Upcoming Match-ups

2019 Noventi Open Odds: Federer Seeks Record Victory

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in Tennis

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 3:37 PM PDT

Roger Federer
Roger Federer is looking to make history at the 2019 ATP Noventi Open. Photo by Doha Stadium Plus Qatar (flickr).
  • Roger Federer is the -125 favorite to win the 2019 ATP Noventi Open
  • Federer has won the tournament nine times since 2002
  • Defending champion Borna Coric is the co-fifth betting choice at odds of +1600

You know that it’s getting close to Wimbledon time when Roger Federer is on court at the Noventi Open.

Federer is playing in the tournament in Halle, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany for the 17th time. In his 16 previous appearances, he’s won the event nine times. Federer’s been in the final on a dozen occasions.

No wonder oddsmakers have established Federer as the even-money chalk to win this year’s tournament.

2019 ATP Noventi Open Singles Odds

Player 2019 ATP Noventi Open Odds
Roger Federer EVEN
Alexander Zverev +500
Karen Khachanov +1100
Matteo Berrettini +1400
Boran Coric +1600
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +1600
Gael Monfils +1800
Richard Gasquet +2000
David Goffin +2000
Jan-Lennard Struff +2500
Philipp Kohlschreiber +2500

Odds taken on 06/16/19. 

Federer has reached the final in six of the last seven Halle tournaments, winning four times.

Roger That

A win on the grass courts in Halle for Federer is often followed by a win on the grass courts at Wimbledon. The 37-year-old turned the Halle/All-England Lawn Tennis Club double most recently in 2017. He’s also won both tournaments in 2003, 2004, 2005, and 2006.

He’s been the no. 1 seed at the Noventi Open in 14 of the last 16 tournaments. He was second seed to Rafael Nadal in 2012 and 2014.

An ATP Masters 500 event, the tournament has undergone a name change this year. It was known as the Gerry Weber Open from 1993-2018. But one thing hasn’t changed over the years – complete and utter dominance by Federer.

French Open Fires Up Federer

On the four occasions that Federer didn’t reach the Halle final, three were because of pre-tournament withdrawals. Fatigue forced him to drop out in 2007 and 2009. He fell victim to a groin injury in 2011.

YouTube video

The only time Federer was stopped from getting to the final by another player on court came in 2016. Alexander Zverev beat him in the semifinals. Overall, he is 63-7 all-time on the grass at Halle.

Overall, Federer is 63-7 all-time on the grass at Halle.

Ailments and tiredness don’t figure to be an issue for the Swiss legend this time out. He’s feeling refreshed after reaching the semifinals on the clay at Roland-Garros in his first French Open appearance since 2015.

YouTube video

It was his best showing at Roland-Garros since 2012.

The Road is Long

If Federer is to win his 10th Halle title, he’ll have his work cut out for him. Right off the bat, he gets American John Millman in the Round of 32 on Monday. It was Millman who beat Federer in the fourth round of the 2018 US Open.

Beyond Millman, he could be facing former world no. 5 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in the Round of 16. Federer is 11-6 all-time against Tsonga.

His quarterfinal opponent might be Richard Gasquet, formerly no. 7 in the world and with three career ATP tournament wins on his resume. Or it could possibly be Roberto Bautista Agut, who’s reached the quarter-finals or better in both of his previous appearances in Halle.

If the form charts hold, a rematch of last year’s final against Borna Coric might take place in the semifinals. Last year, in a three-set match, Coric beat Federer 7-6(8-6), 3-6, 6-2.

Other Contenders

You have to start with Coric as the defending champ. He comes to Halle off an impressive performance on the grass at the Libema Open in the Netherlands, where he reached the semifinals.

YouTube video

On the other side of the draw, two to watch are Alexander Zverev and Karen Khachanov. Zverev was the losing finalist at Halle in 2016 and 2017. The always mercurial Zvervev lost in the first round at the Mercedes Cup. Khachanov is 10-4 in his career on grass but has never won a tournament on the surface.

An intriguing possibility on this side could be Matteo Berrettini. He won the Merecedes Cup final.

Roger’s Record Race

Federer has won nine times here and nine times in Basel. A victory in Halle would give him another milestone. It would be the first tournament he’s won 10 times.

Federer is to grass what Nadal is to clay. He’s won 87.1% of his matches on the surface, and a record 18 tournaments.

Considering all he has going for him, it would foolish to bet against him.

Pick: Roger Federer (EVEN)

Author Image