Rays vs Red Sox Odds, Picks & Predictions (Aug 27)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Rays are -122 road favorites over the Red Sox on Saturday
- Jeffrey Springs (6-3, 2.46) will start for Tampa Bay against fellow lefty Rich Hill (5-5, 4.68)
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
The Tampa Bay Rays look to get back on the winning track when they visit the Boston Red Sox at 4:10pm ET Saturday, in the middle game of a three-game series at Fenway Park.
The Rays (69-56, 27-33 road) had their six-game winning streak snapped by Boston 9-8 on Friday night. The Red Sox (61-64, 30-32 home) ended a three-game losing skid and won for just the second time in their last seven games.
The Rays fell eight games behind the division-leading New York Yankees in the American League East race. The Red Sox got within 7.5 games of the Seattle Mariners for the third AL wild card.
Rays vs Red Sox Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | -122 | -1.5 (+132) | Over 9 (+100) |
| Boston Red Sox | +105 | +1.5 (-165) | Under 9 (-120) |
Odds as of August 26th at Barstool Sportsbook.
The Rays are -122 favorite giving them a 54.95% implied win probability. In the World Series odds, the Rays are at +3500 and the Red Sox at +25000.
The weather forecast calls for sunny, a high of 77 degrees and east wind at 5-8 mph.
Rays vs Red Sox Probable Pitchers
In a matchup of left-handers, Jeffrey Springs (6-3, 2.46) is scheduled to pitch for the Rays against Rich Hill (5-5, 4.68). Springs will be working on four days of rest and Hill on nine.
Springs vs Hill Odds
| 6-3 | Record | 5-5 |
| 2.46 | ERA | 4.68 |
| 3.42 | xERA | 4.53 |
| 1.08 | WHIP | 1.31 |
| 4.64 | SO/W | 2.63 |
Springs is having a fine August with a 3-0 record and 1.66 ERA in four starts.
On Monday, Springs beat the Los Angeles Angels in St. Petersburg. He gave up one run on five hits in 5.2 innings with seven strikeouts and three walks.
Springs has a soft side.
Per story I tweeted earlier, here’s Jeffrey Springs writing his son’s name on the mound.
As Springs took mound he wrote “Stet” short for Stetson, his 5 month old son who is battling health issues in hospital right now but doing better now.
Nothing like a father’s love. pic.twitter.com/oXNM6FiHew
— Tricia Whitaker (@TriciaWhitaker) July 6, 2022
Springs has no career record against the Red Sox with a 3.09 ERA in nine games (one start). He has struggled at Fenway Park, going 0-1 with a 7.32 ERA in 14 games (one start).
Springs is 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 13 games (10 starts) on the road this season. In day games, he has gone 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA in 10 games (six starts). The Rays have a 12-5 record in Springs’ starts.
Hill is 3-1 in his last six starts despite a 5.53 ERA.
Hill’s last start came Aug. 17 against the Pirates in Pittsburgh. He got the win, allowing two runs and three hits in five innings while striking out four and walking none.
Against the Rays, Hill is 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA in 13 games (four starts) during his career.
Sometimes, Hill must beat the umpires, too.
Yordan Álvarez gets 4 strikes after everyone else forgets the count, a breakdown pic.twitter.com/D68hvIFG8N
— Jomboy (@Jomboy_) August 9, 2022
Hill is just 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA in seven home starts this season. In the day, he has a 2-3 record and 3.74 ERA in nine starts. The Red Sox have split in Hill’s 18 starts.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Rays Batters | Batting Average vs Rich Hill |
|---|---|
| Taylor Walls | 1.000 |
| Ji-Man Choi | .667 |
| Randy Arozarena | .500 |
| Brandon Lowe | .500 |
| Harold Ramirez | .333 |
| David Peralta | .263 |
| Manuel Margot | .217 |
| Christian Bethancourt | .200 |
| Yandy Diaz | .000 |
| Francisco Mejia | .000 |
| Red Sox Batters | Batting Average vs Jeffrey Springs |
| Kike Hernandez | .667 |
| Rafael Devers | .500 |
| Christian Arroyo | .500 |
| Xander Bogaerts | .400 |
| Bobby Dalbec | .333 |
| J.D. Martinez | .333 |
| Jarren Duran | .000 |
| Reese McGuire | .000 |
| Rob Refsnyder | .000 |
| Alex Verdugo | .000 |
| Franchy Cordero | .000 |
| Tommy Pham | .000 |
The Rays’ Manuel Margot is a .217 hitter (5-for-23) against Hill with a double and home run. The Red Sox’ Rafael Devers, who has +9000 AL MVP odds, is 3-for-6 with a double against Springs.
Rays vs Red Sox Betting Outlook
Xander Bogaerts hit a three-run home run to help the Red Sox beat the Rays on Friday night. The shot came in the sixth inning and put Boston ahead 8-4 after Bogaerts came into the game hitting .217 in August.
PAY XANDER BOGAERTS MY CAPTAIN pic.twitter.com/1TNkjUGXtc
— Jared Carrabis (@Jared_Carrabis) August 27, 2022
Kevin Plawecki had three hits and two RBIs for the Red Sox and Kike Hernandez also had three hits. Tommy Pham and Alex Verdugo added two hits apiece and Franchy Cordero homered.
For the Rays, Yandy Diaz, Jose Siri and Ji-Man Chi homered. Diaz had three hits and Siri and David Peralta had two hits each.
Second baseman Brandon Lowe left the game with a right elbow contusion after being hit by a pitch in the third inning. He is questionable for Saturday.
🚨 Brandon Lowe is heating up 🚨 pic.twitter.com/rdyhtLfUAh
— Tampa Bay Rays (@RaysBaseball) May 8, 2022
The Rays are 8-3 against the Red Sox this season, including splitting four games in Boston. The Rays lead the series 39-24 since 2019.
Rays vs Red Sox Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/26/22 | Red Sox | Rays | BOS, 9-8 |
| 7/14/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 5-4 |
| 7/13/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 4-1 |
| 7/12/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 3-2 |
| 7/11/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 10-5 |
| 7/6/22 | Red Sox | Rays | TB, 7-1 |
| 7/5/22 | Red Sox | Rays | TB, 8-4 |
| 7/4/22 | Red Sox | Rays | BOS, 4-0 |
| 4/24/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 5-2 |
| 4/23/22 | Rays | Red Sox | TB, 3-2 |
Rays vs Red Sox Prediction
Hill should be well rested after his last turn in the rotation was skipped. However, he has struggled at Fenway this season and the Rays have had their way with the Red Sox for the most point. Tampa Bay is the choice here.
Pick: Rays -122 ML
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.