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UEFA Nations League Odds & Picks Matchday 3 Oct 10: Montenegro vs Azerbaijan, Spain vs Switzerland & Ukraine vs Germany

Adama Traore and Ansu Fati at Barcelona training
Will a new-look Spain squad have enough to beat Switzerland? Photo from @Barca_Buzz (Twitter).
  • Saturday, October 10th is a busy day in the UEFA Nations League with a slate of seven matches
  • Spain and Germany are both in action as the second edition of UEFA’s newest tournament takes place in the strangest of circumstances
  • Get the latest odds, betting preview, and best bets below for Saturday

Seven UEFA Nations League matches take place on Saturday, October 10th, starting with Montenegro and Azerbaijan and finishing with a minnow matchup between Andorra and Malta. Two of Europe’s strongest nations, Spain and Germany, are in action. They are heavily favored to beat Switzerland and Ukraine respectively.

This tournament might feel unnecessary in an already chaotic 2020-21 schedule. Plenty of club managers will be frustrated with their players getting dragged around Europe for these matches, but they could prove pivotal preparatory matches ahead of next summer’s delayed European Championships.

The table below has the moneyline odds for all of Saturday’s Nations League contests.

UEFA Nations League Matchday 3 Odds

Team Moneyline
Montenegro -245
Azerbaijan +725
Draw +330
Team Moneyline
Luxembourg +130
Cyprus +235
Draw +205
Team Moneyline
Lichtenstein -139
Gibraltar +425
Draw +245
Team Moneyline
Faroe Islands +120
Latvia +265
Draw +200
Team Moneyline
Spain -250
Switzerland +750
Draw +350
Team Moneyline
Ukraine +800
Germany -315
Draw +460
Team Moneyline
Andorra +195
Malta +160
Draw +195

Odds taken Oct. 8 at DraftKings

Montenegro Experience Overpowers Azerbaijan

It’s been a perfect start to the Nations League for Montenegro. Faruk Hadžibegić’s team beat Cyprus and Luxembourg to claim six points from their first two matches and build an early three-point lead at the top of League C’s Group 1.

Their squad is led by two experienced high-profile stars in Stefan Savic and Stevan Jovetic. Despite starting the Nations League well, Montenegro were held to a 1-1 draw by Latvia on Wednesday.

Azerbaijan have three points in the Nations League so far, following a surprise 1-0 loss to Luxembourg last month. They followed it up with a 1-0 win over Cyprus, ending a four-match losing streak which ran all the way back to October 2019. There’s limited international experience in their squad – only five players have over 20 caps. All but one of the 23 play in Azerbaijan.

The odds rightly favor a Montenegro victory. They will be confident of making it three wins from threes. Montenegro at -245 is a very safe bet, but the correct score market could provide a bit more value.

Best Bets: Montenegro moneyline (-245), Montenegro to win 2-0 (+480)

Spain’s New Crop of Talent

Held to a goalless draw by Portugal on Wednesday, Spain will be looking to bounce back when they host Switzerland on Saturday. The Swiss sit bottom of League A’s Group 4 after two matches, but will take confidence from a draw with Germany in their last competitive match.

The Spaniards also had a draw with the Germans at the last international break, and they picked up three points with a 4-0 thumping of Ukraine a few days later.

With the last 16 exits at the last two major tournaments, Spain are rebuilding their squad. A new wave of Spanish talent is getting the chance on the international stage, including Ansu Fati, Adama Traore, Eric Garcia, and Dani Olmo.

Switzerland tends to be a solid defensive team, and they will certainly have to defend well to stand a chance against Spain. Their defensive record of late is a concern, however – they haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last four matches.

These two teams last played in a friendly in 2018. The match finished 1-1. Switzerland’s recent form makes it hard to see past a Spain victory this time around. A half-time/full-time bet looks like the best value.

Best Bet: Spain Half-time/Full-time (+104)

Germany Big Favorites Over Ukraine

It’s three wins and three draws for Germany in their six matches with Ukraine. The two sides have only met once in the last nine years, however, with Germany winning 2-0 at the 2016 Euros. Ukraine have their work cut out to avoid another loss to Germany after COVID-19 ruled out four players from their initial squad, including three of their goalkeepers.

Injuries, withdrawals, and the virus have left Ukraine with a massively depleted team. They lost 7-1 to France in a friendly on Wednesday.

Germany are close to full strength. The four-time world champions are on a run of three draws on the bounce following a 3-3 thriller with Turkey in a midweek friendly. Like Spain, they are constructing a new squad after disappointment at the 2018 World Cup. There’s work to be done defensively, but this is a team loaded with attacking talent that should blow Ukraine away.

Massive favorites to take the three points, betting the spread is the way to go here. Germany at -1.5 will grab a lot of attention at -112, but -2.5 at +235 is my pick.

Best Bet: Germany -2.5 (+235)

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