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Odds Say Novak Djokovic Adds Another Grand Slam in 2019

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Tennis

Feb 8, 2019 · 11:00 AM PST

Novak Djokovic was this year's Australian Open winner
Novak Djokovic is favored to win two Grand Slam titles in 2019. Photo by Carine06 from UK (Wikimedia Commons) [CC License].
  • Novak Djokovic was this year’s Australian Open Men’s winner
  • Can the World number one win another Grand Slam in 2019?
  • What’s the best value bet for number of Slam titles he’ll win?

2019 started in perfect fashion for Novak Djokovic. He defeated Rafael Nadal in the final of the Australian Open for his seventh Aussie Open win and 15th overall Grand Slam title.

Sportsbooks are expecting The Joker’s success to continue, favoring him to win at least two titles in 2019.

Odds For 2019 Novak Djokovic Grand Slam Wins

Number Odds
1 +150
2 +110
3 +220
4 +800

*Odds taken 2/8/19

The Serbian was only expected to win one title all year back in December. However, he was barely challenged during the first major of the season in only losing two sets over seven matches.

In fact, Djokovic didn’t drop a set from the quarter-finals on. That included retiring Kei Nishikori 6-1, 4-1 and straight sets wins over Lucas Pouille in the semis and Nadal in the final.

The dominance of the big three in men’s tennis surely has to come to an end at some point. That just doesn’t seem to be anytime soon.

Over the past five seasons, plus the start of 2019, in 21 Grand Slam events, only five times has someone not named Djokovic, Nadal or Roger Federer won.

Over the past five seasons, plus the start of 2019, only five times has someone not named Djokovic, Nadal or Roger Federer won the 21 Grand Slam events.

In the past two seasons, the three have won every Slam. And when you add in Djokovic’s 2019 Aussie win, the streak is now at nine.

Can Djokovic Overcome The King of Clay at Roland-Garros?

The next opportunity for major hardware won’t come until late May at Roland-Garros where Nadal has the shortest average odds to win the French Open.

At -110 currently to win the French Open, Nadal is favored with Djokovic the second-favorite at +220. Federer has only won one French Open in his career. Having not played the tournament since 2015, he comes in as a huge underdog with odds of +2500.

Despite his recent loss to Novak in Australia, Nadal has gained the King of Clay status for good reason. The Spaniard has won each of the past two French Opens and 11 of the past 14. However, don’t forget Djokovic did win at Roland-Garros in 2016.

Will Djokovic Defend 2018 Wimbledon and US Open Titles?

If this bet were around in 2018, two Slam titles would’ve cashed for Djokovic. The 31-year-old defeated Kevin Anderson in the Wimbledon final and Juan Martin del Potro in the final of the US Open.

Djokovic Wimbledon & US Open Wins

Number Total Last 5 Years (2014-2018)
Wimbledon 4 3 (2018, 2015, 2014)
US Open 3 2 (2018, 2015)

Even when Djokovic hasn’t won the hardware after a major event, he’s still usually in the mix. From 2014-18, he has eight total titles and has been a finalist on three occasions.

That’s even more impressive when you consider none of those came during 2017, which saw him miss most of the season due to injury.

Over the past ten years only three times has anyone won three majors in one season. However, in both 2011 and 2015, Djokovic accomplished this feat. Nadal did it once in 2010.

Bet The Joker To Win Two Slams In 2019

If you assume Nadal will continue his dominance in France, and that Djokovic is destined for more than just the Aussie open win, then your betting options come down to betting him to finish with either two or three titles in 2019.

Betting on two majors wins seems to offer the most value if you approach it this way. This allows for him to win either of the tournaments and for you to hope anyone else can win one of the other two.

If you like his chances in France, you’d be better served taking a French Open bet on him at +220, which is the same price as if you bet on three slam wins.

Furthermore, Djokovic is priced at +160 and +125 at sportsbooks to win Wimbledon and the US Open respectively.

You would get a larger return by betting him individually on both of these tournaments or by betting him to win Wimbledon and re-investing those earnings into a US Open bet if his price didn’t shorten too much.

Either strategy would pay more than taking the +220 on three slam wins.

Best Bet: Novak Djokovic Two Grand Slam wins +110.

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