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French Open Women’s Singles Round of 16 Odds & Predictions – June 5

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jul 11, 2023 · 8:18 AM PDT

Iga Swiatek hitting a forhand
May 30, 2023; Paris, France; Iga Swiatek (POL) returns a shot during a match against Cristina Bucsa (ESP) on day three at Stade Roland-Garros. Mandatory Credit: Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
  • Each of the French Open’s top-half round-of-16 matchups features a seeded player vs an unseeded player
  • World No. 1 Iga Swiatek remains the overwhelming favorite to get through and win her third straight title
  • See the women’s French Open round of 16 odds, predictions, and picks

Since odds first opened for the event, Iga Swiatek has been the overwhelming favorite in the 2023 women’s French Open odds. As the tournament enters the round of 16, the two-time defending champion has only gotten shorter. Heading into her round-of-16 matchup with Lesia Tsurenko, Swiatek is an overwhelming -5000 favorite to advance to the quarterfinals, by far the biggest favorite on a board filled with lopsided matchups.

French Open Round of 16 Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova (SVK) vs. [6] Coco Gauff (USA) +450 / -650
[1] Iga Swiatek (POL) vs. Lesia Tsurenko (UKR) -5000 / +1400
Bernarda Pera (USA) vs. [7] Ons Jabeur (TUN) +310 / -425
Sara Sorribes Tormo (ESP) vs. [14] Beatriz Haddad Maia (BRA) +120 / -150

Odds as of June 4 at DraftKings Use this DraftKings promo code to bet on the French Open.

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Anna Schmiedlova vs Coco Gauff Prediction

The pressure of being a defending finalist is there for 19-year-old Coco Gauff, who did a good job shrugging off a first-set loss to win going away in her third round Saturday against an even younger player, 16-year-old rising star Mirra Andreeva.

But as always, there are concerns, notably with that stubbornly inconsistent forehand. Andreeva, in large part, didn’t push her harder because she already had three qualifying matches in her legs. She ran out of steam.

Anna Karolina Schmiedlova often looks like she couldn’t care less, and that’s reflected in fluctuating ranking. Her career high of No. 26 came nearly eight years ago. Currently, she’s ranked No. 100 and barely squeezed into the main draw.

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But just three years ago in Paris, she trounced Venus Williams and Victoria Azarenka, back-to-back, by playing lights-out tennis. The year before that she took Naomi Osaka to three sets. She has beaten Williams twice at the French Open, and the last four times they met.

She plays by far her best tennis on clay.

For Gauff, getting the No. 100 player in the world to get to the quarterfinals is a gift.

But you were going to take a chance on a shock upset, this might be the one, because Schmiedlova is at +900 for the straight-sets win.

French  Open Picks: Gauff in Three Sets (+290)

Iga Swiatek vs Lesia Tsurenko Prediction

Most were hoping Bianca Andreescu would get to the fourth round and meet Swiatek, thinking at her best, she might have a shot.

Instead, Andreescu put up a stinker against a seamless Lesia Tsurenko, who is playing with the passion for her country behind her like many of the Ukrainian players.

But against Swiatek, that won’t be nearly enough.

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The two have recent history – they met in the first round at the French Open last year. And they met in the third round at the Italian Open just weeks ago.

Both matches ended up with the same result: Swiatek over Tsurenko, 6-2, 6-0.

The world No. 1 has barely broken a sweat in this tournament; she defeated her last opponent, Wang Xinyu of China, 6-0, 6-0, the third and fourth “bagel” in six sets played so far. Her match times have been 1h13,  1h29 and … 51 minutes over Wang.

 

The value must come not from the outright odds (Swiatek stands at -5000 as of Sunday night in Paris), but in how many games Tsurenko might get.

She’ll get some. But likely not many.

French Open Picks: Tsurenko and +7.5 Games  (+120)

Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Beatriz Haddad Maia Prediction

Sorribes Tormo, who is still alive in the doubles as well, is coming off a long injury layoff and has had a lot of tennis.

She also got embroiled in drama when her opponents in doubles Sunday were defaulted after a ball hit by one of them hit a ball girl. It was a situation where everyone looked bad, and Sorribes Tormo and her doubles partner and bestie Marie Bouzkova have been hearing it on social media ever since.

For Haddad Maia, who is finally making a run at a Grand Slam that most have been expecting her as a top-20 player, it’s a matter of recovering from a bruising 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 win over Ekaterina Alexandrova in the third round. And finding the drive to move through another match and into the quarterfinals.

She’ll be nervous; Sorribes Tormo will be tired. But her game takes it out of most opponents, especially on clay.

It could take awhile, but Haddad Maia should prevail.

French Open Picks: Over 2.5 Sets (+125)

 

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