New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Odds & Prediction – MLS Cup Playoffs Round One (Oct 17)

• It’s New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF in the MLS Cup Playoffs Round One on Monday, October 16
• New York City’s defense of their MLS Cup title continues in Queens against an in-form Inter Miami
• We preview the game, look at the New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF odds, and offer some picks below

It’s New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF in the MLS Cup Playoffs Round One on October 17 at Citi Field. It all kicks off in Queens at 7:00pm ET.

NYCFC come into this game off the back of four wins on the spin – a run that took them up to fourth in the Eastern Conference. Miami also finished the regular season strongly, with four wins from their last five, and ended the season sixth in the Eastern.

We preview this massive Playoff clash, look at the MLS Odds, and offer some analysis, team news, and picks below.

New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Odds

Odds as of Oct 17 at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on this or other games.

NYC go into this as odds-on favorites for the win, and at -160 with a 62% implied win probability. Inter Miami, as outsiders, are listed at +420 with a win probability of just 19%. The draw after 90 minutes is generously priced at +290.

Over/Under and Spread

Caesars can’t decide how this is going in terms of total goals with over 2.5 goals listed at -125, while under is on offer at -105.

If you’re new to betting on soccer and want to know about Soccer Futures and Outright Betting, then our page offers help on how to do this in the MLS and other top leagues.

New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Prediction

NYFC’s defense of their MLS title was in danger of fizzling out in the second half of the regular season until they faced Atlas – winners of the Campeón de Campeones from Liga MX – in the Campeones Cup in mid-September. Prior to that game, they had been on a horrible run of just one win in ten but the 2-0 win over their Mexican opponents resurrected their season.

Following their Campeones Cup triumph, Nick Cushing’s men won three MLS games on the spin – their final three of the regular season – and ended up finishing in third place in the Eastern Conference.

T-Minus 24 hours 😤 @FS1 pic.twitter.com/NYfkXXdAlJ

— New York City FC (@newyorkcityfc) October 16, 2022

Good Home Form for NYCFC

NYCFC have enjoyed some good home form over the regular season – winning 10 games, which is the second-highest in the Eastern – with two of those wins taking place at Citi Field, Queens, where tonight’s game takes place. On the flip side, the last time they played a playoff game there – vs Toronto in 2019 – they lost 2-1.

Over the regular season, NYCFC beat Miami 2-0 at home (in Yankee Stadium), while in Florida they were beaten 3-2.

Interim Head Coach @nickcushing80 and Club Captain @SeanJohnGK are speaking to the media ahead of our #MLSCupPlayoffs First Round meeting with @InterMiamiCF on Monday 📰⬇️ pic.twitter.com/azsLyMvL75

— New York City FC (@newyorkcityfc) October 15, 2022

New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Head-to-Head Stats

A Fine Season Finale from Neville’s Men

A mixed campaign for Miami ignited the moment it looked as if their chances of making the playoffs were fading. After a disastrous opening that saw them open with five winless games, they steadied the ship with ten wins in their next 24 but still were around mid-table in the conference as the regular season entered its final stages.

Four wins from their last five games though were enough to earn Phil Neville’s team a playoff place after finishing sixth, albeit they finished only two points clear of eighth-placed  Columbus Crew, who missed out.

Checking in from NY📌 pic.twitter.com/d6QW5qwPZs

— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) October 16, 2022

Better defensive Work Needed From Miami

This is only the second time Miami have made the playoffs – their first was in 2020 when they were knocked out by Nashville at the first hurdle – but to progress further they will need to defend better than they have during the regular season. A goal difference of minus nine and 56 goals conceded is not the record of a team destined to go all the way.

All eyes set on Monday's match 💪 pic.twitter.com/eFhOmoR7UZ

— Inter Miami CF (@InterMiamiCF) October 14, 2022

New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Team Lineups and Injuries

NYCFC Projected Lineup: Johnson, Callens, Chanot, Martins, Gray, Acevedo, Parks, Rodriguez, Moralez, Pereira, Magno.

Injuries & absences: Morales.

Miami Projected Lineup: Callender, Yedlin, Lowe, Mabika, McVey, Duke, Mota, Gregore, Taylor, Lassiter, Higuain.

Injuries & absences: Jean, Fray, Campana, Robinson.

New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF Pick

It’s hard to see past the home win here as, over the course of the campaign, NYCFC have simply proven themselves to be the better side, and have the added incentive of defending their MLS title.

Miami will battle hard but their defensive frailty may leave them exposed and while the straight home win doesn’t look great value, the 2-0 on offer at +650 does look tempting.

Picks: New York City FC to win (-160) / New York City FC to win 2-0 (+650)