Best Steelers vs Colts Same-Game Parlay for MNF
By Michael Harrison in NFL News
Published:
- The Steelers and Colts square off to conclude Week 12 on Monday Night Football
- We’ve included Najee Harris in tonight’s MNF SGP
- See the +450 odds in this Steelers vs Colts same-game parlay for Monday Night Football on November 28th
Tonight, the 3-7 Pittsburgh Steelers do battle with the 4-6-1 Indianapolis Colts in a matchup of two teams who are precariously close to seeing their playoff chances all but extinguished. Since Indy hired Jeff Saturday to be head coach, the team has responded with a victory over the Raiders and a close-call one-point loss to the Eagles. Read on for our Steelers vs Colts same-game parlay.
Steelers vs Colts Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Steelers Moneyline | +130 |
| Najee Harris Over 64.5 Rushing Yards | -105 |
| Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer | +125 |
| SAME-GAME PARLAY ODDS | +450 |
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Tonight’s SGP has three legs, including the Steelers moneyline, along with Najee Harris over 64.5 rushing yards and anytime TD scorer.
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The public is favoring the Colts to cover the 2.5-point spread. With 63% of bets on them, while 54% of Steelers vs Colts public betting trends are pointing to wagers on Indy to win on the moneyline. With respect to the game total, 57% of bets have been placed on over 39 points.
While both Pittsburgh and Indianapolis see astronomically high Super Bowl odds at +75000 (PIT), and +25000 (IND) respectively, the Chiefs have overtaken the Bills as the +400 favorite.
SGP Pick #1: Steelers Moneyline
The Steelers are slight 2.5-point underdogs in this game, but they’ve at times shown their competitiveness, with a win two weeks ago against the Saints. They then recorded 30 points in a 37-30 losing effort against the Bengals, where they led late into the third quarter.
Entering tonight, the Steelers are 18-3 on Monday Night Football under Mike Tomlin (since 2007), the 2nd-best record among head coaches with at least 10 MNF games coached (John Madden, 11-1-1).
Pittsburgh has won 7 straight vs the Colts, averaging 31.6 PPG in those meetings. pic.twitter.com/gZ3EJGeDT7
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) November 28, 2022
Our model has this game going in Indy’s favor, with the Colts predicted to win 16.6-9.8 over the Steelers. However, the Steelers have the Colts’ number, having won their last seven meetings against them. They’re also money on MNF since 2007, amassing a tremendous 18-3 record.
The much-maligned offense saw rookie 1st round QB Kenny Pickett throw for his second-highest yardage total last week (265), where he absorbed just two sacks, compared to six in each of the two previous weeks.
SGP Pick #2: Najee Harris Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
In three of his last four games, Steelers running back Najee Harris has surpassed the 64.5 rushing yards total. In particular, his last two weeks have been his best outputs of the campaign, where he racked up 99 and 90 yards. That’s something to consider in the Steelers vs Colts picks.
Najee Harris tackles broken in first five games: 2
Najee Harris tackles broken in last five games: 8
The Steelers RB has put up 249 yards after contact this season, per PFR. 110 of those yards after contact have come in the last two games alone.
— Daniel Valente (@StatsGuyDaniel) November 23, 2022
In four of their last six outings, the Colts have allowed a runner to exceed 65 yards on the ground. Indy has surrendered 113.5 rushing yards per contest this season, which is just higher than average (14th) in the NFL. Harris’ last two games have seen him record his highest yards per attempt for the year.
SGP Pick #3: Najee Harris Anytime Touchdown Scorer
If we are going with Najee Harris to record over 64.5 rushing yards, why not pair it with him finding the end zone as well? In his latest outing, he found pay dirt twice against the Bengals. He’s also chipped in two receiving touchdowns on the campaign. Indy’s D has allowed six rushing TDs in their last six affairs.
In order for Pittsburgh to pull off the upset, they’ll do their best to help rookie QB Kenny Pickett with a sound running game, and Harris can shoulder the load. He must definitely be considered in your Steelers vs Colts props for this Monday Night Football affair.
Steelers vs Colts Same-Game Parlay Odds (+450)
Sports & Entertainment Writer
Michael "Hound Dog" Harrison is well known in the sports industry as the resident statistician for the SC with Jay Onrait Show. He has worked at TSN for over 20 years, is the CEO of his "All Bets Par Off" weekly golf betting videos and his HDOG POD, along with several others.
