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Jannik Sinner vs Roman Safiullin Odds & Prediction – Wimbledon Quarterfinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Jul 11, 2023 · 8:45 AM PDT

Jannik Sinner (ITA) returns a shot against Novak Djokovic (SRB) during a quarterfinals
Jul 5, 2022; London, England, United Kingdom; Jannik Sinner (ITA) returns a shot against Novak Djokovic (SRB) during a quarterfinals mens singles match on Centre court at the 2022 Wimbledon Championships at All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club. Mandatory Credit: Peter van den Berg-USA TODAY Sports
  • No. 8 seed Jannik Sinner faces unseeded Roman Safiullin Tuesday for a spot in the Wimbledon semifinals
  • Sinner is the next-best favorite to win it all behind Novak Djokovic and Carlos Alcaraz in the Wimbledon odds
  • Scroll down as we break down Sinner’s chances, and make a prediction in the SInner vs Safiullin odds

Jannik Sinner can’t ask for much more, as a player among the favorites to win Wimbledon but who’s never even made a semifinal, than to draw a quarterfinal opponent ranked No. 92. He’s a big favorite to advance to the semis vesus Roman Safiullin on Tuesday. But what’s theb best bet in our Sinner vs Safiullin picks?

Sinner vs Safiullin Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[8] Jannik Sinner (ITA) -6.5 (-106) -650 O 35.5 (-112)
Roman Safiullin (RUS) +6.5 (-125) +460 U 35.5 (-118)

At -650 odds, Sinner is a strong favorite in the Sinner vs Safiullin odds for Tuesday’s Wimbledon quarterfinal. Safiullin is the underdog at +460 odds. The total games are set at 35.5 in their quarterfinal.

Sinner vs Safiullin odds as of July 10 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get a FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on the Wimbledon quarterfinals here!


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Despite a Thin Grass Resumé, Sinner a Favorite

Sinner, still just 21, only won his first career match at Wimbledon a year ago. And despite that, he’s third on the list of favorites to win it all, behind only No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and defending champion Novak Djokovic.

It’s clear even for the Wimbledon publicity machine that he’s considered the future. He’s front-and-centre on a poster full of legends. And that’s been confirmed by his plum court assignments so far during the fortnight.

And yet, the highest-ranked player Sinner has beaten on grass this year was No. 39 Lorenzo Sonego at Halle.

It’s not as though he doesn’t have a Wimbledon title in his future. But all seems quite premature.

The Sweetest of Draws

Sinner has been helped by a dream draw on his way to the final eight – he’s faced no one in the top 80. He defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo (No. 111) in the first round, Diego Schwartzman (No. 98) in the second round, Quentin Halys (No. 79) in the third round and Daniel Elahi Galan (No. 85) in the round of 16. He has lost just one set (to the first one to Halys). But it would have been a shock had it been otherwise.

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For Safiullin, who hadn’t even played a main-draw ATP match on grass before a month ago, it’s been an impressive run.

First up was No. 20 seed Roberto Bautista Agut, a fine grass-courter, in a five-setter played over a few days. Next came the crafty French lefty Corentin Moutet. Then another lefty, Guido Pella, who is currently ranked outside the top 300 after a long injury layoff but who is a former top-20 player.

After that, a shocker over former Wimbledon semifinalist Denis Shapovalov, who will rue letting a golden opportunity slip by.

So Safiullin’s learning curve has been steep, and successful.

Sinner vs Safiullin Head-to-Head

Jannik Sinner
Roman Safiullin
21 (Aug. 16, 2001) Age 25 (Aug. 7, 1997)
San Candido, Italy Birthplace Podolsk, Russia
6-2 Height 6-1
7 Career ATP Singles Titles 0
No. 8 (April 10, 2023) Career-Best Ranking No. 82 (Feb. 6, 2023)
No. 8 Current Ranking No. 92
$8,871,818 Career Prize Money $1,177,217
36-10 2023 Won/Loss Record 10-10
1 Head-to-Head Wins 0

The gulf in accomplishment between the two is vast. But Safiullin can be a dangerous opponent for Sinner, if he has any doubt at all.

Safiullin is a solid, solid player and competitor. That was the biggest thing that got him through the match against the far more talented but far more volatile Shapovalov.

He’s also not too tall, compact and low to the ground and a speedy, smooth mover. On grass, that’s a big attribute.

Sinner vs Safiullin Match History

Year Tournament Surface Score Winner
2022 ATP Cup (RR) Outdoor Hard 7-6 (6), 6-3 Sinner

Great things have been predicted from Sinner since he was 17 or 18. His rise to the top 20 was fairly swift; since then, it’s been more gradual and he remains a little on the spindly side physically. As that develops, he may well take the next step.

The biggest impediment to his title hopes, of course, is that he’s in the bottom half of the Wimbledon draw with Djokovic.

Sinner vs Safiullin Prediction

The Italian’s advantage is that despite his relatively paltry grass-court experience, he did make the quarterfinals last year and went five sets with Djokovic (and had him two sets to none before the Serb came back). So he has more to draw upon than Safiullin.

But he’s going to have to go out and be unmerciful, because his opponent is a calm, steady competitor.

Unlike Shapovalov, though, we expect Sinner to take full advantage of his draw.

Sinner vs Safiullin Picks: Sinner in Three Sets (+110)

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