2020 WNBA Draft Props: Sabrina Ionescu Heavily Favored to Go #1 Overall

Sabrina Ionescu
Sabrina Ionescu is all but a lock to go #1 overall to the New York Liberty. Photo from @InstituteSSJ (Twitter)
  • Oregon’s Sabrina Ionescu is the overwhelming favorite to be selected first in the 2020 WNBA Draft
  • The second selection figures to be either Baylor’s Lauren Cox or fellow Duck Satou Sabally
  • Odds on a variety of WNBA Draft prop bets can be found below

It would be a huge surprise if Sabrina Ionescu is not the first pick in the 2020 WNBA Draft.

The point guard from Oregon was one of the greatest players in college basketball history. She is the only NCAA player – man or woman – to have at least 2,000 points, 1,000 rebounds and 1,000 assists in a career.

Odds Sabrina Ionescu Will Be Selected First in 2020 WNBA Draft

Prop Odds
Yes -2000
No +700

All odds taken March 30th

The 5-foot-11 Ionescu also had an incredible 26 triple-doubles in her career.

Ionescu is a generational player. If seems impossible to believe the New York Liberty will not the use the first pick on her come April 17.

Furthermore, the Liberty are moving from Westchester County back into the city limits to play home games at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn this season.

There is no way the league is going to pass up the marketing opportunity of having Ionescu play in the nation’s largest market, as she would also be a boost to their WNBA Championship odds.

The price is poor but yes is the only way to go here. While Ionescu is the best player available, it doesn’t mean the draft will be devoid of drama.

There are plenty of questions beyond the first pick. Here is a look at the odds for some of them:

2020 WNBA Draft Props

Second Overall Pick Odds
Satou Sabally -175
Lauren Cox +155
Field +800
Fourth Overall Pick Odds
Chennedy Carter -150
Megan Walker +175
Lauren Cox +700
Field +700
Number of Oregon Ducks Selected in Top 5 Odds
Two -120
Three or more -110
One +1400
Zero +5000
Total Forwards Drafted in First Round Odds
Over 7.5 -120
Under 7.5 -120
Total Guards Drafted in First Round Odds
Over 4.5 -120
Under 4.5 -120

Cox or Sabally Goes Second

While Ionescu is certain to be the first pick, one of two players are just as certain to go No. 2 to the Dallas Wings: Baylor power forward Lauren Cox or Oregon forward Satou Sabally.

Cox can score from anywhere on the court. She is equally adept at finishing at the rim or knocking down the 3.

While away from the court during the coronavirus pandemic, Cox has even been combining basketball with volleyball.

Cox was limited to 22 games by injuries in 2019-20 but averaged 12.5 and 8.4 rebounds as Baylor went 28-2.

Sabally, like Cox, is also 6-foot-4. Sabally averaged 16.2 points and 6.9 rebounds this past season for the Ducks as a junior while shooting a career-high 33 percent on 3-pointers.

During her three seasons in Eugene, the native of Germany scored a total of 1,508 points.

This is going to be a tough call for the Wings. However, the value bet here is Cox as Dallas figures to be the perfect landing spot for the native of Flower Mound, Texas.

Ducks Should Dominate Draft

While Ionescu and Sabally will go in the top three picks, another Oregon player is also certain to be a first-rounder. That is 6-foot-4 forward Ruthie Hebard.

Hebard and Ionescu ran the pick-and-roll throughout the 2019-20 season when the Ducks compiled a 31-2 record.

Hebard was second on the team in scoring with a 17.3 point a game average, just behind Ionescu’s 17.5 mark. Additionally, Hebard averaged a team-high 9.6 rebounds.

The Wings also have the No. 5 pick and Hebard seems like the logical choice to pair with Cox in a front court that would be brimming with potential.

Thus, Oregon having three picks in top five looks like a good bet.

More Forward or Guards?

Connecticut’s Megan Walker seems targeted for the Atlanta Dream with the fourth overall pick, also making here a good value play.

Walker led the Huskies with a 19.7 scoring average during a 29-3 season while shooting 45 percent from 3-point range. She also pulled down 8.4 rebounds a game as a junior before deciding to turn pro.

If Walker does indeed go at No. 4, it will mean forwards would be taken with the next four selections following Ionescu.

Two other frontcourt players, Florida State’s Kiah Gillespie and Miami’s Beatrice Mompremier, are also potential first-round choices. So are Princeton’s Bella Alarie and Texas’ Joyner Holmes.

Yet that doesn’t mean there weren’t be any guards taken in the first round. In fact, there could be a run on backcourt players after the Wings make their second selection at No. 5.

Texas A&M’s Chennedy Carter, Baylor’s Te’a Cooper and South Carolina’s Tysha Harris seem certain to be first-round picks. They could be joined by Maryland’s Kaila Charles, Connecticut’s Chrystal Dangerfield, Rutgers’ Arella Guirantes, West Virginia’s Tynice Martin and Oregon State’s Mikayla Pivec.

The over/under on forwards and guards being selected in the first round is a tough call. However, the depth of backcourt players after the five picks makes wagering on the over 4.5 guards the choice here.

Author Image
Discussion

Let's have fun and keep it civil.