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  • Lamar Jackson won the 2023-24 NFL MVP
  • Look back to the 2023-24 NFL season to see how the MVP odds changed
  • Looking for the latest NFL MVP odds?

Lamar Jackson won his second NFL MVP during the 2023-24 NFL season. Jackson led the Ravens to an NFC North title and the top seed in the AFC. However, he was only the favorite for two weeks of the season.

Look back at how the NFL MVP odds changed throughout the 2023-24 NFL offseason and each week of the regular season.


Lamar Jackson took over as the NFL MVP favorite after his Ravens took down the 49ers on Christmas night, and he was an extremely heavy favorite after Week 17. Brock Purdy was the odds-on favorite entering the game, but his four interceptions resulted in Jackson being the favorite for the first time this season.

Patrick Mahomes opened as the NFL MVP favorite but only remained the favorite until after Week 2.

Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, Christian McCaffrey, Brock Purdy, and Dak Prescott were named the finalists for the NFL MVP.

**All sportsbooks closed down their NFL MVP odds after the conclusion of the regular season, as voting has started and some media members revealed their ballots.

Some notable players’ lines to mention from opening include: Jalen Hurts opening at +1100, which were the fourth-best odds on the board one year after opening at +4500; both Brock Purdy (+2500) and Trey Lance (+3500) were given short odds to win NFL MVP at opening, but Purdy saw his odds fall way off to +7500 in the spring, only to recover to +5000 (tied with Lance at the time) in the summer; Aaron Rodgers was listed at +1600 after being traded to the Jets (but is now off the board after tearing his Achilles four plays into his Jets tenure); Tom Brady is not given odds after retiring for the second time; and there were 24 quarterbacks given better odds than the top non-QB, which was Christian McCaffrey at +8000 odds, ahead of Week 1.

Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [February 8] Lamar Jackson won the 2023-24 NFL MVP.
  • [January 25] The NFL MVP finalists were announced today and include: Lamar Jackson, who was the heavy favorite the last time odds were available, Josh Allen, Christian McCaffrey, Brock Purdy, and Dak Prescott.
  • [January 1, 2024] Lamar Jackson threw for 321 yards and five touchdowns in Baltimore’s 56-19 win over the Dolphins in Week 17. Jackson’s NFL MVP odds went from -190 to as short as -20000 following his big performance.
  • [December 25] Lamar Jackson became the new odds-on favorite to win NFL MVP after his Ravens handily beat the 49ers, where the then-MVP favorite, Brock Purdy, threw four interceptions.
  • [December 17] Dak Prescott and the Cowboys offense put forth an awful effort in Buffalo during Week 15. Prescott threw for 134 yards with an interception as Dallas was demolished by the Bills. The result in MVP odds was Brock Purdy, who threw for 242 yards and four touchdowns in Week 15, not only taking over as the favorite, but becoming an odds-on favorite with -150 odds.
  • [December 11] For a second straight week, we have a new NFL MVP favorite. This time it is Dak Prescott who has the best odds to win the award. Prescott led his Cowboys to a 33-13 win over the Eagles in Week 14, which also resulted in his Cowboys taking the top spot in the NFC East for now.
  • [December 4] Immediately after the 49ers crushed the Eagles in Week 13, sportsbooks left Jalen Hurts as the MVP favorite. However, we woke up Monday morning to see Brock Purdy and Dak Prescott listed as the new favorites depending where you look. Purdy’s MVP odds improved from +1400 to +300 after throwing for 314 yards and four touchdowns in a 42-19 win over Philadelphia.
  • [December 1] In early November, Dak Prescott’s MVP odds were as long as +4750 (average). After Prescott logged another good outing against the Seahawks in Week 13, his MVP odds have improved to as short as +375 and some sportsbooks give him the second-best odds on the board. Others still have him third behind Hurts and Mahomes.
  • [November 17] Even after leaving Cincinnati’s Week 11 TNF matchup with the Ravens, Joe Burrow’s MVP odds had only faded from +1350 to +2500. But he has now been removed from the board with the news that he will miss the rest of the season.
  • [November 14] Sportsbooks are very split on whether Patrick Mahomes or Jalen Hurts should be the favorite to win NFL MVP. Both QBs were on bye this past weekend, but that didn’t stop the odds from moving. Mahomes has slightly better average odds, but Hurts’ longest odds are shorter than Mahomes’ longest odds.
  • [November 6] After beating Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins in Germany during Week 9, Patrick Mahomes has once again taken back the top spot in the NFL MVP odds. DraftKings, however, lists Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson as the co-favorites.
  • [October 29] The NFL MVP favorite has changed yet again after Week 8, as Tua Tagovailoa has overtaken Patrick Mahomes for the best odds. Mahomes had an ugly outing in Denver, where he committed three turnovers himself, as his Chiefs lost to the Broncos. It should be noted Mahomes was playing with the flu, though.
  • [October 24] Patrick Mahomes has taken back over as the NFL MVP favorite after turning in another solid performance, while Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins struggled against the Eagles.
  • [October 9] Brock Purdy’s NFL MVP odds improved from +2000 to +1000 after throwing for 252 yards and four touchdowns against the Cowboys in Week 5. Fellow 49er Christian McCaffrey also saw significant movement, going from +3000 to +1500, which ties him for the sixth-best odds on the board, just one spot behind Purdy. Patrick Mahomes also took back over as the favorite after Tua Tagovailoa threw two interceptions against the Giants.
  • [October 1] Josh Allen has moved into a tie with Tua Tagovailoa for the best NFL MVP odds. Allen’s Bills crushed the Dolphins 48-20 in Week 4, where Tua only threw for one touchdown and added an interception with it. The two are listed at +550 while Mahomes is right behind at +600.
  • [September 25] Tua Tagovailoa has pulled away from the field when it comes to NFL MVP odds following Sunday of Week 3. Tagovailoa’s odds improved from +600 to +380 after he threw for 309 yards and four touchdowns en route to Miami’s 70-point performance against the Broncos.
  • [September 17] Tagovailoa became the lone favorite to win NFL MVP after Sunday of Week 2. His win in New England resulted in his odds improving from +700 to +600. Joe Burrow saw his odds fade from +850 to +1700 after another lousy performance that led to Cincinnati starting the season 0-2.
  • [September 11] Tua Tagovailoa came out of the gate red hot, throwing for 466 yards and three touchdowns in leading his Dolphins to a Week 1 victory over the Chargers. Tua’s NFL MVP odds improved from +2200 to +700, now tied with Mahomes for the best odds, after Sunday of Week 1. Joe Burrow’s odds didn’t move after only throwing for 82 yards in an awful performance against the Browns. Aaron Rodgers was a top ten contender, with +1600 odds, entering his Monday Night Football matchup with the Bills. His odds have faded to +2500 as it is feared he tore his Achilles. He will be removed from the board once the injury is confirmed. (He has now been removed at most sportsbooks.)
  • [September 1] Just ahead of kickoff, Patrick Mahomes’ NFL MVP odds have improved from +700 to +600, separating himself from the other top contenders. Joe Burrow has the next-best odds at +750.
  • [August 26] Even after being traded to the Cowboys, and effectively turned into a backup this season, Trey Lance’s NFL MVP odds remain at +5000 at DraftKings. FanDuel has dropped Lance to +30000. Brock Purdy’s odds didn’t see any major movement either after winning the starting job.
  • [July 13] With all signs pointing to Brock Purdy being ready for the 2023 NFL season, his MVP odds have improved from +7500 to +4500. Trey Lance, who has been rumored to be losing the backup job in San Francisco to Sam Darnold, has seen his odds fade from +3500 to +5000.
  • [April 24] After officially being traded to the Jets, Aaron Rodgers’ NFL MVP odds are listed at +1800. His odds were as short as +1600 a month ago, but faded a little in the last few weeks. Jordan Love, who will be the new starting quarterback for the Packers, also saw his odds hold where they were at +3500.
  • [March 20] Aaron Rodgers’ NFL MVP odds have remained at +1600 throughout the negotiations between the Packers and Jets. Justin Fields has seen his odds improve from +3000 to +2000 with the Bears adding DJ Moore and some notable defensive names as they look ready to compete in the NFC North. Brock Purdy saw his odds plummet from +2500 to +7500 after successful elbow surgery that will reportedly have him ready in six months, which puts him on track to be ready around Week 2.
  • [February 12] Patrick Mahomes, who won the award last season, and Joe Burrow have opened as co-favorites to win the 2023-24 NFL MVP. Both players opened at +650 odds, with Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, and Jalen Hurts rounding out the top five contenders.

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After working in TV, Matt turned his focus towards numbers, specifically odds. He has been with us since 2016 and serves as SBD's Editor-in-Chief, credited with creating our futures trackers, SBD's score predictor, SBD Sharp, and his own model for calculating NFL SOS, among other products.