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Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Rybakina Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Women’s Singles Quarterfinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Jul 6, 2022 · 7:39 AM PDT

Elena Rybakina hitting a forehand shot during a tennis match.
Mar 14, 2022; Indian Wells, CA, USA; Elena Rybakina (KAZ) hits a shot in her third round match against Victoria Azarenka (not pictured) during the BNP Paribas Open at the Indian Wells Tennis Garden. Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports
  • The quarterfinals of Wimbledon women’s singles play continues on Wednesday, July 6th
  • This will be the second meeting between Ajla Tomljanovic and Elena Rybakina
  • Continue below for odds, preview and best bet analysis

The quarterfinals of women’s singles play at Wimbledon continue on Wednesday with its final two matches. Ajla Tomljanovic will take on 17th seed Elena Rybakina. And the two are slated to take the court at 8 AM ET.

Tomljanovic is coming off a win over Alize Cornet, while Rybakina defeated Petra Martic in straight sets to book her spot in the quarterfinals. Neither player had impressive Wimbledon odds heading into this tournament.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women’s Singles Quarterfinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Ajla Tomljanovic +2.5 (-105) +135 Ov 21.5 (-110)
[17] Elena Rybakina -2.5 (-125) -175 Un 21.5 (-120)

Odds as of July 5th at Caesars Sportsbook.

This is an unexpected duo to see in the quarterfinals of this year’s tournament. Neither player was listed in the top 15 odds heading into the tournament, making this a surprise. But what shouldn’t be a surprise, is that Rybakina is the favorite heading into this match.

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Back-to-Back Wimbledon Quarterfinals for Tomljanovic

The 29-year old finds herself in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon for the second year in a row, after defeating France’s Alize Cornet in a three set battle. Tomljanovic went on to win 4-6, 6-4, 6-3.

Cornet was riding high from defeating Iga Swiatek in the round before, and was playing like it. In the deciding set, Tomljanovic actually went up 5-1, looking to close it out, but Cornet managed to comeback and serve at 3-5. Tomljanovic forced two match points, but Cornet was able to save them.

It took a third match point and a 26-stroke rally at deuce for Tomljanovic to secure the win.

It took over two and a half hours, but Tomljanovic booked herself a spot in the final eight.

Rybakina Cruises Through Four

The 23-year old has cruised through Wimbledon so far, having yet to drop a set in her four matches played. The 17th seed has seemed to really been challenged, and even if she thinks she has, she hasn’t shown it.

In what is just her second Wimbledon main draw, Rybakina secured a spot in her first quarterfinal when she defeated Petra Martic 7-5, 6-3, in just under an hour and a half.

Rybakina was able to control most of this match from the beginning, collecting a total of 26 winners to just 17 unforced errors. In what was a tight first set, she recorded a total of 14 unforced errors, and was able to tighten up in the second, having only three.

With her win, she’s made it one round further than last year when she made her debut. The 23-year old hasn’t found a ton of success on grass between last year’s Wimbledon and now, winning just one of three matches prior to the Grand Slam, but she’s figured something out in London.

Second Meeting Between Tomljanovic and Rybakina

These two faced each other for the first time in 2021, where Rybakina won in straight sets. She holds to the head-to-head edge at 1-0.

Ajla Tomljanovic vs Elena Rybakina Head-to-Head Stats

Tomljanovic
VS
Rybakina
44 WTA Standing 23
29 Age 23
0 Career Titles 2
350/269 Career W/L 223/108
0 YTD Titles 0
15/16 YTD W/L 21/12
0 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Where’s the Best Bet?

On paper Rybakina is the best bet to win here. She’s the higher ranked player, and is showing to be in better form not just here at Wimbledon, but on the season as a whole.

But an interesting stat is that Tomljanovic has won 13 of 18 matches played on grass since 2021. Her strong, aggressive groundstrokes do quite well on the fast grass, and has worked in her favor in the past.

But when it comes to the second week of a Grand Slam, fatigue is also something to keep in mind, and when Rybakina has blown through her matches without dropping a set, and Tomljanovic has had two of her four go the distance, Rybakina has a slight edge there.

It’s going to be a tight match, but look for Rybakina to book her spot in her first Wimbledon semifinal.

Rybakina 2-0 (+124)

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