will win the Golden Boot. The Premier League season is audaciously long, players go through bad spells of form, and managers’ tactics change.

Jamie Vardy was on odds of +313 last month, but has now been bumped to even-money odds, making the bet a little less worthwhile. Of course, having a six-goal lead halfway through the season is a major help, but that does not mean the race is close to being finished.

Premier League Golden Boot Odds

Team Current Goals Odds
Jamie Vardy 17 EVEN
Harry Kane 9 +700
Mo Salah 9 +700
Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang 11 +1000
Sadio Mane 9 +1000
Tammy Abraham 11 +1000
Raheem Sterling 9 +1200
Sergio Aguero 9 +1400
Marcus Rashford 10 +1800
Danny Ings 11 +5000

Odds taken Dec. 23. 

Two-Time Winner Kane

One sleeper or underdog that should always be considered is Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane. A striker that has won this award twice before, and was on Mo Salah’s heels just two years ago. The Englishman is hungry to win the award again, and with Jose Mourinho in charge, expect most of the chances to run through the big man up top. He is currently eight goals behind Vardy, but Kane is known for scoring goals in bunches so it is hard to really count him out.

Other Competition

The other competition includes a few Liverpool players such as Mo Salah and Sadio Mane, fellow African Pierre Emerick-Aubameyang, and Tammy Abraham. These players are much less likely to win for their own individual reasons. For Liverpool, they are so much less reliant on Salah or one specific player now, it would be naive to choose one now to win the Golden Boot.

Aubameyang is a constant struggle with consistency, and Abraham is probably a tad too young to deal with the pressure of scoring goals and getting wins to worry about the Golden Boot. For these reasons, it makes sense to leave the Golden Boot race up to the two English forwards; Jamie Vardy and Harry Kane.

Kane is Long-Term

Despite Vardy’s success this year, his goal turnout is going to slow down over the coming months. We have already seen Leicester’s performances take a small hit, and Vardy was outperforming even to his standards.

Harry Kane has scored an average of 25.33 goals over the past three full seasons. His numbers did take a hit towards the end of Pochettino’s tenure, however, he will bounce back under Mourinho surely. All it takes is a couple of hatty’s and Kane will be back on his perch as England’s top scorer once again.

My Pick: Harry Kane (+700)

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