Astros vs Guardians Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 7)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Astros are -140 road favorites over the Guardians on Sunday
- Cristian Javier (6-7, 3.24) will start for Houston against Triston McKenzie (7-8, 3.38)
- See the Astros vs Guardians odds ahead of Sunday’s matchup
The visiting Houston Astros and Cleveland Guardian wrap up their four-game series at 12:05 p.m. ET Sunday at Progressive Field.
The Guardians (55-52/28-22 home) beat the Astros 4-1 on Saturday night after losing the first two games of the series. The American League West-leading Astros (70-39/36-22 road) had their three-game winning streak snapped.
Astros vs Guardians Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | -140 | -1.5 (+120) | Over 8 (-115) |
| Cleveland Guardians | +120 | +1.5 (-140) | Under 8 (-105) |
Odds as of August 6th at Caesars Sportsbook
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The Astros have a 58.33% implied win probability as -140 favorites. Houston has +450 World Series odds and the Guardians are listed at +12000.
There is a 20% of showers or thunderstorms in Cleveland, though the weather forecast also calls for sunny skies, a high temperature of 88 degrees with a heat index of 98 and a 7-mph wind from the west.
Astros vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
Cristian Javier (6-7, 3.24) is scheduled to start for the Astros against Triston McKenzie (7-8, 3.38). Both will be pitching on four days of rest. Javier has +10000 chances in the AL Cy Young odds.
Javier vs McKenzie
| 6-7 | Record | 7-8 |
| 3.24 | ERA | 3.38 |
| 2.76 | xERA | 3.97 |
| 1.05 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 3.56 | SO/W | 3.53 |
Javier has struggled lately, going 0-4 with a 5.11 ERA in his last five starts, including losing to the Boston Red Sox on Tuesday in Houston. Javier pitched well, allowing just two runs on four hits in six innings while striking out seven and walking one.
Cristian Javier with a strong night.
6.0 IP
4 H
2 ER
7 K#Astros down 1 in the 7th #LevelUp pic.twitter.com/37F3qbqxRz— Space City Home Network (@SpaceCityHN) August 3, 2022
Javier is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in three games (one start) against the Guardians in his career. He has pitched only once at Progressive Field, working a scoreless inning of relief last season.
On the road this season, Javier has a 2-3 record and 4.15 ERA in nine games (seven starts). He is 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA in five games (three starts) during the day. The Astros have split his 16 starts.
McKenzie is 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts and was roughed up by the Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday in a loss at home. He gave up five runs (four earned) and six hits in six innings with seven strikeouts and two walks.
In two career starts against the Astros, McKenzie is 1-1 with a 4.91 ERA.
Triston McKenzie, Dirty 82mph Curveball. 😨 pic.twitter.com/XsuEPQxf7Y
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) July 28, 2022
McKenzie is 3-2 at home this season with a 3.32 ERA in seven starts. During the day, he is 5-4 with a 2.19 ERA in 12 games (11 starts). The Guardians are 12-7 when McKenzie starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Astros Batters | Batting Average vs Triston McKenzie |
|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | .500 |
| Trey Mancini | .500 |
| Yuli Gurriel | .333 |
| Martin Maldonado | .333 |
| Alex Bregman | .333 |
| Yordan Alvarez | .200 |
| Kyle Tucker | .200 |
| Christian Vazquez | .000 |
| Jeremy Pena | .000 |
| Guardians Batters | Batting Average vs Cristian Javier |
| Jose Ramirez | .500 |
| Amed Rosario | .250 |
| Myles Straw | .000 |
| Andres Gimenez | .000 |
| Austin Hedges | .000 |
| Steven Kwan | .000 |
| Owen Miller | .000 |
| Josh Naylor | .000 |
The Astros’ Jose Altuve has had success in his limited history with McKenzie, going 3-for-6 with a double and two home runs.
Guardians vs Astros Betting Outlook
Amed Rosario’s two-run single helped spark the Guardians’ win over the Astros on Saturday night.
Amed's world.#ForTheLand pic.twitter.com/vjRPpFWext
— Cleveland Guardians (@CleGuardians) August 7, 2022
Jose Ramirez had two hits and an RBI for Cleveland. Andrew Gimenez and Myles Straw also had two hits each.
Guardians left fielder Steven Kwan was sidelined a day after fouling a ball off his foot and is questionable for Sunday.
Aledmys Diaz kept the Astros from being shut out with an RBI double in the ninth inning. He and Jake Meyers each had two hits.
Diaz returned after sitting out Friday night’s game with a sore left ring finger.
Astros right fielder Kyle Tucker missed his third straight game because of illness, getting scratched after being in the original lineup. He is questionable for Sunday.
Cleveland’s hot dog races are keeping Tucker occupied this weekend.
Michael Brantley just took the L to Kyle Tucker in the hot dog derby race. Tucker chose mustard. pic.twitter.com/5bmM9aYJgv
— Julia Morales (@JuliaMorales) August 6, 2022
Manager Dusty Baker missed his second game after testing positive for COVID-19. Bench coach Joe Espada has served as acting manager.
The Astros lead the season series 4-2 and are 22-9 against the Guardians since 2018.
Guardians vs Astros Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/6/22 | Guardians | Astros | CLE, 4-1 |
| 8/5/22 | Guardians | Astros | HOU, 9-3 |
| 8/4/22 | Guardians | Astros | HOU, 6-0 |
| 5/25/22 | Astros | Guardians | HOU, 2-1 |
| 5/24/22 | Astros | Guardians | HOU, 7-3 |
| 5/23/22 | Astros | Guardians | CLE, 6-1 |
| 7/21/21 | Astros | Guardians | CLE, 5-4 |
| 7/20/21 | Astros | Guardians | HOU, 9-3 |
| 7/19/21 | Astros | Guardians | HOU, 4-3 |
| 7/4/21 | Guardians | Astros | HOU, 4-3 |
Guardians vs Astros Prediction
Javier is winless in his last five starts but his expected ERA shows he is pitching better than his record indicates. Backing him is the way to go in this one, especially with the way the Astros have owned the Guardians in recent seasons.
Pick: Astros -140 ML
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
