Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Odds & Prediction – Miami Open Semifinals
- Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner meet for the fifth time in eight months in Friday’s Miami Open semifinal
- Alcaraz defeated Sinner convincingly in the Indian Wells semifinal two weeks ago
- Read on to see if Sinner has a better shot at the upset this time around in the Alcaraz vs Sinner picks
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner met just two weeks ago, in the semifinals of Indian Wells. They will go at it again on Friday in the semifinals of the Miami Open. Read on for an analysis of the Alcaraz vs Sinner odds.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| [1] Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) | -3.5 (-112) | -260 | O 22.5 (-110) |
| [10] Jannik Sinner (ITA) | +3.5 (-118) | +205 | U 22.5 (-120) |
This is the sixth edition of this rivalry – the fifth in the last eight months. Alcaraz is the favorite at -260 in the Miami Open odds. He’s -3.5 on the spread and the match total is set at 22.5 games.
Alcaraz vs Sinner odds as of March 31 are at FanDuel Sportsbook.
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
Alcaraz Trying to Hold onto No. 1
Alcaraz, still just 19, has two big prizes to shoot for this week.
He is trying to win the “Sunshine Double” – titles at both Indian Wells and Miami. The list of players that have accomplished this is small, and includes Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer.
As well, as the defending Miami Open champion with a narrow lead on Djokovic in the rankings, he needs to defend his title to keep the No. 1 spot.
Alcaraz All Over Fritz in Miami Quarterfinals
The teenager had the toughest draw of all the remaining favorites in the Miami quarterfinals, in No. 9 seed Taylor Fritz.
But if the American fans thought Fritz had a shot in the first meeting between the two, they were swiftly disabused of that notion as Alcaraz went on to a fairly routine 6-4, 6-2 win.
It took just one hour, 18 minutes; Alcaraz won 65 percent of his second serves; Fritz won just 38 percent of his own.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Head-to-Head
| 19 (May 5, 2003) | Age | 21 (Aug. 16, 2001) |
| El Palmar, Spain | Birthplace | San Candido, Italy |
| 6-0 | Height | 6-2 |
| 8 | Career ATP Singles Titles | 7 |
| No. 1 (Sept. 12, 2022) | Career-Best Ranking | No. 9 (Nov. 1, 2021) |
| No. 1 | Current Ranking | No. 11 |
| $13,389,807 | Career Prize Money | $7,532,832 |
| 18-1 | 2022 Won/Loss Record | 20-4 |
| 3 | ATP Head-to-Head Wins | 2 |
As Fritz pointed out, Alcaraz as all the tools.
And as a Spanish player in Miami, he’s also a rock star; the support from the fans on hand can him get over the line, even if his tennis alone is more than good enough on its own.
Sinner Trying to Break New Ground
It wasn’t long ago that Sinner was the one picked by pundits and fellow players to be the next big star. It’s been a bit more of a gradual road than expected.
He’s not as physically mature as Alcaraz despite being two years older. He is a far less complete player. But he is a sweet striker of the ball.
This rivalry / friendship 🥰@carlosalcaraz @janniksin pic.twitter.com/acxOUhbTnc
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) March 31, 2023
Both have blinding speed, which made their 2022 US Open quarterfinal one of the mose impressive watches in recent years.
Neither has lost a set this week; only one set of the 16 total sets they’ve contested has even gone to a tiebreak. So something will have to give.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Match History
| Year | Tournament | Surface | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Indian Wells (SF) | Outdoor Hard | 7-6 (4), 6-3 | Alcaraz |
| 2022 | US Open (QF) | Outdoor Hard | 6-3, 6-7 (7), 6-7 (9), 7-5, 6-3 | Alcaraz |
| 2022 | Umag (F) | Outdoor Clay | 6-7 (5), 6-1, 6-1 | Sinner |
| 2022 | Wimbledon (R16) | Grass | 6-1, 6-4, 6-7 (8), 6-3 | Sinner |
| 2021 | Paris Masters (R32) | Indoor Hard | 7-6 (1), 7-5 | Alcaraz |
| 2019 | Alicante Challenger (R64) | Outdoor Clay | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 | Alcaraz |
Favorite Alcaraz in Great Form
The reasonably routine win by Alcaraz over Sinner at Indian Wells was somewhat of a disappointment after their epic matchup at the US Open last summer. But it wasn’t especially surprising.
Sinner’s only wins came on other surfaces – on clay in Umag, and at Wimbledon on grass. Alcaraz leads their hard court head-to-head 3-0.
Of the three previous hard-court, Miami is probably most like the US Open, except hotter and even more humid. But Alcaraz also feels far more at home in Miami.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Prediction
You’d expect this Miami Open matchup to be closer than the one at Indian Wells, in part because Alcaraz probably can’t play that much better than he did in the desert, and Sinner can surely play a little better.
But the outcome is likely to be the same in the end for our Alcaraz vs Sinner prediction that sees a bet coming on the over for total games.
Alcaraz vs Sinner Picks: Over 24.5 Games (+118)
Stephanie gets the straight dope from the tennis insiders. On court, she has represented her country internationally. A BA in journalism led to years on the MLB beat and a decade covering tennis globally. She's written for Postmedia, the Guardian, the New York Times and also publishes OpenCourt.ca.
