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Ligue 1 Matchday 21 Lille vs Paris Saint-Germain Odds & Pick

Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Lille will host league-leaders PSG this weekend. By Liondartois (Wiki Commons)
  • Lille are the only remaining Ligue 1 team with an unbeaten home record this season
  • In 10 league games at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille have only given up five goals
  • Paris Saint-Germain are the best road team in the league, however, with 24 points won away from the Parc des Princes

Sunday night’s game in Ligue 1 will be a case of the unstoppable force meets an immovable object. Fifth-place Lille put their unbeaten home record on the line when they host league leaders Paris Saint-Germain, who have picked up a Ligue 1-best 24 points away from home on the strength of eight wins and two losses.

Lille vs PSG Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Lille +1.5 (-140) +525 O 3.0 (-130)
Paris Saint-Germain -1.5 (+115) -220 U 3.0 (+105)
Draw N/A +380 N/A

Odds taken on Jan. 24

Tough at Home

Not only are Lille unbeaten at home through 10 games this season, they are also unbeaten at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in their last 14 games played there. On top of that, that run of home success was begun the last time they hosted PSG, which ended in a massive 5-1 victory over the eight-time French champions, PSG’s worst defeat in the French top flight since 2000. That was also Lille’s first success over the Parisian club since 2012, and PSG leads the all-time series between the clubs by 18 wins to five, with 10 draws.

The foundation of success over Lille’s 14-game stretch has been the team’s defense, which has kept 10 clean sheets in that time, and also has the best defensive home record this campaign, with just five goals conceded. In those 10 games, Lille have also scored 18 goals, to comfortably help them to an 8-0-2 record at home.

Lille vs PSG Head-to-Head in Last 10 Ligue 1 Games

Lille
VS
PSG

1 Wins 8
8 Losses 1
1 Draws 1
9 Goals scored 21

Road Warriors

But while Lille will be a tough out at home, PSG look to be the most likely team to do it. The defending Ligue 1 champions have a league-best 24 points away from home this season, comfortably ahead of the 18 put up by Marseille and Lyon. And Thomas Tuchel’s team has done so with an attacking flourish, scoring more than 20 goals.

PSG is hot of late as well, winning each of their last four away contests and scoring at least two goals in each game.

As if that wasn’t enough for Lille to contend with, PSG are also unbeaten in their last 16 matches in all competitions – winning 14 of those – and scoring an astonishing 52 goals in the process.

However, PSG is set to be without the services of center back Marquinhos, who came off injured in their last game, a 3-0 win over Reims.

A Striking Battle

Lille’s leading scorer, Victor Osimhen, has scored nine of his 10 league goals at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, scoring one goal every 94 minutes at home.

In comparison, Kylian Mbappe, PSG’s leading marksman with 13 goals overall, has scored seven of them away from home in the seven away matches that he’s played. And the French World Cup winner has been hot of late, too, scoring in each of his last five road games, including braces in each of his last two games, most recently with a pair in a 4-1 win over his old club Monaco.

And if Mbappe wasn’t enough for Lille to contend with, the French champions also have Neymar Jr. to add to the club’s one-two punch up top, with the Brazilian having scored 11 goals so far this season.

Goals, Goals, Goals

One thing is for certain: recent contests between these teams have produced a decent amount of goals.

Only once in the last seven contests in all competitions between the teams has a game failed to produce at least three goals, with PSG winning six of those games.

Pick: PSG to win -220

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