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Iga Swiatek vs Ons Jabeur Odds & Prediction – US Open Women’s Singles Final

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Sep 9, 2022 · 1:07 PM PDT

Iga Swiatek
Sep 8, 2022; Flushing, NY, USA; Iga Swiatek (POL) celebrates after match point against Aryna Sabalenka (not pictured) on day eleven of the 2022 U.S. Open tennis tournament at USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center. Mandatory Credit: Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports
  • The US Open women’s singles final will take place Saturday, September. 10 at 4:00 pm EST
  • Iga Swiatek is looking for her second major title of the season; Jabeur is looking for the first of her career
  • Read on as we break down this matchup between the two best players of 2022, and make a prediction for Swiatek vs Jabeur

It often doesn’t work out that way. But the two players who are arguably the best female players of 2022 have arrived at the singles final in the final major of the season.

Swiatek vs Jabeur Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[1] Iga Swiatek (POL) -3.5 (+107) -175 O 21.5 (-110)
[5] Ons Jabeur (TUN) +3.5 (-124) +150 U 21.5 (-106)

Odds as of Sept. 9 at Barstool Sportsbook. Use this Barstool Sportsbook promo code to bet on the US Open

Iga Swiatek is seeking her second Grand Slam title of the season, after winning the French Open back in June. She’s listed as the -175 favorite in the odds above.

Ons Jabeur, still looking for her first major, is into her second consecutive Grand Slam final after making the final day at Wimbledon, but being denied by Kazakhstan’s Elena Rybakina.

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Swiatek Survives Sabalenka

When Aryna Sabalenka was up a break in the third set of their semifinal on Thursday, it somehow never felt over.

Sabalenka, who has overcome a serious case of the service yips this season even if she’s not totally out of the woods, managed to get to the final four. But in the end, looking down the court at the world No. 1, her belief evaporated.

And it was Swiatek, who kept her cool more or less throughout, who leaped up and grabbed that spot in the final Saturday.

The Belarussian, who repeated as a semifinalist in New York, came into press wearing the dark sunglasses favoured by those who knew they’d let an opportunity slip away, and shed a few tears in the aftermath.

Iga Swiatek vs Ons Jabeur Head-to-Head

Iga Swiatek
Ons Jabeur
21 (May 31, 2001) Age 28 (Aug. 28, 1994)
Warsaw, Poland Birthplace Ksar El Hellar, Tunisia
5-9 Height 5-6
9 Career WTA Singles Titles 3
No. 1 (April 4, 2022) Career-Best Ranking No. 2 (June 27, 2022)
No. 1 Current Ranking No. 5
$11,476,777 Career Prize Money $7,659,743
55-7 2022 Won/Loss Record 44-13
2 Head-to-Head Wins 1

Jabeur Trying to go One Step Further

Jabeur, a 28-year-old Tunisian who is finally coming into her own after a long, gradual climb up the ladder, has had her share of disappointments in finals.

She has won three. But she has lost five in the last 16 months – including Wimbledon in July. And, most pertinent to this final, Swiatek laid a 6-2, 6-2  smacking on her in the Rome final in May.

She has suffered plenty of disappointment. And while those finals losses do generate some scar tissue, she’s not quite at the point where it will get in the way of her finally coming through.

The US Open final is a great place to do that. If she can do it.

Jabeur’s 6-1, 6-3 win over Caroline Garcia, the Frenchwoman who had been in the best form of the entire field coming into this US Open, took just an hour and six minutes.


It was a shocking result; but despite Garcia not playing at her recent level, a lot of credit has to go to Jabeur, who competed with calm and with confidence.

A little of that as she tries to hold up the biggest trophy of her career on the biggest stage in the sport can’t hurt.

Swiatek vs Jabeur Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 Rome (F) Outdoor Clay 6-2, 6-2 Swiatek
2021 Cincinnati (R32) Outdoor Hard 6-3, 6-3 Jabeur
2021 Wimbledon (R16) Grass 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 Jabeur
2019 Washington (R32) Outdoor Hard 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 Swiatek

Swiatek vs Jabeur Pick

A Grand Slam final, most of the time, really isn’t about the tennis or the specific matchup. It’s about who rocks up on the day, keeps calm, stays in their comfort zone, doesn’t make too many mistakes and doesn’t get down on themselves if they get down early.

That said, Swiatek knows how to do this. And she can just look back at Rome to remember, if indeed she’d forgotten.

It feels like a straight-sets Swiatek win. But there’s plenty of uncertainty there (even at +133). She could have a hiccup that’s long enough to cost her a set.

Still, the Polish No. 1 should win – she’s been the favorite all along in the odds, even without much recent data to support it.

And she should beat the spread.

Best Bet: Swiatek and -3.5 Games (+107)

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