- World number 12 Veronika Kudermetova is a -170 favorite over Greece’s Maria Sakkari in their WTA Guadalajara Open quarterfinal match on Friday, October 21 at 8 pm ET
- The winner will not only advance to the semifinals but will also earn the final berth into the prestigious WTA Finals
- Keep reading for the complete Kudermetova vs Sakkari odds below, plus a betting prediction
They’re down to the final eight at this week’s stop on the WTA Tour. The Guadalajara Open quarterfinals will begin Friday, and there’s an enormous amount at stake in the Veronika Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkari matchup.
The winner will of course move on to the semifinals of this event, but more importantly will earn the final berth into the singles draw of the WTA Finals, the prestigious year-end championships in Fort Worth.
Kudermetova vs Sakkari Odds
|Veronika Kudermetova||-170||-2.5 (-120)||O 21.5 (-125)|
|Maria Sakkari||+140||+2.5 (-115)||U 21.5 (-110)|
Oddsmakers are bullish on Kudermetova’s chances to earn that spot, as she’s been pegged as a heavy -170 moneyline favorite, with Sakkari coming back as a +140 underdog.
The quarterfinal is set to get underway at 8 pm ET in Guadalajara, Mexico, with the semifinals and final scheduled for Saturday and Sunday respectively.
Veronika Kudermetova Betting Analysis
Kudermetova will already be in Forth Worth for the doubles draw of the WTA Finals, as her teammate Elise Mertens qualified earlier this month.
The world number 12 has breezed through her first two matches in Mexico, dropping both Jelena Ostapenko and Donna Vekic in straight sets.
Pressure? I don't know ha.
Veronika Kudermetova is absolutely slaying it this week at the Guadalajara Open Akron as she fired 11 aces and won 74% of first serves to beat Jelena Ostapenko 6-4, 6-4!
A winner-takes-all showdown with Sakkari awaits next, davai Veronika! pic.twitter.com/WV8PizfkFs
— WTARussians (@WTArussians) October 21, 2022
Kudermetova took down Ostapenko in the round of 16, avenging a loss to the Latvian in their only previous meeting. She blasted 11 aces en route to winning 68% of her total service points, while only giving up one break.
The win improves her season-long record to 39-19, and she’s through to the quarters for a third consecutive tournament, and for the 11th time overall in 2022.
She’s yet to win a singles tournament this season, with her lone singles title coming last year in Charleston.
Maria Sakkari Betting Analysis
Sakkari meanwhile, had a little more trouble in her round of 16 match. She needed to rally versus American Danielle Collins after dropping the first set but rebounded nicely to take the final two sets comfortably.
Sakkari isn’t nearly as dominant with her serve as Kudermetova and relies much more heavily on her return game. She broke Collins five times in their match, while the Greek has converted on 42.7% of her break point chances this year.
Maria Sakkari, who had a tough 2022 since reaching the F in IW, never stops fighting.
Comes back to beat Danielle Collins 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 to reach the QFs in Guadalajara and keep her WTA Finals hopes alive.
She will decide the last spot in Fort Worth vs. Kudermetova in tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/8t8AP3lIBL
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) October 21, 2022
She had a far easier time in her opening round match, knocking off Marta Kostyuk of Ukraine in straight sets. Sakkari converted 44% of her break point opportunities, and while she struggled to finish out her service games quickly, she did save 11 of 13 break points.
Like Kudermetova, Sakkari is still looking for her first title of 2022. Her lone singles triumph came back in 2019 in Rabat, while Friday will mark her seventh quarterfinal appearance this year.
Kudermetova vs Sakkari Stats
|4||ATP Final Appearances||5|
Kudermetova vs Sakkari Prediction
Sakkari owns a 2-1 lifetime record versus Kudermetova, with their most recent meeting going her way at this year’s Australian Open.
Recent form, however, drastically favors the Russian. Kudermetova is fresh off back-to-back semifinal appearances, making it to the final four in four of her past eight tournaments overall. She’s beaten four top-15 players in the world over that stretch, moving up eight spots in the world rankings.
Tomorrow night in Guadalajara:
Maria Sakkari vs. Veronika Kudermetova
— Winner makes the WTA Finals
— Loser will be the 1st alternate
Madison Keys will be the 2nd alternate if she wants to go.
— José Morgado (@josemorgado) October 21, 2022
Sakkari on the other hand is through to the quarters for just the second time since mid-June. She failed to make it out of the round of 32 in four of her previous five tournaments, with the lone exception being a 250 series event versus some pretty mediocre competition.
Pick: Veronika Kudermetova -2.5 (-120)