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Elena Rybakina vs Misaki Doi Odds & Prediction – Adelaide International Semifinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Jan 7, 2022 · 12:51 PM PST

Elena Rybakina hitting a return shot during
Elena Rybakina, of Kazakhstan, returns to Donna Vekic, of Croatia, during the third round of the women's tennis competition at the 2020 Summer Olympics, Tuesday, July 27, 2021, in Tokyo, Japan. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky)
  • The semifinals of the Adelaide International take place today, Friday, January 7th
  • Elena Rybakina and Misaki Doi are set to take the court at 8:30 pm ET
  • Continue below for match odds and best bet analysis

The final four has been set in Australia, with the two semifinals being played tonight. Elena Rybakina and Misaki Doi are scheduled to go head-to-head in the first semifinal of the night at 8:30 pm ET.

Rybakina will look to continue her run after defeating Shelby Rogers, while Doi will be taking on her first seeded player of the tournament when she goes head-to-head against the 22-year old.

Take a look at the match odds and our best bet prediction ahead of this semifinal match.

Elena Rybakina vs Misaki Doi Adelaide International Semifinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[7] Elena Rybakina -5.5 (-113) -590 Ov 19.5 (-108)
Misaki Doi +5.5 (-112) +430 Un 19.5 (-117)

Odds as of January 7th at Barstool Sportsbook.

Rybakina Defeats Rogers

7th seed Rybakina avoided an upset in the first round when she was able to win the third set over Storm Sanders to win 6-4, 1-6, 6-1. From there she defeated Marie Bouzkova in straight sets, and found herself up against American Shelby Rogers in the quarterfinals.

After dropping the first set, the 22-year old was able to piece together a comeback by winning the next two sets, to defeat Rogers 3-6, 6-3, 6-2. Rogers came into the match on a high, having upset Maria Sakkari the round before.

In the quarterfinal match, Rybakina managed to win 90 percent of her first serve points in the final set to seal the deal, and recorded five of her nine aces in the decider, as well.

She’ll now look towards Doi, who has yet to be truly tested at the tournament.

Unexpected Semifinalist

The 30-year old Japanese player wasn’t expected to be here in the semifinals, but thanks to some great tennis from her and other players on tour, she’s found herself only now playing against her first seeded player at the tournament.

Doi enters the match after defeating Kaja Juvan of Slovenia, who upset second seed Aryna Sabalenka in the Round of 16. Doi defeated Juvan 6-3, 4-6, 7(7)-6(5), in just under three hours.

In this quarterfinal match, Doi managed to convert three of five break points, where her opponent only managed three of 19. Both players were close to even on serves, with the biggest difference being Juvan recording nine aces to Doi’s zero. The difference in break point conversion seems to have a played a big part in this win for Doi.

This is now the deepest run at the Adelaide International for Doi. Her previous best was last year where she reached the second round.

Head-to-Head

This is the second meeting between these Rybakina and Doi. Their one and only previous meeting came back in 2019 at the Swedish Open. After dropping the first set, Doi won that match 4-6, 6-4, 6-4.

Elena Rybakina vs Misaki Doi Adelaide Head-to-Head Stats

Elena Rybakina
VS
Misaki Doi
14 WTA Standing 105
22 Age 30
2 Career Titles 1
202/96 Career W/L 376/342
0 2021 Titles 0
33/22 2021 W/L 10/21
0 Head-to-Head Stats 1

Best Bet

With Rybakina listed at -590 and Doi at +430, it’s clear who’s the expected winner of this match.

It’s true that Doi has seemed to have had a lighter route to the semifinals, having yet to face a seeded players. Due to a few early upsets, Doi managed to avoid it. But she still found some struggle against opponents, despite the wins. This is area of concern going into a match against Rybakina.

Both players’ serving will be an important factor of this match. Doi doesn’t have an overpowering serve, she doesn’t record that many aces at one time, but she can rely on her consistency at times. She’ll be coming off a match where she landed 95 percent of her first serves. Rybakina is pretty average on her serve, but can show dominance through her power as she’s recorded nine aces in two of her three matches at the tournament so far.

Both players have had two of their three matches go the distance at the tournament, lending the best bet to be not who wins outright but how many sets there will be in the match.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 sets (+215)

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