Brewers vs Reds Odds, Lines, and Spread (May 11)
By Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Brewers vs Reds odds favor Milwaukee as -190 moneyline favorites on Wednesday (May 11, 12:35 pm ET)
- Milwaukee will send Adrian Houser to the mound (3-2, 3.42 ERA), while Cincinnati will counter with Vladimir Gutierrez (0-5, 8.86 ERA)
- Read below for the Brewers vs Reds odds, analysis and betting prediction
The Milwaukee Brewers snapped a three-game losing streak with a 5-4 win in Cincinnati on Tuesday night, and will now look to claim another series victory when the two teams meet again on Wednesday afternoon.
Milwaukee has won five of the last six series they’ve played, and oddsmakers are expecting them to be victorious again versus the Reds in their series finale.
Brewers vs Reds Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | -190 | -1.5 (-125) | O 9 (-115) |
| Cincinnati Reds | +160 | +1.5 (+105) | U 9 (-105) |
Odds as of May 10th at Caesars Sportsbook.
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The Brewers are currently -190 moneyline favorites, in a contest that features a total of 9 runs. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35 pm ET at the Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH, with sunny, 82 degree temperatures in the forecast.
Milwaukee vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
Milwaukee, a top-eight contender in the World Series odds, will give the ball to Adrian Houser. The 29-year-old was off to a fine start to the season through four appearances, but came crashing back down to earth last time out.
Tyler Stephenson goes yard! pic.twitter.com/rt6WIPgFdc
— ATBBTTR (@ATBBTTR) May 5, 2022
Houser surrendered seven hits and five runs over 6 innings to these same Reds last week, but was bailed by his offense. Run support hasn’t been an issue for him all season, as he’s been given 26 runs of support over his last three starts.
What has been a problem is his performance against Cincinnati. In addition to his recent poor outing, he also fared terribly against them last year. He posted a 5.60 ERA in four starts, and the current Reds roster is hitting .326 against him over 66 at-bats, with a .505 slugging percentage and an .870 OPS.
Houser vs Gutierrez
| 3-2 | Record | 0-5 |
| 3.42 | ERA | 8.86 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 2.02 |
| .222 | OBA | .317 |
| 2.0 | SO/W Ratio | 0.8 |
The Reds, who project for the third fewest victories in the MLB win totals, will counter with Vladimir Gutierrez. The 26-year-old has been rocked in back-to-back outings, most recently by Milwaukee last week.
Rowdy Tellez said “F u Vladimir Gutiérrez for hitting my guy Willie Adames in the head”
Reds are down bad badpic.twitter.com/ZbMyRhrWfr
— Ben Cary (@Ben_Cary_) May 5, 2022
Gutierrez surrendered eight hits and seven runs in an 18-4 defeat, just one start after coughing up six runs to San Diego. He hasn’t made it out of the 5th inning all season, and has issued four more walks (17) than strikeouts (13).
The right-hander performed quite well as a rookie in 2021, but his sophomore season has been a nightmare. His HR/9 rate is up to 1.69 from 1.58, while his opponent batting average has ballooned from .258 to .310. He owns the second highest ERA in baseball among pitchers who’ve thrown at least 20 innings (8.86), while he’s only stranding 65% of the runners he puts on base.
Brewers vs Reds Betting Analysis
Gutierrez is in for another tough outing on Wednesday, as Milwaukee is the highest scoring team in the NL. The Brewers lead the NL in home runs, while ranking top-four in slugging and OPS. They’ve faced the Reds five times so far this season, and have crossed the plate 44 times.
Luis Urias – Milwaukee Brewers (2) pic.twitter.com/d9d1ZJ6A2o
— MLB HR Videos (@MLBHRVideos) May 10, 2022
Cincinnati meanwhile, has come alive offensively over the past week. The Reds have scored at least five runs in five of their past six games, and are slugging .426 over the last seven days, after recording just a .311 slugging percentage in the month of April.
MIL vs CIN Last 10 Meetings
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/10/22 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 5-4 |
| 5/9/22 | Brewers | Reds | CIN, 10-5 |
| 5/5/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 10-5 |
| 5/4/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 18-4 |
| 5/3/22 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 6-3 |
| 8/26/21 | Reds | Brewers | CIN, 5-1 |
| 8/25/21 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 4-1 |
| 8/24/21 | Reds | Brewers | MIL, 7-4 |
| 7/18/21 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 8-0 |
| 7/17/21 | Brewers | Reds | MIL, 7-4 |
Brewers vs Reds Pick
With Cincy’s lineup rounding into form, and Milwaukee getting another chance to tee off on Gutierrez, over 9 runs is definitely in play.
Each of the five meetings this season between the two clubs have produced at least that many runs, while the NL Central foes have a strong recent history of high scoring affairs. Dating back to last year, all but three of their last 11 meetings have produced at least nine runs, with six of those outings reaching 11 runs.
Both of Houser’s last two starts have produced at least 15 runs, while the run total in Gutierrez’s last two outings has been 22 and 13.
Pick: Over 9 Runs (-110)
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
