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Las Vegas Aces vs Seattle Storm Odds & Picks – WNBA Playoffs Semifinals Game 3

Mitchell Hansen

by Mitchell Hansen in WNBA

Sep 3, 2022 · 3:00 PM PDT

Seattle Storm forward Breanna Stewart dribbles the ball
May 29, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Storm forward Breanna Stewart (30) dribbles the ball against the New York Liberty at Climate Pledge Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Brashear-USA TODAY Sports
  • The top-seed Las Vegas Aces and the fourth-seed Seattle Storm battle in Game 3 of the semifinal round of the WNBA Playoffs at 3:00pm ET on Sunday, Sept. 4th
  • Las Vegas and Seattle are tied at 1-1 in the best-of-five semifinals series
  • See below for the latest Aces vs Storm picks, odds analysis and best bet

In what has been one of the more entertaining series of the WNBA Playoffs thus far, the Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm will battle it out once more in Game 3 of the best-of-five semifinals round in Seattle at 3pm ET on ABC.

After two games in Las Vegas, which saw the series split 1-1, the series now shifts to Seattle for Game 3 as both teams try and take a 2-1 advantage and become a game closer to the WNBA Finals.

Aces vs Storm Game 3 WNBA Playoffs odds 

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Las Vegas Aces +1.0 (-110) -105 Over 167.5 (-110)
Seattle Storm -1.0 (-110) -115 Under 167.5 (-110)

Odds as of Sept. 3rd from Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on the WNBA.


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Coming into the game, the Storm are listed as one-point favorites over the Aces.

Aces vs Storm WNBA Playoffs Head-to-Head

1 Wins 1
75.5 Points Per Game 74.5
41.7% Field Goal Percentage 41.0%
29.3% Three-Point Percentage 25.6%
36.0 Rebounds 35.5
14.5 Assists 20.5
10.0 Turnovers 7.0
+1.0 +/- -1.0

Storm Steal Game 1

To begin the series, the lowest remaining seed in the playoffs topped the favorite in the 2022 WNBA Championship Odds when Seattle took down Las Vegas to steal Game 1 on the road.

In the victory, the Storm got off to a hot start against a Las Vegas squad which features one of the top offensive units in the league, ending up shooting 41.3 percent from the field while doing a nice job of holding the Aces in check at a similar 41.2 percent mark.

Like we saw in the opening round of the playoffs, Jewell Loyd stepped up when Seattle needed it most, scoring a team-high 26 points while tallying the final six points of the game for the Storm. Breanna Stewart and Tina Charles also shined alongside Loyd to lift Seattle. For Las Vegas, Chelsea Gray and Kelsey Plum both posted 20-point performances, but didn’t get much help while Defensive Player of the Year and MVP candidate A’ja Wilson struggled with just eight points offensively.

Aces Respond in Game 2

Las Vegas needed to respond strong in Game 2 on Wednesday in order to even the series with it shifting locations to Seattle for Games 3 and 4, and the Aces did that in another close, back-and-forth battle in Las Vegas. A strong third quarter pushed the Aces out in front, later holding off a late-game push from the Storm to come away with a 78-73 win.

Las Vegas bounced back with an all-around performance to even the series at 1-1, with the offensive clicking again and the defense holding Seattle in check enough to come out on top.

Unlike Game 1, Wilson was the star for the Aces in Game 2 and pushed her team to a much-needed win, finishing with an impressive 33 points and 13 rebounds. Plum and Gray once again shined, both nearing 20 points to continue their stellar play of late. For Seattle, Stewart put on a showing to lead the Storm with 32 points and seven boards while Charles pitched in with a nice showing of 17 points and nine rebounds. Loyd wasn’t able to match her Game 1 performance, posting just eight points while struggling from the field in the loss.

What to Watch For

One key to watch for in Game 3 on Sunday is which team will be able to step up offensively and also hold a stand defensively to hold the opposition in check. These two teams are so evenly matched that it could come down to something as simple as that for who could pull out another likely close contest.

Another thing to keep an eye on is which team can control the assist-to-turnover ratio, an area that Seattle has owned thus far in the semifinals series. The Storm are averaging 20.5 assists per game with seven turnovers over the first two games, while the Aces are averaging 14.5 assists and 10 turnovers.

Aces vs Storm Picks

This semifinals series has been a treat to watch thus far, with each game being a relative toss-up between two evenly-matched squads regardless of their playoff seeding. That should be the case once again in Game 3 on Sunday in Seattle.

For who might come out on top to take a commanding 2-1 lead in the series, it will be tough for the Aces to head to Seattle to top the Storm in their first home game of this series. Seattle is a strong team at home, finishing the regular season 13-5 at home, and the crowd will be rocking again in Game 3. Expect the Storm to come out on top in a game that should be decided by less than five points yet again.

For the best bet of the contest, place your bets on the over/under total of 167.5 points listed. Both games to this point have finished under that mark, and that could be the case once again Sunday.

  • The Pick: Under 167.5 (-110)
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